cavello Posted May 22, 2008 Author Share Posted May 22, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Late E/E Bets 2 pts E/W Dolly Penrose @5/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope 1 pt E/W Wells Lyrical @12/1 with BetDirect(BOG):hope Based on Market Comparsions 3rd:ok and 4th:ok Loss on Bet = -2.6 pts:sad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 22, 2008 Author Share Posted May 22, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Worcester 7.20 Smart John 3 pts E/W @3/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope With a rating of 110 OR and form in a class 3 handicap may be able to take on the favourite who may be flattered by a rating on 120, Delayed Approach is coming form bumpers and is a bit of a lurker. But with our selection trading at 1.37 for the place an E/W interest is a definite play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 22, 2008 Author Share Posted May 22, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Add Cullihall 4 pts E/W @11/8 with William Hills:hope Price now makes this also an E?W value bet market comparsion figures below. High outlay in this race so :hope for no shocks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 22, 2008 Author Share Posted May 22, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Market Comparsion Figures HORSEBF PLBF WIN BOOK ODDS% EdgeSMART JOHN1.424.254.006.05%CULLIHALL1.182.302.3711.25% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 22, 2008 Author Share Posted May 22, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Salisbury 6.40 Bet without the favourite Klynch 3pt E?W @7/2 with Paddy Power:hope Same horse Green on first run. Better on 2nd outing and the form of that race reads well afterward. Considered a 20% chance by Peter May's NN generated time ratings. 7/2 looks a bit of e/w value here without the favourite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaRoz Posted May 22, 2008 Share Posted May 22, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Top pick on Klynch :clap:clap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 22, 2008 Author Share Posted May 22, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Worcester 7.20 Smart John 3 pts E/W @3/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope With a rating of 110 OR and form in a class 3 handicap may be able to take on the favourite who may be flattered by a rating on 120, Delayed Approach is coming form bumpers and is a bit of a lurker. But with our selection trading at 1.37 for the place an E/W interest is a definite play. Unplaced loss on Bet = - 6pts:sad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 22, 2008 Author Share Posted May 22, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Add Cullihall 4 pts E/W @11/8 with William Hills:hope Price now makes this also an E?W value bet market comparsion figures below. High outlay in this race so :hope for no shocks Won :clap Profit on Bet = 6.60 pts:ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 22, 2008 Author Share Posted May 22, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Salisbury 6.40 Bet without the favourite Klynch 3pt E?W @7/2 with Paddy Power:hope Same horse Green on first run. Better on 2nd outing and the form of that race reads well afterward. Considered a 20% chance by Peter May's NN generated time ratings. 7/2 looks a bit of e/w value here without the favourite :clap Profit on Bet = 12.6 pts:ok Now in front for the week. :ok We don't want a losing week do we:lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kamo Posted May 22, 2008 Share Posted May 22, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Well done Cavelloman :clap:nana Fantastic stuff as usual, I was on, missed 1st bet as did`nt get in till 6pm then got 4/1 at PP for Klynch :notworthy:dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ardman123 Posted May 22, 2008 Share Posted May 22, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Excellent again!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 22, 2008 Author Share Posted May 22, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bets Outlay to Date = 135 pts Return to Date = 147.97 pts Profit to Date = + 12.97 pts:ok Exchange + Other Bets Outlay to Date = 28 pts Return to Date = 58.43 pts Profit to Date = +30.43 pts:ok Combined Profit to Date = 43.40 pts:ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlmrob Posted May 23, 2008 Share Posted May 23, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 superb work cavelloman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted May 23, 2008 Share Posted May 23, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Some good stuff in here Tom, excellent results mate, well done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 23, 2008 Author Share Posted May 23, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bets Stratford 6.10 The first race at Stratford looks to give E/W value hunters some hope. All 3 of my selcetion either have reasonable form in higher grade or form at this level plus all appear to be able to acto on a sharp track and firmer going. Modest stakes only. Theocritus 1 pt E/W @15/2 with William Hill:hope Commemoration Day 0.5 pts E/W @16/1 with BetFred:hope Tanners Court 0.5 pts E/W @25/1 with William Hill:hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 23, 2008 Author Share Posted May 23, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Add to above Ask Oscar 0.5 pt E/W @25/1 with BetDirect(BOG):hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 23, 2008 Author Share Posted May 23, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bets Stratford 6.10 The first race at Stratford looks to give E/W value hunters some hope. All 3 of my selcetion either have reasonable form in higher grade or form at this level plus all appear to be able to acto on a sharp track and firmer going. Modest stakes only. Theocritus 1 pt E/W @15/2 with William Hill:sad Commemoration Day 0.5 pts E/W @16/1 with BetFred:sad Tanners Court 0.5 pts E/W @25/1 with William Hill:ok Loss on above bets = -1 pt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 23, 2008 Author Share Posted May 23, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Add to above Ask Oscar 0.5 pt E/W @25/1 with BetDirect(BOG):ok Profit on Bet = 2 pts:ok Profit on Day = 1 pt :ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 24, 2008 Author Share Posted May 