Player Posted February 3, 2007 Share Posted February 3, 2007 This is my third attempt to play a system on the home teams. The first one was: http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/showthread.php?t=41166 , which ended very quich, and I blown my starting bankroll of $100. The second one was: http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/showthread.php?t=41318 . Here things looked excellent, I succeeded to quadruple my starting bankroll of $540, but after that in just 2 days everything vanished. I closed the system with an insignificant gain. In the hope that I have learned two important facts from these systems, which are: - betting on home teams with odds worst than -160 makes no sense, and - periodically the plus made compared to the starting bankroll needs to be withdrawn, to avoid a wipeout when the inevitable bad run will come, I start this new system. ----------------------------------------------------------------- The rules I will set here will be very stricly respected. Rule 1: I will bet only on home teams to win, any sport, 2 way and 3 way bets, having odds between -110 and -160. Rule 2: I will apply a Martingale progression, based theoretically on odds of -160, as follows: Bet 1 = 1 Unit Bet 2 = 1.6 Units Bet 3 = 4.16 Units Bet 4 = 10.83 Units Bet 5 = 28.13 Units The units are calculated like after a loss (or 2-4 losses in row) with a win to just recover the previous loss (or the sum of previous losses). The number of units needed = 45.71 Starting Bankroll = $500.00 Theoretically I can lose maximum 4 times in row, taking on every bet odds of exactly -160. Practically, Rule 2 will work like if a bad run will occur (multiple losses in row) taking odds better than -160 will make maybe possible to have the chance of a sixth bet, after 5 losses in row. This, because the next wager in the progression will be calculated every time to just brake even in case of win with the previous loss/losses. Rule 3: Every time when a plus of $250 will be achieved compared to the starting bankroll, I will withdraw this amount. Rule 4: I will be betting only at one game at a time, and only after the conclusion of the previous bet is known with certainity. The bets will be placed at Pinnacle, BWIN and CanBet. ----------------------------------------------------------------- The system will start tomorrow, February 3, and will be played with real money. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 3, 2007 Author Share Posted February 3, 2007 Bet 1 Bet 1: Date: Saturday, February 3 2007 Competition, Sport: 1st Division, Cyprus, Soccer Game: Aris Limmasol @ EN Paralimniou Bookmaker: BWIN Pick: EN Paralimniou to win Odds: -133.33 Wager: $9.12 (is equal with wagering $10.94 at -160) Possible win: $6.84 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted February 3, 2007 Share Posted February 3, 2007 Re: Home advantage (Playin' with the fire 4) Good luck with your new system :) Aldric Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 3, 2007 Author Share Posted February 3, 2007 Re: Home advantage (Playin' with the fire 4) Good luck with your new system :) Aldric Thanks mate! :ok It's quite hard to begin from 0 again, and with a potentially a lot lower profits increasing system (if everything goes well) after I blown over $1,500 in pure profits in my last closed thread. :sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 3, 2007 Author Share Posted February 3, 2007 Re: Bet 1 Bet 1: Game: Aris Limmasol @ EN Paralimniou The game was postponed and I cancelled the bet. :( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 3, 2007 Author Share Posted February 3, 2007 Bet 1 Bet 1: Date: Saturday, February 3 2007 Competition, Sport: Portuguese Superliga, Soccer Game: Academica @ Naval Bookmaker: CanBet Pick: Naval to win Odds: -125 Wager: $8.55 (is equal with wagering $10.94 at -160) Possible win: $6.84 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 3, 2007 Author Share Posted February 3, 2007 Re: Bet 1 