Racing Chat - MONDAY 27th November

[calva decoy]

Typical , first day off in ages & NO UK racing on Sky Sports ☹️

2.15 Ludlow - MOON KING 13/2 eway Paddy Power .

Tony Martin sends this top weight over from Ireland & a good young claimer to boot , worth a small each way dabble .👎

Edited November 27, 2023 by calva decoy

[MCLARKE]

5yo selections

[Sporting Sam]

Kempton 1325

Bourbalis

win

this is a match race which sees the debut over fences of the high class handicap hurdler First Street for the reknowned trainer Nicky “ it was the vet” Henderson.

No doubt whatsoever there is a distance between these two of a street as first street was prominent at Cheltenham last year and is certain to be well schooled for this debut.

There was a lot ( for) me to like about bourbalis’ debut last week where he led the entire race before pulling up due to a slipped saddle. Even if the saddle holds today, he’s nearly twenty pounds wrong at the ratings and would have to put in a high class repeat performance just to make par. Although this could be settled in a matter of strides and first street will only need be pushed out to put distance between his rival here, the lack of cover has to be an issue for the odds on shot and those buying money 💰 may have a few shaky moments or not. You’ve got to love the underdog sometimes,  otherwise what is the point of sport? I’m dangling my carrot 🥕 of eight pounds right under my bookies nose today.

[azzybear]

imperial saint 12.35

[azzybear]

destroytheevidence 2.00

[Trotter]

8 minutes ago, Sporting Sam said:

Kempton 1325

Bourbalis

win

this is a match race which sees the debut over fences of the high class handicap hurdler First Street for the reknowned trainer Nicky “ it was the vet” Henderson.

No doubt whatsoever there is a distance between these two of a street as first street was prominent at Cheltenham last year and is certain to be well schooled for this debut.

There was a lot ( for) me to like about bourbalis’ debut last week where he led the entire race before pulling up due to a slipped saddle. Even if the saddle holds today, he’s nearly twenty pounds wrong at the ratings and would have to put in a high class repeat performance just to make par. Although this could be settled in a matter of strides and first street will only need be pushed out to put distance between his rival here, the lack of cover has to be an issue for the odds on shot and those buying money 💰 may have a few shaky moments or not. You’ve got to love the underdog sometimes,  otherwise what is the point of sport? I’m dangling my carrot 🥕 of eight pounds right under my bookies nose today.

I posted Bourbali in the Nap of the Day comp before I read your post

The outsider does sometimes win in a 2 horse race and my reasoning is that Bourbali will make all which might make the 1/5 ON Favourite go a bit faster than he might want to just to stay in touch ...... there's no other horse to drag the field back to the leader

Kempton has notoriously difficult fences so always risky to back a debut chase ..... particularly one bred for the Flat (by Golden Horn out of a Dutch Art mare, so there's a bit of sprinter in there!) and going into tricky fences a bit faster than you want to looks risky ....... 

Of course he might just hold back and pick him off at the end but hopefully the Fav will be put under pressure over difficult fences

 

 

 

[Trotter]

BOOM !

 

😜

[Antonio Margarettii]

3.35 kempton - call me rocky 28/1 ew 

Edited November 27, 2023 by Antonio Margarettii

[Sporting Sam]

3 hours ago, Trotter said:

I posted Bourbali in the Nap of the Day comp before I read your post

The outsider does sometimes win in a 2 horse race and my reasoning is that Bourbali will make all which might make the 1/5 ON Favourite go a bit faster than he might want to just to stay in touch ...... there's no other horse to drag the field back to the leader

Kempton has notoriously difficult fences so always risky to back a debut chase ..... particularly one bred for the Flat (by Golden Horn out of a Dutch Art mare, so there's a bit of sprinter in there!) and going into tricky fences a bit faster than you want to looks risky ....... 

Of course he might just hold back and pick him off at the end but hopefully the Fav will be put under pressure over difficult fences

 

 

 

Nice one Trotter👍 
I like to read the reasoning behind a selection and we’ve both come up with different reasons behind our rationale to make an even stronger case for Bourbali but 9/2 Trotter!

Lovely Jubbley !!!

I was on the allotment shovelling horse poo 💩 in the rain and stopped off to cheer Bourbali home. I don’t think anyone else was about and my loud cheers on a sunny day might have caused bewilderment!! 

!

[Sporting Sam]

Ludlow

1550

Metkayina

Jasmine Bliss

both win

profit for the day is already safely tucked away from the kempton race. This is a free bet to nothing with fergal  O’Briens runner likely to benefit from surgery and the Irish raider a beaten favourite at Galway and not here to see the roses 🌹 

Edited November 27, 2023 by Sporting Sam