Trends For The Cheltenham Open Meeting

[White Feather]

Leading active trainers at Cheltenham

Sorted by strike rate since the start of the 2018/19 season (minimum 25 runners)

• Gavin Cromwell 22.86% (8-35)
• John McConnell 19.61% (10-51)
• Emma Lavelle 15.91% (7-44)
• Henry de Bromhead 15.71% (22-140)

• Leading active jockeys at Cheltenham

  Sorted by strike rate since the start of the 2018/19 season (minimum 25 rides)

• Keith Donoghue 20.69% (6-29)
• Paul Townend 20.41% (20-98)
• Richard Patrick 18.18% (8-44)
• Rachael Blackmore 17.71% (17-96)
• Gina Andrews 17.24% (5-29)

[MCLARKE]

My take on stats for the open meeting, based on the last 10 years.

Outsiders do not have a great record so I have limited my selections to those with forecast odds of 7/1 or less.

The record of these is 117 winners from 563 selections with a profit of 48 points and an AE of 1.06. For the remainder there were 71 winners from 1,438 selections with a loss of 263 points.

UK bred horses have a good record with 28 wins from 101 selections and a profit of 53 points. The AE is 1.36

Horses that last ran 22 to 41 days ago have 47 wins from 172 runs and a profit of 101 points. The AE is 1.36

Younger horses have a better record. Those aged less than 7 have 79 wins from 324 runs and a profit of 67 points. The AE is 1.12

Horses with 5 or 6 career runs have 16 winners from 48 runners with 41 points and an AE of 1.45