aldric Posted May 5, 2007 Share Posted May 5, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' DOH!! :eyes I was looking at the BBC page which showed the Salisbury result as 3-1 it didn't mention that it was after ET! Also I had the bet on betfair and as sonix1001 said they settled it incorrectly. 3/4 fantastic :ok 8/10 draws so far :nana Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepBlueDevilFish Posted May 5, 2007 Share Posted May 5, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Betfair weren't the only ones to get this result wrong. Paddy Power also messed up too. :spank Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonix1001 Posted May 7, 2007 Share Posted May 7, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' No luck today but the total is :ok :ok :ok When are the next play offs? Don't whant to miss any picks :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted May 7, 2007 Share Posted May 7, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' No luck today but the total is :ok :ok :ok When are the next play offs? Don't whant to miss any picks :) Tomorrow, Nationwide Conference. Oxford v Exeter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedlam Posted May 8, 2007 Author Share Posted May 8, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Just got back from my long weekend away. Will do a full update of systems state of play after tonight's game.. Next Bet: Oxford v Exeter x @ 3.6 (bet365) 10pts staked. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonix1001 Posted May 8, 2007 Share Posted May 8, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Just got back from my long weekend away. Will do a full update of systems state of play after tonight's game.. Next Bet: Oxford v Exeter x @ 3.6 (bet365) 10pts staked. No luck today. But the total is still impresive :lol When are next games coming. Don't want to miss the train :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedlam Posted May 9, 2007 Author Share Posted May 9, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Next match is not until Friday evening, so I update now, so things are nice & tidy as the games will be coming thick & fast from Friday. starting bank 200pts current bank 334pts total staked 120pts winning bets 7 losing bets 5 strike rate 58.33% yield 111% profit 134pts Looking good at the moment, but I don't expect the finishing figures to look quite so impressive! but I'm confident of a decent profit.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonix1001 Posted May 9, 2007 Share Posted May 9, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Next match is not until Friday evening, so I update now, so things are nice & tidy as the games will be coming thick & fast from Friday. starting bank 200pts current bank 334pts total staked 120pts winning bets 7 losing bets 5 strike rate 58.33% yield 111% profit 134pts Looking good at the moment, but I don't expect the finishing figures to look quite so impressive! but I'm confident of a decent profit.:ok Yes, the yield is amazing and should go down a bit but maybe you had some lessons learned from last season which gives you better selections this year? Awaiting your picks on friday :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AFK7 Posted May 9, 2007 Share Posted May 9, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Missed the 3 from 4 due to illness and the bloody racing post!!:cry Keep up the good work. Sonix, forlat, javisst finns dar svenkarna overallt!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonix1001 Posted May 9, 2007 Share Posted May 9, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Missed the 3 from 4 due to illness and the bloody racing post!!:cry Keep up the good work. Sonix, forlat, javisst finns dar svenkarna overallt!! Otium, Too bad you missed Bedlams picks. Great staff. So watch out for new picks, I will :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allthethings Posted May 9, 2007 Share Posted May 9, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' My book not offering these games, but it's looking good...what is your system for picking games to end in draws? I wasn't around for the 2006 thread where perhaps you explained. Thanks, A Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedlam Posted May 10, 2007 Author Share Posted May 10, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Allthethings, the selection criteria is simply any play-off match. I have been backing play-off draws for a few years, and always finish in profit. Last year was the first time I run it as a thread on PL, in which I used a progressive staking plan when there was a run of games that didn't finish as draws, something I am totally comfortable doing, as the nature of the play-offs mean that we're never far from the next draw. Because of the superb start we've had this year, we possibly won't need progressive staking. There is a case for restricting the selections to first leg matches, as historically, with the cagey nature of these matches, 39% are drawn as opposed to 32% of second legs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedlam Posted May 10, 2007 Author Share Posted May 10, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Next Bet: (Friday) Yeovil v Nott'm Forest x @ 3.25 (coral) 10pts staked. