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Mlb 12/4

Juuso
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Juuso

Juuso

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Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers Tigers 2.0 (Mansion) 4 units Tigers -1.5 3.18 (Mansion) 2 units CWS: RHP Jose Contreras (0-0, 3.00 ERA) DET: LHP Nate Robertson (1-0, 5.06 ERA) Found really good odds for this game at Mansion exchange. Detroit opened as a favorite of about 1.92 when the odds came out on sportsbooks. I have to go with the home side who have played really good baseball so far going 5-2, with second loss coming last game against the CWS. It was a very even game and could have gone either way. As the pitchers go, both had quite ok starts of the season. Nate Robertson pitches quite well home at Comerica Park. Last season he he went 3-6 at home despite a 3.17 ERA which was really good, but he was a victim of lousy run support. Against CWS he was 2-2 with a a 3.31 ERA. Contreras is traditionally a second half of the season pitcher. He strugled quite a bit in the beginning months of last season and didn't look that sharp in his season debut, having trouble finding the strike zone during the first inning of his season debut, throwing only 20 of his 37 pitches for strikes, despite keeping the ERA quite low for the whole game. I like the Detroit in this spot to continue the strong play they have showcased in the beginning of the season. Important home game against a divisional rival so they definitely want to tie the series 1 a piece here.

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StevieFlack

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Re: Mlb 12/4 Will do my running total later tonight. Big double for me- Two pitchers yet to settle in in the San Diego vs Florida game- both struggled in 1st games- Moehler particularly with walking men. Im loving the over 8.5 runs here. 1.9 Affeldt taking the mound for KC AT Yankee stadium? this should be fun.Then wait for the KC bullpen to work its magic :nana Can see the Yankees scoring over 8 themselves, can KC get to chacon who has struggled so far this year? I think they can score a few Over 10.5 1.86 Really fancy both of these. 200pt double

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Matt

Matt

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Re: Mlb 12/4 I'm gonna actually back Kansas tonight, Affeldt isnt as bad as his ERA suggests and Chacon is certainly there to be got at, if KC can connect ona couple of long balls at key times they could have a shot. 3/1 is a very big price on a single win in a baseball match. Very Big.

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netadmin

netadmin

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Re: Mlb 12/4 NYY vs KC 1 st Inn Total Over 0,5 @1,72 stake:5 Kansas starter pitcher (J.Affeldt) was very bad on friday.NYY starter pitcher (S.Chacon) made 8 HIT 1 HR at 4 ings. MIL vs STL MIL (+1,5) @1,60 stake:10 I don't trust to Marquis (STL) and MIL play H2H with Marquis..

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Bamse81

Bamse81

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Re: Mlb 12/4 I dont know squat about baseball but i just happened to stumble on some info.. Toronto and Boston face eachother for the second day in a row. Boston won the last game 5-3 scoring 4 in the second inning.. They look stabile winning 7 out of the last 8. Thoughts on this guys? Thinking about backing them at 1.71 :P

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TheRat

TheRat

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Re: Mlb 12/4

I dont know squat about baseball but i just happened to stumble on some info.. Toronto and Boston face eachother for the second day in a row. Boston won the last game 5-3 scoring 4 in the second inning.. They look stabile winning 7 out of the last 8. Thoughts on this guys? Thinking about backing them at 1.71 :P
I have no idea, but I remember seeing something identical to this last year but it was Texas instead of Boston who had beaten the same team away the night before and were playing them at home. They were also on a roll, so I backed Texas thinking it was a very good bet, and they got hammered! :eyes
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Mr Intensity

Mr Intensity

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Re: Mlb 12/4

SportMLB
EventSeattle Mariners (Meche) @ Cleveland Indians (Byrd)
SelectionCleveland (Byrd) -1.5
Strength10/10
Date12/04/2006
Bookmaker/PricePinnacle Sports @ 2.41 (Back)
ReasoningPretty much everything points towards a Cleveland victory, and it's a pretty solid line to back it up. The Indians offense is on fire and in contrast the Mariners have been struggling after a solid start. Both pitchers picked up a win in there first outing, Meche was quite a bit better but I prefer to look at there records against todays opponents on this occasion. In 8 starts against Cleveland, Meche is 1-6 with a 5.20 ERA. Conversely, against Seattle Bryd is 6-1 in 7 starts with a cracking 1.46 ERA. Seattle will get it back together pretty soon, and Ichiro will certainly get going, but I don't think it will be tonight.
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Juuso

Juuso

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Re: Mlb 12/4 Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox Toronto 2.30 (WSEX) 6 units BOS: LHP David Wells (15-7, 4.45 ERA in 2005) TOR: LHP Gustavo Chacin (1-0, 4.05 ERA , 13-9, 3.72 ERA in 2005) Have to go with the upset here. Leftie Chacin is really the better pitcher than aging Wells. Yesterday Toronto lost 4-6 because of one really bad 4 run inning from the starter Towers. Both teams do have a lot of big bats, so i'm trusting Chacin here. Boston has started well but it's about time Toronto also starts to produce. In his career against Toronto, Wells is 5-9 with a 5.50 ERA. In three career starts against Boston, Chacin is 1-0 with a 5.52 ERA. Odds are dropping for toronto almost everywhere. Just Grabbed 2.3 at WSEX and that is good value bet imo.

