cavello Posted November 17, 2007 Author Share Posted November 17, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? Quiet weekend for betting and only 2 aways appear to offer value. AWAY TEAMSPEN POWERPURE PENLOOK UP ODDSP.A ODDSPR RATINGSPRICEVALUECOMMENTSMILTON KEYNES:hope:clap1.51.32.322.59-152.62YES:hope1.91 DNB WITH BET365NORTHAMPTON:hope:sad1.21.12.463.25-2.83.50YES:hope2.63 DNB WITH BLUE SQUAREPETERBORO:\1.30.92.462.26-11.52.50? Loss on Value Bets today = -0.9 PTS Value Bets 2007 Profit to Date= 129.59 pts:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted November 17, 2007 Author Share Posted November 17, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? LOOK UP ODDS are your true odds' date= right? What are P.A ODDS then? These are odds based on the Poisson Distribution. I use a couple of methods and is based on goals scored and conceded. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted November 17, 2007 Author Share Posted November 17, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? Great thread Cavelloman. As a matter of interest' date=' how do you convert AH odds to 3-way betting odds ??[/quote'] I just use a look-up table which I got ftrom the Racing Post's book Betting on Sport. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted November 20, 2007 Author Share Posted November 20, 2007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted November 20, 2007 Author Share Posted November 20, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? Good price found for Millwall IMO MILLWALL:hope0.71.01.892.82172.35 Bet @2.35 with Bet1128:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jeffers Posted November 21, 2007 Share Posted November 21, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? Not sure what your ratings say Cavelloman, but Cardiff look massive value away to Leicester according to the 365stats ratings at over 4.00. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted November 21, 2007 Author Share Posted November 21, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? Agree about Cardiff. Should be priced around 5/2 IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted November 21, 2007 Author Share Posted November 21, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? Right this should be my final advices for this weekend (Friday to Saturday)have decided to swerve Coventry(unless 2.2 DNB becomes available) and Barnet (unless 1.95 becomes available) Le Mans (+0.25 AH) @1.94 with Bet1128:hope Will post up final matrix of bets on Friday evening.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SecondSight Posted November 22, 2007 Share Posted November 22, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? I have taken some of Rotherham at 1.97 on betfair, I agree they are value at this price, I hope it was a blip in midweek at home to Forest Green. It certainly should have focused the Rotherham players minds for Saturday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted November 22, 2007 Author Share Posted November 22, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? Late Extra Hull are away in a derby match to Scunthorpe and are rated Pen Pow +0.8 and Pure Pen 0.6 figures too large to ignore IMO with an AH of +0.25 Hull (+0.25AH) @1.87 with CanBet (if draw half win):hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted November 22, 2007 Author Share Posted November 22, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? Weekend Value Bets TEAMBETHULL:hope(+O.25 AH) 1.87@ CANBETMILLWALL:hope2.35 @BET1128NOTTS FOREST:hope1.66 @ BLUE SQUAREROTHERHAM:hope2.04 @ BETCHRONICLELE MANS:hope(+O.25AH) 1.94 @BET1128FIORENTINA:hope2.11 @ BETCHRONICLEJUVENTUS:hope1.7 @STAN JAMESRACING SANTENDER:hope(O AH) 2.17 @CANBET Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OLeg Posted November 24, 2007 Share Posted November 24, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? HULL in, more to go :cow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OLeg Posted November 24, 2007 Share Posted November 24, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? OMG!!! 4 wins and 0 loses!!! You are truly genius :notworthy:notworthy:notworthy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted November 24, 2007 Author Share Posted November 24, 2007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FleetFanatic Posted November 24, 2007 Share Posted November 24, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? Pure Class. :okMaybe I should do your selections as a treble.:lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rich46 Posted November 24, 2007 Share Posted November 24, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? :clapExcellent work yet again:clap Much appreciated!