WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 11, 2008 Share Posted February 11, 2008 I wont waste much time explaining. There's already several threads around backing 1 goal or more in the football. This is something Ive done before, with medium success, and have always liked so Ive decided to get back on the bandwagon. Ill use a combination of markets on Betfair (1+ goal, lay 0-0, lay no next goalscorer) depending on prices, available markets and money available. 50pts is the starting point with all profits going on the next bet. Any withdrawls will be decided as I go along. Returns will be shown post commission. BET 1 Arsenal - Blackburn 1+ goal @ 1.06 50pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 11, 2008 Author Share Posted February 11, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! Nice and easy start for the heart. Im sure they'll be more worrying games than this down the line. BET 1 Arsenal - Blackburn 1+ goal @ 1.06 50pts WINNER Returns: 52.85pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
munki Posted February 11, 2008 Share Posted February 11, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! Good start WFTE :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevsul Posted February 11, 2008 Share Posted February 11, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! Excellent start m8 Good Luck with it :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted February 11, 2008 Share Posted February 11, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! good luck mate! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 11, 2008 Author Share Posted February 11, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! Thanks for the comments guys and lets hope for a long run. Although I do like this method, it can be a long process all for nothing if the eventual dreaded 0-0 comes at a bad time in accordance to any banking. Due to this I'm also going to track the profit through backing level stakes. Obviously to do this for real you'd want to use a large bank but just want to see whether it'd be worthwhile. At least all that hard work wouldn't be lost when you hit a 0-0 the game before you intended to bank. The stake shall be 100pts LEVEL STAKES Bets:1 Wins:1 SR:100% Staked: 100pts Returns:105.70pts P/L:+5.70pts Yield:5.70% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 12, 2008 Author Share Posted February 12, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! BET 2 Rotherham - Stockport Lay 0-0 @ 14.0 Liability 52.78pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 12, 2008 Author Share Posted February 12, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! A few stats for interest. These are the percentages of 0-0's in a few leagues I found lying around. English Premier: 7.3% Championship: 7.5% League One: 7.2% League Two: 4.7% Blue Square Premier: 6.5% Scottish Premier: 3.4% Division 1: 6.7% Division 2: 1.6% Division 3: 5.2% La Liga: 7.4% French League One: 14.2% Bundesliga: 6.4% Serie A: 9.1% English League Two and the Scottish Premier seems to be the places to play, with the Scottish division Two also but don't think you get the markets for that league. The French top flight looks like a big no-no. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 12, 2008 Author Share Posted February 12, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! Here's a few more for leagues I could find that had one of the 3 markets on Betfair. Belgium: 8.99% French League Two: 13.1% Greek 1st Division: 10% Dutch 1st Division: 4.62% Again, France is a no-go whilst Holland seems good. (as proven by munki in his thread) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 12, 2008 Author Share Posted February 12, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! BET 2 Rotherham - Stockport Lay 0-0 @ 14.0 Liability 52.78pts A winner after 8 mins. Profit: 3.86pts Bank: 56.71pts LEVEL STAKES Bets:2 Wins:2 SR:100% Staked: 200pts Returns:213.01pts P/L:+13.01pts Yield:6.51% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
staffy Posted February 12, 2008 Share Posted February 12, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! Nice one WFTE good luck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 13, 2008 Author Share Posted February 13, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! BET 3 Chesterfield - Peterborough Lay 0-0 @ 14.0 Liability 56.68pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
munki Posted February 13, 2008 Share Posted February 13, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! Really interesting stats on the various leagues there. I certainly wasn't aware that the Scottish Premier League could be worth a lot more investigation. I also think your monitoring of your selections to level stakes is very sensible as I have always been from the school of thought that if it doesn't make a profit to level stakes then no matter what the short term gains shown by utilising a staking plan then it will be doomed to failure.I will go back through my own selections and give details to level stakes as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steveadam23 Posted February 13, 2008 Share Posted February 13, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! Good luck with this WFTE. Will follow with interest. I use this site for collecting stats of 0-0's http://www.h2hstats.com/soccer/lgoverview.php Click on the league and you see the number of total 0-0's for the league. Click on the goal distribution link and you get the number of 0-0's every team has had and the % total for the league. (You may of course already use that site!!) But some really good info there :ok Steve. