The Brigadier Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 With Fakenham falling foul to the elements we're left with Lingfield (subject to a early morning inspection) and one cracking race from Thurles on ITV on Sunday afternoon. Here's my thoughts on them - Lingfield 1.15 The Lightning Novices’ Chase has been re-scheduled from Friday’s abandoned meeting and has attracted just five runners with only 7lb between the entire field at todays weights. All can be given a chance of sorts but its the Simon Munir & Isaac Souede owed Matata that catches my eye. He carries no penalties here (unlike three of his rivals) and has shown more than enough in two starts over fences to suggest he can win this. A easy 10L winner at Ffos Las in a novice’s handicap chase on his chasing debut in October, he stepped forward from that when runner up in a similar contest at Cheltenham on New Year’s Day giving weight to all and a reproduction o that effort should see him thereabouts. MATATA 1 point win @ 11/4 William Hill Thurles 1.35 The 2M 4F Grade 2 Horse & Jockey Hotel Chase features six runners, four of which hail from the Willie Mullins stable. Stable jockey Paul Townend rides double Ryanair Chase victor Allaho who has also won this race in 2021 and 2022. He’s got officially 8lb and upwards in hand here and will be hard to beat. He looked good at Clonmel on his re-appearance after a 561 day lay off and there was plenty to like about his third in the King George over Christmas. He should be winning this with maybe his stable mate Appreciate It following him home. ALLAHO 1 point win @ EVS Betfred Lingfield 1.50 A valuable 2M class 2 handicap chase is up next with six possibles lining up. Irish challenger The King Of Prs is chasing a four timer and although 2lb wrong at the weights has to be respected. Devon trainer Jane Williams has her string in fine form winning with three of her last 10 runners and can take this with her six year old gelding Saint Segal. He stepped forward from a creditable third to Boothill at Ascot on his re-appearance in early November when looking likely to beat that rival three weeks later at the same venue when a length ahead and keeping on when unfortunately falling at the last. Raised 3lb for that he looks sure to be involved in the finish under regular pilot David Noonan. SAINT SEGAL 1 point win @ 5/2 bet365 Lingfield 2.25 A field of eleven line up for this class 2 2M 7F handicap hurdle which has a very open look about it. Dan Skelton’s Nurse Susan looks the most obvious but she has stamina to prove here and it maybe worth chancing bottom weight Classic Concorde who maybe the oldest in the field at eleven years of age but is in the form of his life winning five of his last six starts, with his only defeat coming on good to firm ground. His latest victory came at Chepstow on Welsh Grand National day when defeating J’Ai Froid by 2 1/2L with that one winning since at Warwick to frank the form (back in 3rd was the re-opposing Tanganika). The overnight forecast rain will help soften the ground and receiving weight from all looks a value each way play for Welsh trainer David Brace who has booked the promising 7lb conditional jockey Tom Broughton (15 wins from 64 career starts). CLASSIC CONCORDE 1 point each way @ 11/1 William Hill 1/5 1234 CLASSIC CONCORDE & O’CONNELL (3.35) 1/4 point each way double Lingfield 3.00 The feature race of the day is the £165,000 guaranteed 2M 6F Fitzdares Fleur De Lys Chase which will see six chasers go to post. My first thoughts were that I wanted to oppose the odds on favourite L’Homme Presse as his yard of Venetia Williams have fallen out of form having not had a winner 17 runs and 16 days and with the trip on the short side and the ground not soft enough but the more you look at the opposition its hard to think he will come undone. He’s won first time out three times in his career and with forecast rain overnight maybe the ground wont be too dry for him. I’ll sit and watch but with his only real danger Protektorat dropping in trip and carrying a 8lb penalty he should be winning. Lingfield 3.35 A decent sized field of fourteen line up for the Fitzdares Surrey National Handicap Chase run over a stamina sapping 3M 5F. The race looks open with many holding chances. The jockey booking of Harry Cobden for the Sue Smith trained bottom weight O’Connell looks very interesting. This is Sue Smith’s first runner here in the last five years (possibly longer!) and having only his seventh chase start under rules (his tenth in total) may have more to come now stepping up to a marathon trip. He ran fourth over 3M 3 1/2F on Boxing Day in the Lincolnshire National at Market Rasen (the re-opposing Animal was a neck ahead of him). He looks a value each way play with extra places. O’CONNELL 1 point each way @ 11/2 bet365 1/5th 1234 azzybear, yossa6133, black rabbit and 5 others 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 715 chelm Bosh 8.7 9/2 Letmeluvemylife 8.6 12/1 Blind beggar. 8.4. 9/1 Expert agent. 8.0 Close between these three and they are a little clear ....not sure bling beggar wants 6f ...would probably be better over 5f but he still warrants respect ....I'll try top two 4pt wins ....and 24 x 20p tricasts all four LEE-GRAYS, black rabbit, Gary66 and 6 others 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yossa6133 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 (edited) Saint Segal 1:50 Lingfield (5/2 Bet365). Looked like beating Boothill at Ascot when falling at the last. Up 3lb for that but looked one to follow. Think he beats all the domestic based opposition, it's just the Irish one that's a bit of an unknown and could be a big danger getting 7lb. Got a bit ragged and loses to the 12 year old First Flow 🤪 1pt win 5/2 Bet365. (actually boosted to 11/4 at the moment). P/l: +0.1pt Edited January 21 by yossa6133 Bedlam, MCLARKE, richard-westwood and 6 others 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