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonix1001 Posted May 10, 2007 Share Posted May 10, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Next Bet: (Friday) Yeovil v Nott'm Forest x @ 3.25 (coral) 10pts staked. Anyone knows if this is the first leg? Bedlam, do you know the % of 0-0 games compared to other draws. That would be intresting. I suspect that the 0-0 should be like 40-50% of the draws Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepBlueDevilFish Posted May 10, 2007 Share Posted May 10, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Anyone knows if this is the first leg? Yes it's the first leg Sonix. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonix1001 Posted May 11, 2007 Share Posted May 11, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Next Bet: (Friday) Yeovil v Nott'm Forest x @ 3.25 (coral) 10pts staked. 0-2 :wall :wall :wall Hope that tomorrow will be more profitable day Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedlam Posted May 11, 2007 Author Share Posted May 11, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' No luck tonight. Saturdays Bets: Southampton v Derby > Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonix1001 Posted May 12, 2007 Share Posted May 12, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' No luck tonight. Saturdays Bets: Southampton v Derby > :hope :hope :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted May 12, 2007 Share Posted May 12, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Intresting Bedlam, did the same bets in the first round games of the World cups & Euro Championships in the past & did fairly well. Then tried it with cross doubles on correct scores ie no goalscorer & 1-1,until last summer when i showed a small loss. Good luck with this,its looking good & i am following it with intrest. :ok :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonix1001 Posted May 12, 2007 Share Posted May 12, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' :wall :wall :wall No luck today but tomorrow never dies Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedlam Posted May 12, 2007 Author Share Posted May 12, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' No worries Soni> Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonix1001 Posted May 12, 2007 Share Posted May 12, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' No worries Soni> Sunday's Bets.. Wolves v WBA 3.25(skybet) 10pts staked Oldham v Blackpool 3.25(coral) 10pts staked Braintree v Salisbury 3.25(skybet) 10pts staked :hope :hope :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedlam Posted May 13, 2007 Author Share Posted May 13, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Sunday's Bets.. Wolves v WBA 3.25(skybet) 10pts staked:( Oldham v Blackpool 3.25(coral) 10pts staked:( Braintree v Salisbury 3.25(skybet) 10pts staked:( Well the early luck has deserted us, but all three matches were very tight, once again,with one goal being the winning margin in all 3. state of play starting bank 200pts current bank 274pts still a very healthy profit & draws are due:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted May 13, 2007 Share Posted May 13, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Unlucky Bedlam. As you say the draws will for sure come soon. Bets of luck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedlam Posted May 13, 2007 Author Share Posted May 13, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Thanks David. Mondays bets Shrewsbury v MK Dons 3.25 (skybet) 10 pts staked. Farsley celtic v Hinkley 3.25 (skybet) 10pts staked. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedlam Posted May 14, 2007 Author Share Posted May 14, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Shrewsbury v MK Dons 3.25 (skybet) 10 pts staked.:clap Farsley celtic v Hinkley 3.25 (skybet) 10pts staked.:( A winner tonight, an 89th min winner for Farsley Celtic prevented 2/2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedlam Posted May 14, 2007 Author Share Posted May 14, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Tuesday Derby v Southampton 3.25(skybet) 10pts staked. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedlam Posted May 16, 2007 Author Share Posted May 16, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Tuesday Derby v Southampton 3.25(skybet) 10pts staked.:( A loser last night, but another very close game & another late-late winner.. Wednesday WBA v Wolves 3.5 (bet365) 10pts staked Lincoln v Bristol R 3.25 (bet365) 10pts staked Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedlam Posted May 16, 2007 Author Share Posted May 16, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Actually, Lincoln v Bristol R isn't untill tomorrow night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedlam Posted May 18, 2007 Author Share Posted May 18, 2007 Re: Play-off draws '07' Very short of time, will catch up & update on Sunday. Next Bet: N Forest v Yeovil x @ 3.5 (bet365) 15pts staked Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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