Jump to content
Attention, PL Members! To reinforce security on the forum, we have updated our login process. Please note that you will now need to use your email address to sign in, rather than your forum username. We appreciate your understanding and cooperation.

Super League & NRL Predictions > 15th - 18th February


Recommended Posts

I've taken an early St Helens -21.5 on the handicap at 41/50 with unibet. Saints put out a young side in their opening friendly and were turned over by Swinton Lions. However, their next friendly against Salford was a very different story, as they reportedly had a very fluent 1st half to lead 28-0 at the break. They then rotated heavily to run out 52-10 winners. Obviously friendlies must be treated with extreme caution, but it sounds like surprise "promotees" London Broncos have plenty of issues before the season even starts. They have already lost hooker Bill Leyland for the whole season, and on Saturday full back Josh Rourke broke his leg in a friendly v Oldham. They will also be without prop Lewis Bienik and their other full back Alex Walker. Apparently there is no other specialist full back, and Broncos are not going to sign a replacement. 

At this stage with the weather an unknown it's dangerous to get too carried away, but there is a chance of a big blow-out for the visitors, and it might also be worth a dabble on St Helens to win by 51 points or more (11/1 at Hills -  who have allowed me 23 PENCE)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think the bookies may have been a tad generous with their handicaps for this afternoon's Challenge Cup tie between Swinton Lions and amateurs West Hull. Since beating a young Saints side in a friendly Swinton have beaten North Wales Crusaders and Widnes in the 1895 Cup. They put 40 points on Crusaders away from home. West Hull are an amateur club who haven't come up against a semi-professional club in the Challenge Cup since 2019 when losing to Dewsbury 32-6.

Swinton Lions (-40) v West Hull 10/11 (hills).

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 hours ago, harry_rag said:

:ok Well done. Obviously didn’t follow as would have landed bang on the cap if I had! :)

Cheers - five 2nd half missed conversions didn't help the cause but enough tries scored to end with a 50-6 Swinton victory.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

image.png

Latest lines with total points yet to be priced up. Quite a lot of movement, especially St Helens where @Labrador flagged the early -21.5 as value. I'll be trying out an anytime tryscorer system to small stakes this season. Will give me an interest without involving me wasting as much time and money as in previous seasons trying to find winners using my "skill and judgement"!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • harry_rag changed the title to Super League & NRL Predictions > 15th - 18th February
2 hours ago, StephenR91 said:

Got on the -23.5 for Saints, as a Saints fan and looking at London’s squad and their injury issues, I think it’s a given really. 

The weather is set to be pretty lousy but hopefully that won't scupper Saints racking up a few tries. I'll be keeping an eye open for the tryscorer markets to see how the Saints forwards are priced up.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

49 minutes ago, Labrador said:

The weather is set to be pretty lousy but hopefully that won't scupper Saints racking up a few tries. I'll be keeping an eye open for the tryscorer markets to see how the Saints forwards are priced up.

SkyBet have released prices since the 21 man squads have been released. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 bets tonight, the bad news being all best prices are with 365 and there's no exchange market. Still a bet for me at next best prices.

Date Home Away Player Sell Buy Mid Fair Lay Back Best R# Edge
14/01/24 Hull Hull KR McIntosh 24 28 26 2.20 1.98 2.42 2.625 73.50 19.11%
14/01/24 Hull Hull KR Hall 29 32 30.5 1.97 1.77 2.17 2.3 73.60 16.84%
14/01/24 Hull Hull KR Evalds 23 27 25 2.27 2.04 2.49 3 81.00 32.26%
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Best value I can find for a St Helens tryscorer is hooker Daryl Clark (11/4 Bet 365). Obviously on his home debut he will be ultra keen to impress in having to follow in the boots of James Roby. Clark did cross in the recent friendly against Salford and is bound to make runs from dummy half, hopefully from close to the Broncos' line.

Other obvious forwards to score are Alex Walmsley and James Bell. The weather is likely to be better than I first read so I'm sure the backs will have loads of chances, in particular Jack Welsby and Tommy Makinson. However, the prices on these guys don't really appeal, so I'll just stick with Daryl Clark.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...