Mr Intensity Posted January 15, 2006 Share Posted January 15, 2006 Another little Tennis adventure. I was shown this one by a fellow PLer quite some time ago;). I keep going back to it and testing for a week or two and then forgetting about it. However, it keeps on doing well so I have to go back to it. Really easy - when the lower ranked player is favourite, bet on him! Theory is just the ATP Ranking are overly important when the bookmaker/market makes up there prices. Also the higher ranked players are still favoured when they are out of form, or on a surface they don't like. The obvious example is Roddick on clay, although a lot of the time he even starts a slight favourite. Will be using 5pts fixed stake staking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 15, 2006 Author Share Posted January 15, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites JIMMY WANG (101) v Zabaleta (84) @ 1.641 Pinnacle 5pts BENNETEAU (162) v Daniel (97) @ 1.415 Pinnacle 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 15, 2006 Author Share Posted January 15, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites The market has moved enough to make Tursunov a play (albeit at a lower price than I took early in my own selections:\ ) TURSUNOV (59) v Henman (36) @ 1.90 Paddy Power 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ Posted January 16, 2006 Share Posted January 16, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites Do you have a list of current rankings ?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 16, 2006 Author Share Posted January 16, 2006 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 16, 2006 Author Share Posted January 16, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites Good start JIMMY WANG (101) v Zabaleta (84) @ 1.641 Pinnacle 5pts :D WON profit 3.205pts BENNETEAU (162) v Daniel (97) @ 1.415 Pinnacle 5pts :D WON profit 2.075pts TURSUNOV (59) v Henman (36) @ 1.90 Paddy Power 5pts :D WON profit 4.5pts W/L = 3/0 Staked = 15pts Profit = 7.355pts Yield = 49.03% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 16, 2006 Author Share Posted January 16, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites LUZZI (176) v Marin (108) @ 1.36 William Hill 5pts LEVY (218) v Kim (109) @ 1.90 Bet365 5pts VLIEGEN (87) v C Rochus (44) @ 1.57 Coral 5pts ARTHURS (96) v Pashanski (81) @ 1.61 Sporting Odds 5pts MURRAY (62) v Chela (46) @ 1.629 Pinnacle 5pts CLEMENT (68) v Mathieu (48) @ 1.72 Stan James 5pts DJOKOVIC (80) v Goldstein (66) @ 1.45 Pinnacle 5pts HAAS (41) v Gasquet (17) @ 1.53 ToteSport 5pts LUCZAK (144) v Minar (73) @ 1.72 Blue Sq 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ Posted January 16, 2006 Share Posted January 16, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites is there any difference in this between mens and womens results Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 16, 2006 Author Share Posted January 16, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites is there any difference in this between mens and womens results I have no idea. I don't like womens tennis because I know very little about players outside the big ones. Especially with there being so many Russians, I get confused by all the similar names:$ . I've done no testing on it at all, but I believe the mens works so I'll stick with that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 17, 2006 Author Share Posted January 17, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites Very disappointing night:puke LUZZI (176) v Marin (108) @ 1.36 William Hill 5pts :D WON profit 1.8pts LEVY (218) v Kim (109) @ 1.90 Bet365 5pts :@ LOST loss 5pts VLIEGEN (87) v C Rochus (44) @ 1.57 Coral 5pts :D WON profit 2.85pts ARTHURS (96) v Pashanski (81) @ 1.61 Sporting Odds 5pts :@ LOST loss 5pts MURRAY (62) v Chela (46) @ 1.629 Pinnacle 5pts :@ LOST loss 5pts CLEMENT (68) v Mathieu (48) @ 1.72 Stan James 5pts :@ LOST loss 5pts DJOKOVIC (80) v Goldstein (66) @ 1.45 Pinnacle 5pts :@ LOST loss 5pts HAAS (41) v Gasquet (17) @ 1.53 ToteSport 5pts :D WON profit 2.65pts LUCZAK (144) v Minar (73) @ 1.72 Blue Sq 5pts :D WON profit 3.6pts W/L = 7/5 Staked = 60pts Profit = -6.745pts Yield = -11.24% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 17, 2006 Author Share Posted January 17, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites TURSUNOV (53) v Robredo (19) @ 1.94 Betfair 5pts (before com) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted January 17, 2006 Share Posted January 17, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites ..... seems to be a fair system Mr.I.Looks like you know your tennis. What part of Newcastle you from then?;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 17, 2006 Author Share Posted January 17, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites Cheers mate:ok Even though it is down at the moment:( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted January 17, 2006 Share Posted January 17, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites ... yeah, small world.... I know where you are.I live near the Durham County Cricket ground at Riverside.Good luck with the rest of your picks.