Grand Sefton Handicap Chase

[The Brigadier]

 

It’s the first time over the Grand National fences this season this weekend with the feature race being the 2M 5F Grand Sefton Handicap Chase and with the five day entries out tomorrow lunchtime I think there’s a bit of value to be had with the David Pipe trained King Turgeon. He’s currently 13lb out of the handicap but with a 7lb penalty for his very easy victory at Chepstow last week will be only 6lb wrong at present. That may also change if some of the top weights defect over the next two declaration stages. The six-year-old jumped superbly when winning last week over 3M 2F under Harry Cobden, coasting home to the tune of ten lengths. That was his first run since a wind operation and creeping in off of bottom weight can run a big race.

He likes to front run and hopefully his slick jumping will be suited to this shorter trip on hopefully decent ground.

I do know that he has schooled well over the purpose built National fences at Pipe’s base in Somerset and although this is a big step up from his last win he looks great each way value at 25/1 with MGM Bet. He’s beginning to ‘blue’ up today so I recommend an each way bet before tomorrow’s declaration stage.

 

KING TURGEON 1 point each way @ 25/1 BetMGM 1/4 1234

[richard-westwood]

Form and class 

Outlaw Peter. 604 total 1445 12.0

Authorised art. 568 total 1433 33/1 

Arizona cardinal. 576 total 1425 12.0

Sure touch. 567 total 1413 7/1

King  turgeon 559 total 1399 10.0

Brigadiers king turgeonev is rated top 5 and has been well backed all week into single figures ....could be a touch .....low rating comes from stepping up markedly in class ...unknown ....

Top 3 represent value in a tricky race .....hard to rate authorised art because can run stinkers but then puts in fantastic performances in between so you never know who your gonna get ... If it's a good day then 33/1 is vastly overpriced 

Currently I'd be 5pts win top 3 ....I'll monitor and watch entries