White Feather Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Age – 9 of the last 12 winners were aged between 8 and 10Price – 2 of the last 12 winners were favourites, 4/12 winners were in the top 3 in the bettingLast Run – 4 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Grand National Trial, 10/12 winners ran within the last 53 days3/12 winners ran in the Welsh National (Chepstow) on their last run, 0 of the 3 won, 1 placedPrevious Course Form – 7/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Haydock, 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at HaydockPrevious Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 24 furlongs or further, 12/12 winners had at least 1 previous win over 24 furlongs or further, 7/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 24 furlongs or furtherPrevious Chase Form – 11/12 winners had at least 7 previous chase runs, 12/12 winners had at least 2 previous chase winsRating – 9/12 winners were rated 138 or higherGraded Wins – 4/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 raceSeason Form – 9/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 6/12 winners had at least 1 win that season MCLARKE and yossa6133 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Feather Posted February 14 Author Share Posted February 14 Credo @ 5/1 Iron Bridge @ 5/1 My Silver Lining @ 5/1 Famous Bridge @ 5/1 Iwilldoit @ 7/1 Snipe @ 8/1 Yeah Man @ 8/1 Guetapan Collonges @ 9/1 Highland Hunter @ 10/1 Fontaine Collonges @ 12/1 Chambard @ 14/1 Where It All Began @ 20/1 Full Back @ 25/1 Note: Odds are subject to change MCLARKE and black rabbit 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 My ratings have I willdoit 9.0 Iron bridge 8.9 These two are clear of rest so look decent Ew bets ...but I'm not backing til Friday until I know final declarations and conditions White Feather, MCLARKE and black rabbit 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Feather Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 3 hours ago, richard-westwood said: My ratings have I willdoit 9.0 Iron bridge 8.9 These two are clear of rest so look decent Ew bets ...but I'm not backing til Friday until I know final declarations and conditions very wise to wait until Friday, more so if weather turns nasty. richard-westwood 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Feather Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 If you consider Rated 135 or higher, then that narrows it down to the first 6 in racecard order - Age 8-10 - distance That leaves - Iron Bridge - Famous Bridge - Fontaine Collonges . Venetia Williams has won this three times so Fontaine Collonges would be worthy of consideration and value at 14/1 richard-westwood and MCLARKE 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 On 2/15/2024 at 9:41 AM, richard-westwood said: My ratings have I willdoit 9.0 Iron bridge 8.9 These two are clear of rest so look decent Ew bets ...but I'm not backing til Friday until I know final declarations and conditions 5pts Ew both black rabbit and MCLARKE 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 225 Ascot Jay jay Reilly 8.9 15.0 Rambo t 8.8 14.0 Hyland 8.6 14.0 Irish hill. 8.4 9.8 These 4 are a bit clear of rest and I can't really separate them as each had it's merits ...with good prices on Betfair I'll try 5pt wins on each and hope they fight it out 😉 MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Feather Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 Issam 14/1 bet 365 - 14:25 Ascot - 5 places Fontaine Collonges 16/1 bet 365 - 4 places 2 x singles - each way double Venetia Williams has won this three times so I would also include Chambard in 3.15 Haydock at 22/1 (William Hill - single or each way. MCLARKE, black rabbit and richard-westwood 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 My stats for this race (hope they work better than last weekend ! ). Forecast odds 7/1 to 25/1, 9 winners from 82 runners with a profit of 75 points. Remainder 1 from 32, LSP -21. Horses bred in France, 5 from 27, LSP 52. This leaves 3, FONTAINE COLLONGES (20/1) , CHAMBARD (25/1) and FULL BACK (20/1). More than 1 win in last 10 runs, 9 from 71, LSP 77. This removes FULL BACK. Not a course winner, 7 from 63, LSP 75. This leaves CHAMBARD at 25/1 with UNIBET. White Feather 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Feather Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 On 2/15/2024 at 3:17 PM, White Feather said: If you consider Rated 135 or higher, then that narrows it down to the first 6 in racecard order - Age 8-10 - distance That leaves - Iron Bridge - Famous Bridge - Fontaine Collonges . Venetia Williams has won this three times so Fontaine Collonges would be worthy of consideration and value at 14/1 Fontaine Collonges non runner MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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