Game: Academica @ Naval This match is gonna be only tomorrow, Sunday...:@ :eyes I guess because of the stupid kind of presentation of the betting events at CanBet (the dates are mixed up, because the matches are ordered by countries) I didn't paid enough attention to the date. Now I can not cancel, and I don't have other choice, that when it comes the time to this bet to increase the wager depending how the situation will be on the system until then. So this will be actually bet nr. "x" and not 1, and Bet 1 will come up now. Arrgggh, it's something funky about this thread, I can't seem to be able to get it started... Ridiculous?! :unsure :loon :dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 3, 2007 Author Share Posted February 3, 2007 (the real) Bet 1 Bet 1: Date: Saturday, February 3 2007 Competition, Sport: Apertura, Peru, Soccer Game: Deportivo San Martin @ Coronel Bolognesi Bookmaker: BWIN Pick: Coronel Bolognesi to win Odds: -133.33 Wager: $9.12 (is equal with wagering $10.94 at -160) Possible win: $6.84 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 3, 2007 Author Share Posted February 3, 2007 Bet 1 result Bet 1 result: LOSER! :wall Deportivo San Martin @ Coronel Bolognesi 1-1 Amount lost: $9.12 Bankroll: $(500.00-9.12) = $490.88 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 3, 2007 Author Share Posted February 3, 2007 Bet 2 Bet 2: Date: Saturday, February 3 2007 Competition, Sport: NBA, Basketball Game: Los Angeles Lakers @ Washington Wizards Bookmaker: Pinnacle Pick: Washington Wizards to win Odds: -155 Wager: $14.14 Possible win: $9.12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 4, 2007 Author Share Posted February 4, 2007 Bet 2 result Bet 2 result: Loser! :wall Los Angeles Lakers @ Washington Wizards 118-102 Amount lost: $14.14 Bankroll: $(490.88-14.14) = $476.74 Bets = 2, Won = 0, Lost = 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 4, 2007 Author Share Posted February 4, 2007 Bet 3 Bet 3: Date: Saturday, February 3 2007 Competition, Sport: NBA, Basketball Game: Denver Nuggets @ Sacramento Kings Bookmaker: Pinnacle Pick: Sacramento Kings -6 (bought 1 point) Odds: -131 Wager: $30.47 Possible win: $23.26 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 4, 2007 Author Share Posted February 4, 2007 Bet 3 result Bet 3 result: WINNNER! :nana Denver Nuggets @ Sacramento Kings 87-94 Amount won: $23.26 Bankroll: $(476.74+23.26) = $500.00 Bets = 3, Won = 1, Lost = 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 4, 2007 Author Share Posted February 4, 2007 Bet 4 Bet 4: Date: Sunday, February 4 2007 Competition, Sport: Tipsport Cup, Europe, Soccer Game: FC Tescoma Zlin @ FC Artmedia Bratislava Bookmaker: BWIN Pick: FC Artmedia Bratislava to win Odds: -142.86 Wager: $9.77 (is equal with wagering $10.94 at -160) Possible win: $6.84 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 4, 2007 Author Share Posted February 4, 2007 Bet 4 result Bet 4 result: LOSER! :wall FC Tescoma Zlin @ FC Artmedia Bratislava 4-0 Amount lost: $9.77 Bankroll: $(500.00-9.77) = $490.23 Bets = 4, Won = 1, Lost = 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 4, 2007 Author Share Posted February 4, 2007 Bet 5 Bet 5: Date: Sunday, February 4 2007 Competition, Sport: Premier League, South Africa, Soccer Game: Black Leopards @ Benoni Premier Utd Bookmaker: BWIN Pick: Benoni Premier Utd to win Odds: -111.11 Wager: $10.86 Possible win: $9.77 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 4, 2007 Author Share Posted February 4, 2007 Bet 5 result Bet 5 result: LOSER! :wall Black Leopards @ Benoni Premier Utd 2-1 Amount lost: $10.86 Bankroll: $(490.23-10.86) = $479.37 Bets = 5, Won = 1, Lost = 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 4, 2007 Author Share Posted February 4, 2007 Bet 6 Bet 6: Date: Saturday, February 3 2007 Competition, Sport: Portuguese Superliga, Soccer Game: Academica @ Naval Bookmaker: BWIN Pick: Naval to win Odds: -125 Wager: $25.79 Possible win: $20.63 ------------------------------- I