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racing chat-thurs 7th Sept


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845 wolv

Very classy 100000 sprint .....lots of these have questions marks over trip or going etc ....so the doors wide to spring a surprise ......I've rated the lowest 5 draws and the one that stood out was aramis grey ....last 2 runs were a bit lacklustre so is a speculative bet ....but I think he wants a fast 6f which might explain recent poor runs and he gets that tomorrow ....Nice low draw ...course and dist form reads 1214 ....so 14/1 5places seems,a value bet in what is a difficult race

5pt ew aramis grey 14/1 5 places

 

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Happy birthday to mrs Brahmin have a great day!

 

southwell 1:45

Foxes socks 

each way

could turnaround collaborative form with mystic man with a 16lb pull and carries attractive odds with both horses going to pastures new since meeting here back in may.

 

haydock. 2pm
The three top weights occupy three of the four lowest stalls.
Crucially Dogged carries a penalty for a win and this should bring the lowest weighted lowest drawn horse Sameen into this.
Unplugged is the top weight.
Bollin Margaret is unpenalised for latest win and the rise is cancelled out by jockeys claim. With reassessment she’s up to seven pounds well in.
The  four year draw data says that horses drawn one to three have won this race 75%. It actually pinpoints stall 4.    (4.2 to be precise).
Sameen represents the best horse here potentially and should be backed each way. won a listed race off 91 back in 2018 for Jim tate and has dropped into the low sixties now. Bollin Margaret demands a small win bet given how well in she is.

Tim Easterby has a strong hand here training two of the four.
A combination tricast to include all four mentioned horses is the recommendation.

Edited by Sporting Sam
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No joy with the tricast but a massive third place at Southwell @ 28/1 in foxes socks and the pull in weights shows how well in mystic man was

 

Haydock 3:40

elminjod

win

broke the track record despite a tardy start at lingfield on debut and can settle this quite quickly if in the right mood.

 

Edited by Sporting Sam
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Mightily impressed with Elmonjed did it well under a penalty and looks one to keep the right side of to say the least.

3pm haydock 

Goodeveningmrbond

win

carries a penalty too.Charlie mason franked the form yesterday and the top weight should get the benefit of the weights and the draw as there is a non runner at the base and the next horse up also carries a penalty all that should go to goodeveningmrbond

The horse in the middle of all this should be right in the mix and should at the least follow the top horse home and could even win if the penalty stops this horse. Be here now is the horse in question and a win without bet is the call.

BE HERE NOW

Win without goodeveningmrbond

@ 5/4

Edited by Sporting Sam
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13 minutes ago, harry_rag said:

You've triped yourself up and got traped down a grammatical cul de sac there!

I don't know if you ever tried poppers in your younger days but sniffing popers would have got you barred from your local Catholic church! :eek

I’m from grays harry we are not that good at grammar 😂😂

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Wolverhampton 6:45

both noodle mission and yeoman are unbeaten here….

but pyjano 

win

hit the heights last time under this jockey and with a wide draw can close out late on. Hopefully Dylan Brown Macgonagle can put his Dundalk experience to good use.

the unexposed 

lunarscape

Each way

holds chances

Edited by Sporting Sam
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Carlisle 7:35

Marbuzet 

win

oh so chic

win

looks to have been laid out for this.

joanna masons only ride.

she rode this runner a month ago over further when a staying on second.

won this race last year and handicapper has raised the horse a pound for what he considered a good effort last time.

marzbut is the only other runner with the winning trip

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Wolves 8:15

 

belegoprince

win

faylayq

each way 

tony martins raider has been bumped up over a stone for his win at Epsom over shorter.

all weather debut, but win was by eleven lengths and the Irish lead has been swung wildly. Billy loughnane gets the gig and this would do wonders in the Emerald Isle for his reputation.

Faylayq has seen better days but they saw him win in 2o18 off a mark of  95 and Jim goldie has been whittling away at that mark for a while now….. a win here would do wonders for Paul mulhrenan’s reputation in India where he is welcome back anytime…

glennister could also go very well but he’d be blowing his cover as he would normally be looking to continue on an upward trajectory in class five and sixes exploiting a rising ceiling handicap mark but it must be quite tempting for Sir mark to land a big prize money pot and mess up the handicap mark. Likely to go close as it may be too tempting .

Edited by Sporting Sam
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22 hours ago, richard-westwood said:

845 wolv

Very classy 100000 sprint .....lots of these have questions marks over trip or going etc ....so the doors wide to spring a surprise ......I've rated the lowest 5 draws and the one that stood out was aramis grey ....last 2 runs were a bit lacklustre so is a speculative bet ....but I think he wants a fast 6f which might explain recent poor runs and he gets that tomorrow ....Nice low draw ...course and dist form reads 1214 ....so 14/1 5places seems,a value bet in what is a difficult race

5pt ew aramis grey 14/1 5 places

 

3rd ...ew money 💰 

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22 hours ago, richard-westwood said:

845 wolv

Very classy 100000 sprint .....lots of these have questions marks over trip or going etc ....so the doors wide to spring a surprise ......I've rated the lowest 5 draws and the one that stood out was aramis grey ....last 2 runs were a bit lacklustre so is a speculative bet ....but I think he wants a fast 6f which might explain recent poor runs and he gets that tomorrow ....Nice low draw ...course and dist form reads 1214 ....so 14/1 5places seems,a value bet in what is a difficult race

5pt ew aramis grey 14/1 5 places

 

Very nicely done Richard!!

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