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 18, 2006 Author Share Posted January 18, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites TURSUNOV (53) v Robredo (19) @ 1.94 Betfair 5pts (before com) :@ LOST loss 5pts W/L = 7/6 Staked = 65pts Profit = -11.745pts Yield = -18.07% Really bad start:unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 19, 2006 Author Share Posted January 19, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites ANCIC (21) v Ferrer (14) @ 1.524 Pinnacle 5pts BLAKE (22) v Robredo (19) @ 1.415 Pinnacle 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 20, 2006 Author Share Posted January 20, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites ANDREEV (26) v Hrbaty (15) @ 1.862 Pinnacle 5pts GROSJEAN (28) v Coria (9) @ 1.662 Pinnacle 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 21, 2006 Author Share Posted January 21, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites ANCIC (21) v Ferrer (14) @ 1.524 Pinnacle 5pts :@ LOST loss 5pts BLAKE (22) v Robredo (19) @ 1.415 Pinnacle 5pts :@ LOST loss 5pts ANDREEV (26) v Hrbaty (15) @ 1.862 Pinnacle 5pts :@ LOST loss 5pts GROSJEAN (28) v Coria (9) @ 1.662 Pinnacle 5pts :D WON profit 3.31pts W/L = 8/9 Staked = 85pts Profit = -23.435pts Yield = -27.57% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 30, 2006 Author Share Posted January 30, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites I don't like this play very much, but, it is a system: DJOKOVIC (81) v Vik (59) @ 1.83 Centrebet 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 30, 2006 Author Share Posted January 30, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites DEL POTRO (158) v Portas (118) @ 1.66 Paddy Power 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 30, 2006 Author Share Posted January 30, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites FISH (247) v Gruel (130) @ 1.541 Pinnacle 5pts I forgot about one earlier (idiot:$). It lost anyway ut I'll include it for completeness. Only price I know is from bet365: MONACO (85) v Montanes (72) @ 1.53 Bet365 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 30, 2006 Author Share Posted January 30, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites DJOKOVIC (81) v Vik (59) @ 1.83 Centrebet 5pts :D WON profit 4.15pts DEL POTRO (158) v Portas (118) @ 1.66 Paddy Power 5pts :D WON profit 3.3pts MONACO (85) v Montanes (72) @ 1.53 Bet365 5pts :@ LOST loss 5pts W/L = 10/10 Staked = 100pts Profit = -20.985pts Yield = -20.99% Keep an eye on this kid del Potro;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 31, 2006 Author Share Posted January 31, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites Bloody Fish:@ FISH (247) v Gruel (130) @ 1.541 Pinnacle 5pts :@ LOST loss 5pts W/L = 10/11 Staked = 105pts Profit = -25.985pts Yield = -24.75% I still assure you guys that this will come good, just wait for a huge winning run, it's coming:lol :lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 31, 2006 Author Share Posted January 31, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites SALZENSTEIN (437) v Sabau (104) @ 1.337 Pinnacle 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted January 31, 2006 Author Share Posted January 31, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites SODERLING (66) v Lopez (34) @ 1.7 Centrebet 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted February 1, 2006 Author Share Posted February 1, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites SALZENSTEIN (437) v Sabau (104) @ 1.337 Pinnacle 5pts :D WON profit 1.685pts SODERLING (66) v Lopez (34) @ 1.7 Centrebet 5pts :@ LOST loss 5pts W/L = 11/12 Staked = 115pts Profit = -29.3pts Yield = -25.48% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted February 5, 2006 Author Share Posted February 5, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites MASSU (69) v Acasuso (46) @ 1.794 Pinnacle 5pts I like this one;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted February 6, 2006 Author Share Posted February 6, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites MASSU (69) v Acasuso (46) @ 1.794 Pinnacle 5pts :@ LOST Loss 5pts W/L = 11/13 Staked = 120pts Profit = -34.3pts Yield = -28.58% This really isn't working well, however, it's a long season and we've only just started;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted February 10, 2006 Author Share Posted February 10, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites MIRNYI (32) v Robredo (14) @ 1.80 Bet365 5pts HAAS (29) v Gasquet (16) @ 1.30 Pinnacle 5pts ACASUSO (33) v T Johansson (13) @ 1.33 Stan James 5pts MASSU (55) v Hrbaty (19) @ 1.62 Stan James 5pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Intensity Posted February 11, 2006 Author Share Posted February 11, 2006 Re: Tennis Lower Ranked Favourites MIRNYI (32) v Robredo (14) @ 1.80 Bet365 5pts :D WON profit 4pts HAAS (29) v Gasquet (16) @ 1.30 Pinnacle 5pts :@ LOST loss 5pts ACASUSO (33) v T Johansson (13) @ 1.33 Stan James 5pts :D WON profit 1.65pts MASSU (55) v Hrbaty (19) @ 1.62 Stan James 5pts :D WON profit 3.1pts W/L = 14/14 Staked = 140pts Profit = -30.55pts Yield = -21.82% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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