already bet on this game first time yesterday $8.55. Now I made an additional bet of $17.24, but now at BWIN not CanBet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 4, 2007 Author Share Posted February 4, 2007 After 5 bets... This is a horrible start for the system... :sad Maybe the Gods of betting that's why didn't wanted to let me begin, having 2 "false" starts yesterday. :lol What is ridiculous, my other thread (Home dogs only) which is paper trail only, it goes a lot better than I imagined, because the odds I play there. :loon Of course, all this is because of pure luck or unluck (!?).:unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 4, 2007 Author Share Posted February 4, 2007 Bet 6 result Bet 6 result: LOSER! :wall Academica @ Naval 1-0 Amount lost: $25.79 Bankroll: $(479.37-25.79) = $453.58 Bets = 6, Won = 1, Lost = 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 4, 2007 Author Share Posted February 4, 2007 Bet 7 Bet 7: Date: Saturday, February 3 2007 Competition, Sport: French Ligue 1, Soccer Game: Paris St-Germain @ Marseille Bookmaker: CanBet Pick: Marseille to win Odds: -115 Wager: $53.38 Possible win: $46.42 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 4, 2007 Author Share Posted February 4, 2007 Bet 7 result Bet 7 result: LOSER! :wall Paris St-Germain @ Marseille 1-1 Amount lost: $53.38 Bankroll: $(453.58-53.38) = $400.20 Bets = 7, Won = 1, Lost = 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 4, 2007 Author Share Posted February 4, 2007 Bet 8 Bet 8: Date: Saturday, February 3 2007 Competition, Sport: International, Soccer Game: Trinidad and Tobago @ Costa Rica Bookmaker: Pinnacle Pick: Costa Rica -0.5 and -1 Odds: -127 Wager: $126.75 Possible win: $99.80 or $49.90 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 5, 2007 Author Share Posted February 5, 2007 Bet 8 result Bet 8 result: WINNER! :nana Trinidad and Tobago @ Costa Rica 0-4 Amount won: $99.80 Bankroll: $(400.20+99.80) = $500.00 Bets = 8, Won = 2, Lost = 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 5, 2007 Author Share Posted February 5, 2007 Bet 9 Bet 9: Date: Monday, February 5 2007 Competition, Sport: FA Premier Reserves League, England, Soccer Game: Portsmouth (Reserves) @ Watford (reserves) Bookmaker: BWIN Pick: Watford (reserves) to win Odds: -142.86 Wager: $9.77 (is equal with wagering $10.94 at -160) Possible win: $6.84 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 5, 2007 Author Share Posted February 5, 2007 Bet 9 result Bet 9 result: LOSER! :wall Portsmouth (Reserves) @ Watford (reserves) 4-1 Amount lost: $9.77 Bankroll: $(500.00-9.77) = $490.23 Bets = 9, Won = 2, Lost = 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 5, 2007 Author Share Posted February 5, 2007 Bet 10 Bet 10: Date: Monday, February 5 2007 Competition, Sport: NBA Basketball Game: New Jersey Nets @ Philadelphia 76ers Bookmaker: Pinnacle Pick: Philadelphia 76ers to win Odds: -119 Wager: $11.63 Possible win: $9.77 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 6, 2007 Author Share Posted February 6, 2007 Bet 10 result Bet 10 result: WINNER! :nana New Jersey Nets @ Philadelphia 76ers 98-100 Amount won: $9.77 Bankroll: $(490.23+9.77) = $500.00 Bets = 10, Won = 3, Lost = 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 6, 2007 Author Share Posted February 6, 2007 Bet 11 Bet 11: Date: Monday, February 5 2007 Competition, Sport: NCAA, Basketball Game: Gonzaga @ Loyola Marymount Bookmaker: Pinnacle Pick: Loyola Marymount +11.5 (I bought 1 point) Odds: -129 Wager: $8.83 (is equal with wagering $10.94 at -160) Possible win: $6.84 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Player Posted February 6, 2007 Author Share Posted February 6, 2007 Bet 11 result Bet 11 result: WINNER! :nana Gonzaga @ Loyola Marymount 61-67 Amount won: $6.84 Bankroll: $(500.00+6.84) = $506.84 Bets = 11, Won = 4, Lost = 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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