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 13, 2008 Author Share Posted February 13, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! Nope , thats a new one on me Steve. Cheers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 13, 2008 Author Share Posted February 13, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! BET 3 Chesterfield - Peterborough Lay 0-0 @ 14.0 Liability 56.68pts Win number 3. Profit: 4.14pts Bank: 60.85pts LEVEL STAKES Bets:3 Wins:3 SR:100% Staked: 300pts Returns:320.32pts P/L:+20.32pts Yield:6.77% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHUPUNTER Posted February 13, 2008 Share Posted February 13, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! Keep it up mate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 14, 2008 Author Share Posted February 14, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! BET 4 S.Prague - Tottenham Lay 0-0 @ 12.5 Liability 60.84pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 14, 2008 Author Share Posted February 14, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! BET 4 S.Prague - Tottenham Lay 0-0 @ 12.5 Liability 60.84pts I love these kind of games. 3 mins and we have a winner. Profit: 5.03pts Bank: 65.88pts LEVEL STAKES Bets:4 Wins:4 SR:100% Staked: 400pts Returns:428.58pts P/L:+28.58pts Yield:7.15% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 14, 2008 Author Share Posted February 14, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! One for Friday. I hope Im not cursing it by saying this but found this one thanks to Steve's site tip. Only been 1 0-0 from these two teams this season. BET 5 Maritimo - Porto Back 1 or more @ 1.11 Liability 65.88pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steveadam23 Posted February 15, 2008 Share Posted February 15, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! One for Friday. I hope Im not cursing it by saying this but found this one thanks to Steve's site tip. Only been 1 0-0 from these two teams this season. BET 5 Maritimo - Porto Back 1 or more @ 1.11 Liability 65.88pts Well thank fcuk for that!! Was getting ready go and hide under a rock somewhere lol!! Congats on another winner!!:clap:clap Steve. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 16, 2008 Author Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! Almost had to wait for the 2nd half for that one!! BET 5 Maritimo - Porto Back 1 or more @ 1.11 Liability 65.88pts Winner. Profit: 6.88pts Bank: 72.76pts LEVEL STAKES Bets:7 Wins:7 SR:100% Staked: 500pts Returns:439.03pts P/L:+39.03pts Yield:7.81% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 16, 2008 Author Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! It could be my undoing but Im going to try to squeeze a few out of Saturday. I'm at work all day but can access Betfair via my phone. This place doesnt work so well though so I'll post the bets up here with the current prices. If each is a winner the whole lot will go on the next one. I'll alter later if prices I take are different. BET 6 Doncaster - Leeds Lay 0-0 @ 12.0 Liability 72.71pts PROPOSED BET 7 Chester - Notts County Lay 0-0 @ 12.0 PROPOSED BET 8 Real Betis - Real Madrid Lay 0-0 @ 12.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 16, 2008 Author Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! Well, that was kinda crap. Bets 7 + 8 both won but................as Im doing this for real Im going to keep the thread in line with my real bets. Betfair still havn't returned my stake on the Doncaster - Leeds game so had to miss getting on both the others.:wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 17, 2008 Author Share Posted February 17, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! Looks like the damn Leeds game is going to cost me any profit for the weekend as I still havn't recieved my stake back. i might have to deposit the stake so I can use that for today and replace it once its refunded. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 17, 2008 Author Share Posted February 17, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! Moneys been returned and we're back on. Starting again with Bet 6 and we're off to Greece for a 2.45 ko. BET 6 AEK - Xanthi Lay 0-0 @ 11.5 Liability 72.66pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 17, 2008 Author Share Posted February 17, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! For fucks sake, another postponed game!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted February 18, 2008 Author Share Posted February 18, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! Right, lets see if I can pick a game that actually takes place. BET 6(TAKE 3!) Bristol City - Crystal Palace Lay 0-0 @ 9.6 Liability 72.76pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sheerluck Holmes Posted February 18, 2008 Share Posted February 18, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! Right, lets see if I can pick a game that actually takes place. BET 6(TAKE 3!) Bristol City - Crystal Palace Lay 0-0 @ 9.6 Liability 72.76pts :hope mate as i've gone for 1+ here too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madnesstiger Posted February 18, 2008 Share Posted February 18, 2008 Re: Deja Vu OR Lets have a goal! How funny is this.. A delay in the kick-off at Bristol City - SHOULD still take place though! :lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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