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted November 25, 2007 Author Share Posted November 25, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? Weekend Value Bets TEAMBETHULL:hope:clap(+O.25 AH) 1.87@ CANBETMILLWALL:hope:clap2.35 @BET1128NOTTS FOREST:hope:clap1.66 @ BLUE SQUAREROTHERHAM:hope:clap2.04 @ BETCHRONICLELE MANS:hope:sad(+O.25AH) 1.94 @BET1128FIORENTINA:hope:sad2.11 @ BETCHRONICLEJUVENTUS:hope:clap1.7 @STAN JAMESRACING SANTENDER:hope:clap(O AH) 2.17 @CANBET 6 from 8 this weekend:nana:nana Profit to Date = 167.49 pts:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spithas Posted November 25, 2007 Share Posted November 25, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? JUVENTUS 5-0 90 " :clap:clap:clap:clap:clap:clap:clap :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted November 26, 2007 Author Share Posted November 26, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? Profit to Date Value Bets 2007 = 167.49 pts:ok Stats for only this season Staked =390 pts Profit = 90.32pts Yield = 23.2% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted November 26, 2007 Author Share Posted November 26, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? A couple of games in mid week interest me in the Championship. HOME TEAMSPEN POWERPURE PENLOOK UP ODDSP A PR PRICEVALUECOMMENTSHULL:hope1.01.01.731.932.13YES2.13 (-0.5AH) CANBETBLACKPOOL:hope1.00.61.731.82.2YES2.2 BetChronicle N.B. Times predictor rates Hull at 52.8% and Blackpool at 47.4%. With Blackpool undefeated at home and Norwich with 7 defeats from 8 away I feel that i must go with my figures here. GL on Tuesday night:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted November 27, 2007 Author Share Posted November 27, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? A couple of games in mid week interest me in the Championship. HOME TEAMSPEN POWERPURE PENLOOK UP ODDSP A PR PRICEVALUECOMMENTSHULL:sad1.01.01.731.932.13YES2.13 (-0.5AH) CANBETBLACKPOO:sad1.00.61.731.82.2YES2.2 BetChronicle N.B. Times predictor rates Hull at 52.8% and Blackpool at 47.4%. With Blackpool undefeated at home and Norwich with 7 defeats from 8 away I feel that i must go with my figures here. GL on Tuesday night:hope Poor night:sad Loss on night = -20 pts Profit to Date Value Bets 2007 = 147.49 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted November 27, 2007 Author Share Posted November 27, 2007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted November 28, 2007 Author Share Posted November 28, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? Value Bets final Selections till Friday Night Sochaux (-0.25AH) @2.0 with CanBet:hope Caglieri (DNB) @1.5 with Sportingbet:hope Ipswich @1.73 with BetFred:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted November 28, 2007 Author Share Posted November 28, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? Sorry.... just seen this. Getafe (-1 AH) @ 2.04 with CanBet.:hope This equates to win odds of c1.65 so a litttle value here by my calculation Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted November 30, 2007 Author Share Posted November 30, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? 2 to Add WBA (0 AH) @1.8 with BetFred Valladolid (+0.25 AH) @ 1.85 with BetFred Rated at -0.3/+0.3 should on my calculation be the slight favourites for this match against Villareal having performed very well against both Barcelona and Real Madrid, In both matches creating more chances then their rivals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted November 30, 2007 Author Share Posted November 30, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? Bets for Dec 1-2 TEAMODDSPORTSMOUTH:hope2.27SUNDERLAND:hope1.73IPSWICH:hope1.73WBA:hope0 AH @1.8MOTHERWELL:hope(-1 AH) @1.84SOCHEAUX:hope(- 0.25AH) @2.0CAGLIERI:hopeDNB @1.5BAYER LEVEN:hope(O AH) 2.02GETAFE:hope(-1 AH) @2.04VALADOLID:hope(+0.25 AH) @1.85 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 1, 2007 Author Share Posted December 1, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? Bets for Dec 1-2 TEAMODDSPORTSMOUTH:hope:sad2.27SUNDERLAND:hope:clap1.73IPSWICH:hope:sad1.73WBA:hope:\0 AH @1.8MOTHERWELL:hope:clap(-1 AH) @1.85SOCHEAUX:hope:sad(- 0.25AH) @2.0CAGLIERI:hope:\DNB @1.5BAYER LEVEN:hope:clap(O AH) 2.02GETAFE:hope:\(-1 AH) @2.04VALADOLID:hope:clap(+0.25 AH) @1.88 Profit for the weekend = 4.4 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 2, 2007 Author Share Posted December 2, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? Profit to Date Value Bets 2007 = 151.89 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 4, 2007 Author Share Posted December 4, 2007 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 4, 2007 Author Share Posted December 4, 2007 Re: Cavelloman Power Ratings? Looks like I've missed the boat with Bayer now less then 1.4 everywhere. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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