black rabbit Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 (edited) Fredo Banbou 1 50 Ling/ 1/20th of a pt win 6/1 Alaphilippe 2 25 Ling/ 1/40th of a pt ew 16/1 Dr Kananga 3 35 Ling/ 1/40th of a pt ew 25/1 Blade Runner 3 35 Ling/ 1/40th of a pt ew 28/1 Maysong 6 45 Ling/ 1/40th of a pt ew 28/1 - 3rd Edited January 22 by black rabbit N/R Nigwilliam, Brahmin, The Brigadier and 7 others 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Sha tin 0500 Fighting star Millennium Falcon both win Eight Triagrams each way Has fallen as far as he can now. A winner in June in a class two grades higher off a mark of 64 the mark he goes off here reflects the fall in class and perhaps this all time low will prompt a change in fortunes a fourth place last time out gives some hope here. The two bottom weights also represent the highest drawn lowest weighted and the lowest drawn lowest weighted and win bets reflect solid chances off both runners in a remarkably poor race. azzybear, The Equaliser, The Brigadier and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 the lucky 🍀 last Sha tin9:50Storm riderWinZoom boomHong Kong hallBoth each way azzybear and The Brigadier 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 AW selection Chelmsford 5.45 NINTH LIFE black rabbit, azzybear, Gary66 and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Equaliser Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Had a 2 pt L15 and ew acca on the Daily Gone for a 1 pt ew on Letmelivemylife at 12/1 with Bet365 in the 7.15 at Chelm. This is @richard-westwood's 2nd top-rated horse today. Been clipped into 9/1 with Betfred. Maybe Bosh will win the race but Richard Hannon has such a poor strike rate I can't bring myself to back it 4 points were staked today richard-westwood, black rabbit, Gary66 and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 purse prise 12.30 black rabbit, The Brigadier and Gary66 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 only by night 12.40 Gary66 and The Brigadier 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 3.35 Ling- 1.5 pts e/w NOTACHANCE 20/1 bog 4 places. Has a chance imo. Has come back down to a nice mark has won over the trip most have not in this decent price decent e/w chance imo. The Brigadier, yossa6133, MCLARKE and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Feather Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Angels Breath 14:35 Lingfield - 11/1 WH - 4 places Fern Hill 15:35 Lingfield - 11/1 WH - 5 places 2 x singles - each way double Nigwilliam, black rabbit and The Brigadier 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 I like 2 David O'meara trained runners at chelmslford tonight so ill have a 1.5 e/w double. 6.45 RIOT 9/1 7,15 GUILLIVER 15/2 Both BOG and paying 4 places 6pts invested Today black rabbit, richard-westwood and The Brigadier 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 intent approach 3.20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 regal blue 3.35 The Equaliser and anaconda69 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Chelmsford 1715 the lucky first !🍀 Roger varian’s odds on favourite is no certainty here and has found three too good this far in two runs. KITTERIDGE Each way has the best draw too. is interesting as a well bred newcomer owner breeder spikes my interest Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 On 1/20/2024 at 5:40 PM, richard-westwood said: 715 chelm Bosh 8.7 9/2 Letmeluvemylife 8.6 12/1 Blind beggar. 8.4. 9/1 Expert agent. 8.0 Close between these three and they are a little clear ....not sure bling beggar wants 6f ...would probably be better over 5f but he still warrants respect ....I'll try top two 4pt wins ....and 24 x 20p tricasts all four 1st and 3rd ....no tricast 😪....+9.00 but a profits a profit anaconda69, The Equaliser and black rabbit 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 (edited) The lucky last🍀. Chelmsford 2015 hopefully a selection will “appear” here five or six minutes before the off. reasons of physics suggests CABEZA DE LLAVE WIN VICTORS DREAM EACH WAY win bet & an each way bet. Edited January 21 by Sporting Sam richard-westwood 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Stateside Gulf Stream park 2106 Patou Road win off 287 days but won two runs back. Starts off for new yard and joins top trainer jockey partnership. This opposition strong but not the best and good starting point for the selection.,…. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Patou road second to the favourite. Gulf stream 2136 Lauriston win has Oisin Murphy on board for third run and his second of the night. Taken off heels 👠 last time out and made up ground hand over fist last run and simple calculation suggests he’d be capable of winning easily with a clean start. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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