MCLARKE Posted March 11 Share Posted March 11 CHELTENHAM STATISTICS Based on the last 10 years SP rank in previous race 4 to 8. 59 winners from 1,285 runners, LSP 506 (Betfair Starting Price. Bred in Ireland. 146 from 2,387, LSP 413. 120 winners (43%) ran at just 3 courses last time, Leopardstown (65), Cheltenham (38) and Naas (17). From a total of 1,243 runners the profit was 386 points. Race distance same as previous race. 90 from 1,232, LSP 366. Poor run last time (in bottom third of field). 42 from 913, LSP 236. Race value no more than or no less than 40% of previous race. 84 from 1,033, LSP 209. Ran in a stakes race last time. 210 from 2,793, LSP 206. Ran in a Group 2 or Group 3 race last time. 87 from 1,178, LSP 206. Distance won by last time 3 lengths to 14 lengths. 97 from 727, LSP 92. Donnyflyer, tschurchy, StevieDay1983 and 3 others 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted March 11 Author Share Posted March 11 Some of these strike rates are very low so I have analysed the forecast top 2 in the betting for those who would prefer a better strike rate. Weight in previous race 11st to 11st 6 lbs. 59 from 220, LSP 118. Same jockey as previous race. 97 from 384, LSP 48. Odds in previous race 4/5 or less. 59 from 155, LSP 51. Tuesday and Wednesday. 79 from 301, LSP 93. Distance won in previous race 3 to 15 lengths. 68 from 207, LSP 82. MinellaWorksop and StevieDay1983 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted March 11 Author Share Posted March 11 13 minutes ago, MCLARKE said: Weight in previous race 11st to 11st 6 lbs. 59 from 220, LSP 118. Same jockey as previous race. 97 from 384, LSP 48. Odds in previous race 4/5 or less. 59 from 155, LSP 51. Tuesday and Wednesday. 79 from 301, LSP 93. Distance won in previous race 3 to 15 lengths. 68 from 207, LSP 82. Lossiemouth passes all 5 tests, Mystical Power, State Man and Embassy Gardens pass 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted March 13 Author Share Posted March 13 5 out of the 7 races yesterday were won by the 1st or 2nd forecast favourite 2 horses pass 4 of the tests today, EL FABIOLO in the Queen Mother and JASMIN DE VAUX in the Bumper Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted March 14 Author Share Posted March 14 11 hours ago, MCLARKE said: 5 out of the 7 races yesterday were won by the 1st or 2nd forecast favourite 2 horses pass 4 of the tests today, EL FABIOLO in the Queen Mother and JASMIN DE VAUX in the Bumper JASMIN DE VAUX won at 9/2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted March 14 Author Share Posted March 14 On 3/11/2024 at 12:18 PM, MCLARKE said: CHELTENHAM STATISTICS Based on the last 10 years SP rank in previous race 4 to 8. 59 winners from 1,285 runners, LSP 506 (Betfair Starting Price. Bred in Ireland. 146 from 2,387, LSP 413. 120 winners (43%) ran at just 3 courses last time, Leopardstown (65), Cheltenham (38) and Naas (17). From a total of 1,243 runners the profit was 386 points. Race distance same as previous race. 90 from 1,232, LSP 366. Poor run last time (in bottom third of field). 42 from 913, LSP 236. Race value no more than or no less than 40% of previous race. 84 from 1,033, LSP 209. Ran in a stakes race last time. 210 from 2,793, LSP 206. Ran in a Group 2 or Group 3 race last time. 87 from 1,178, LSP 206. Distance won by last time 3 lengths to 14 lengths. 97 from 727, LSP 92. Thursday's selections 1.30 Letsbeclearaboutit - passes 5 tests 2.10 Flight Deck - 7 2.50 Conflated - 5 3.30 Noble Yeats - 5 4.10 Shakem Up'arry - 5 4.50 Dysart Enos - 4 5.30 Chavez - 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted March 15 Author Share Posted March 15 A profit on Thursday due to Shakeem Up'arry Friday selections 1.30 SIR GENO - 5 2.10 BIALYSTOK - 5 2.50 READIN TOMMY WRONG - 5 3.30 CORACH RAMBLER - 4 4.10 PREMIER MAGIC - 5 4.50 LIMERICK LACE - 4 5.30 HOLLOW GAMES - 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted March 16 Author Share Posted March 16 A poor set of results. Always a risk with such low strike rates. SP rank in previous race 4 to 8. 59 winners from 1,285 runners, LSP 506 (Betfair Starting Price. -10 Bred in Ireland. 146 from 2,387, LSP 413. -79 120 winners (43%) ran at just 3 courses last time, Leopardstown (65), Cheltenham (38) and Naas (17). From a total of 1,243 runners the profit was 386 points. -13 Race distance same as previous race. 90 from 1,232, LSP 366. -18 Poor run last time (in bottom third of field). 42 from 913, LSP 236. -47 Race value no more than or no less than 40% of previous race. 84 from 1,033, LSP 209. 0 Ran in a stakes race last time. 210 from 2,793, LSP 206. -68 Ran in a Group 2 or Group 3 race last time. 87 from 1,178, LSP 206. -69 Distance won by last time 3 lengths to 14 lengths. 97 from 727, LSP 92. -38 Only positive is that those horses that passed 5 of the tests recorded 6 winds from 50 runs with a profit of 24 points MinellaWorksop 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted March 16 Author Share Posted March 16 The results for the shorter priced horses are much better. Some of these strike rates are very low so I have analysed the forecast top 2 in the betting for those who would prefer a better strike rate. Weight in previous race 11st to 11st 6 lbs. 59 from 220, LSP 118. -7 Same jockey as previous race. 97 from 384, LSP 48. +13 Odds in previous race 4/5 or less. 59 from 155, LSP 51. +3 Tuesday and Wednesday. 79 from 301, LSP 93. +6 Distance won in previous race 3 to 15 lengths. 68 from 207, LSP 82. -1 Those horses that passed 2 tests or more have 11 wins from 35 runners with a profit of 12 points MinellaWorksop 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Offramp Posted March 21 Share Posted March 21 I really enjoyed the whole festival. It was a lot of fun, including all the GAMES at this site. MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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