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Single Bet Beverley 2.25 Froisee 2 pts Win @5/2 with Ladbrokes:hope Been running in much better races then the favourite and the other runners. With the favourite being a front runner should be able to relax and follow and :hope can de delivered with a telling burst of speed. Should be 2/1 IMO so 5/2 represent value IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 24, 2008 Author Share Posted May 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet 2,45 Catterick Paddy Jack 1 pt E/W @14/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope A rather difficult race. But my advice is to take a small nterest in Paddy Jack. LTO led and weaken over 7 furlongs. But this horse got a very high dosage figures which suggest the shortest distance should suit better. Obviously not one to get carried away with because no good recent form. But with some of the other fancied runners having not too good draws, may :hope break fast and lead the field a merry dance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 24, 2008 Author Share Posted May 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Catterick 2.15 Eijaaz 2 pts E/W @11/4 with Blue Square:hope Very closely rated to the favourite Court of Appeal in races at this course last season and this season. But IMO the faster ground nay just favour my selection. Trading at c1.5 for the place at the moment and this indicates that a degree of value exist. With a field that consists of some strange entrants I have decided to reduce my stake here because of the danger of one or two of these lurkers showing improved form. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 24, 2008 Author Share Posted May 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Exchange Bet Monaco GP. I will put any odds and sods bets this summer for Athletics or Grand Prix etc :spankhere in conjunctions with posting on the specialist thread. Heikki Kovalainen (McL) 1 pt @3.3 to Place with Betfair:hope On a track that should suit his shorter wheelbase car(that what my "expert" tells me) this price looks a little long IMO. Obviously a good poistion on the grid required. Just hope he does not crash again:hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 24, 2008 Author Share Posted May 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet 2,45 Catterick Paddy Jack 1 pt E/W @14/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope A rather difficult race. But my advice is to take a small nterest in Paddy Jack. LTO led and weaken over 7 furlongs. But this horse got a very high dosage figures which suggest the shortest distance should suit better. Obviously not one to get carried away with because no good recent form. But with some of the other fancied runners having not too good draws, may :hope break fast and lead the field a merry dance. Last did not come out of stall and did not try too hard afterwards. Something amiss:sad Loss on Bet = -2 pts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 24, 2008 Author Share Posted May 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Single Bet Beverley 2.25 Froisee 2 pts Win @5/2 with Ladbrokes:hope Been running in much better races then the favourite and the other runners. With the favourite being a front runner should be able to relax and follow and :hope can de delivered with a telling burst of speed. Should be 2/1 IMO so 5/2 represent value IMO. Last :sad Loss on Bet = -2 pts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 24, 2008 Author Share Posted May 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Catterick 2.15 Eijaaz 2 pts E/W @11/4 with Blue Square:hope Very closely rated to the favourite Court of Appeal in races at this course last season and this season. But IMO the faster ground nay just favour my selection. Trading at c1.5 for the place at the moment and this indicates that a degree of value exist. With a field that consists of some strange entrants I have decided to reduce my stake here because of the danger of one or two of these lurkers showing improved form. :clap Won:clap Profit on Bet = 6 .6 pts In front on the day at the moment by 2.6 pts and that the aim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kamo Posted May 24, 2008 Share Posted May 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 :clap Won:clap Profit on Bet = 6 .6 pts In front on the day at the moment by 2.6 pts and that the aim. Well done again Cavelloman :clap:clap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john_lovell Posted May 24, 2008 Share Posted May 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Well done Cavelloman :) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 24, 2008 Author Share Posted May 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Exchange Bet Oumeyade 1 pts win @2.3 with Betfair Looks a handicap "cert". We have all seen these lose in the past. Won very easily last night over a longer trip, Down in trip and up in class does not usually suggest a bet. But I'm taking a small bet here because I believe this horse could be rated over 135 in the future and here is running off 107. Still not a mortgage job but worth some interest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 24, 2008 Author Share Posted May 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Stratford 7.20 Southwestern 1 pt E/W @9/2 with William Hll:hope Been running well in high value hunter chases and was "unlucky" when falling in Ireland when leading in a £20K+ race. Previous winner over course and distance. Finished in front of the favourite at Cheltenham in the Foxhunters. The favourite is yet to do the business in a high value race. Take the Stand may be overrated due to his previous form from his younger days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 24, 2008 Author Share Posted May 24, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Exchange Bet Oumeyade 1 pts win @2.3 with Betfair Looks a handicap "cert". We have all seen these lose in the past. Won very easily last night over a longer trip, Down in trip and up in class does not usually suggest a bet. But I'm taking a small bet here because I believe this horse could be rated over 135 in the future and here is running off 107. Still not a mortgage job but worth some interest. 2nd:wall Loss on Bet = - 1 pt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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