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Juuso

Juuso

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Re: Mlb 12/4 Seattle Mariners @ Cleveland Indians Indians -1.5 2.44 (Mansion) 6 units SEA : RHP Gil Meche (1-0, 3.34 ERA) CLE: RHP Paul Byrd (1-0, 7.50 ERA) Indians are flying high right now. Offence is producing big hits and shouldn't be really different today against Gill Meche. While he had pretty good season debut, his numbers against Indians are pretty poor. In 8 starts against Cleveland, Meche is 1-6 with a 5.20 ERA. Byrds first start at the Jake representing the Tribe wasn't the best, but he got the win. He has really good record pitching at the Jacobs field in his career, his lots of contact pitching style suits quite well for the dimensions of the park. Also, Byrds numbers against Seattle is 6-1, 1.46 ERA in 7 starts. Expecting big game from the Indians again and -1.5 with 2.44 odds seems pretty good.

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Juuso

Juuso

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Re: Mlb 12/4 NY Mets @ Washington Nationals Nationals 2.61 (Pinnacle) 4 units NYM: RHP Pedro Martinez (1-0, 6.00 ERA) WSH: RHP Tony Armas, Jr. (0-1, 3.60 ERA) There might be some bad blood on air tonight at Washington. Last time these teams met at New York last week with Pedro on the mound, he hit Nationals pitchers 3 times. 2 times on Guillen which looked quite intentional. Guillen started pointing his bat at Pedro and running towards him, but was stopped by home-plate umpire Ted Barrett and Mets catcher Lo Duca. Both benches and bullpens emptied but no punches were thrown. Pedro is usually very overpriced and i don't see the justification for these odds against solid Armas. Pedro has been suffering from a toe injury and didn't look that sharp in his season debut either. Martinez has made 13 starts and compiled a 4-2 record against the Expos/Nationals franchise. Armas has a 5-3 record in eight career starts against the Mets. Have to play the home side because of the value factor.

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StevieFlack

StevieFlack

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Re: Mlb 12/4 2 more from me. Tampa vs Baltimore- a battle of th 11 and 42 era's! But im not going for the overs. Im betting that cabrera bounces back away from home.He has some real stuff if he does not try to hard- I reckon new pitching coach mazzilli will have calmed him down for his second outing. Baltimore -1.5 @2.3 Mets vs Washington - over 7.5 @ 1.9 I like to take on a low total.Pedro is still truobled by his big toe and his 'special boot' .tony Armas is pretty good, but the mets have the power to get into anyone. 100 pt double

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WorkingForTheEnemy

WorkingForTheEnemy

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Re: Mlb 12/4 LAD (Tomko) @ PIT (Maholm) Tomko got off to winning start for the Dodgers last game giving up 8 hits and 3 runs over 6 innings pitched. LAD won their first series against PHI and a win tonight means the worst they can do is split this series. LAD's bats arent doing too bad, theyre just leaving too many men on base. PIT are looking pretty woeful but have been managing to score runs. Maholm only gave up 5 hits during his first game but managed to surrender 5 runs and also walk 5. Im taking two bets on this game which I think are both good value, especially the win. LAD to win 1.94 @ Sporting Odds 8/10 Over 8.5 runs 1.86 @ Pinnacle 7/10

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Mr Intensity

Mr Intensity

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Re: Mlb 12/4

SportMLB
EventTexas Rangers (Koronka) @ LA Angels (Escober)
SelectionLA Angels (Escober) -1.5
Strength10/10
Date12/04/2006
Bookmaker/PricePinnacle Sports @ 2.15 (Back)
ReasoningAngels cost me last night by winning but failing to cover the run line, but now I think this is a great chance to get it back. After failing to take that win yesterday I think Texas will struggle, and the Angles have a great chance to take the sweep. Escober was great last season for the Angels with an ERA of 3.02 and started this season in fine form giving up 1 run in 6 innings against the Yankees. Slight injury concern about his damaged finger nail but the bullpen has been firing so they can last a few good innings if needs be. Koronka has only made 4 big league starts, and the ERA over 7 shows he has struggled. In his only start for Texas, he has given up 4 runs in 5 innings against Detroit. I see this as a great chance for the Angels to sweep.
Sorry the write ups are getting a bit short; very limited time, and I think research time is more useful than typing time:ok
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