HORSE RACING VARIABLES

[MCLARKE]

There has been debate in the Speed Ratings thread about the importance of going and distance. This has raised the question about which are the most important variables to consider when making selections. I will start with my list in order of importance. Please fell free to comment or add your own lists.

Odds (both current race and previous race, exclude long odds)

Days since last run (higher preferred)

Race distance v distance of previous races

Finishing position of previous runs (not including last run)

Draw (this list is for flat racing only)

Number of runs

Number of runs (current season)

Going

Weight

Class movement

Country horse bred in

Race distance

Claiming jockey

Winning / losing distance of last race

Turf / AW

Weight v previous run

Official Rating

Finish position last run

Same / different jockey

Same / different course

Number of runners in previous race

Sex of horse

Age

Previous course

Handicap / non handicap

Official rating v last run

Official rating v last winning run

Maiden / non maiden

Course winner

Races since last win

Month

Course

Distance winner

Beaten favourite

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[harry_rag]

To be flippant, who’s tipped a horse on here when I’ve got a freebie or offer to utilise! But, for some people maybe tipster selections/naps can be a positive or negative signals as part of a selection process.

Then there’s spread betting prices, something I suspect hardly any racing punters would pay any heed to. Probably a red herring as my gut feel is they wouldn’t be of much use for that sport, but they’re hugely predictive for me in betting on goal and tryscorers so, if I was ever going to take a proper tilt at betting on racing I’d want to explore that angle if only to eliminate it