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Racing chat-Tues 5th Sept


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Punchbowel Flyer                                              5 05 Gwd/               1/40th of a pt ew   33/1

Merveillo                                                             3 20 Gwd/               1/40th of a pt ew   33/1

 

 

 

 

   P/L   +170.95 pts

Edited by black rabbit
selections
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A nice juvenile listed hurdle takes place  at breakfast time…..

Auteuil 9:25

KALINE DES BOULLAT

each way

meeting normally starts late morning but the early start may have something to do with the heatwave. Adam west takes his juvenile hurdle winner vitani to take part.  He’s fit and ready to run, but likely not in the same manor as some  of these.  The selection was last seen making a winning debut on heavy going in March at fountaineblu. Put away since and whilst not as experienced as most of these, sits potentially unexposed and comes straight here with ground to suit.

also put in an each way double with stable switcher 

unemdeni

bangor 1-50

Irish raider and has the top jockey Jordan Gainford onboard.

Depending on the result of the french race, the Irish horse bottom weight and seeking a first win since class two hurdles success two years ago will be a win bet.

Edited by Sporting Sam
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Well the french horse was beaten out of sight and clearly needed the run.

The beauty of anything is learn from mistakes and take it forward.

mombetsu

12 :00 noon 

Koini Ochite 

win

Ragdoll

each way 

i know I have a dedicated thread for Japanese racing but here is a selection for the main racing thread. Jockey on Koini Ochite has a 4/4 record on this horse and also rode ragdoll to his last  win.  KoiniOchite does look the likely winner given the jockeys record. Ragdoll seems to relish the high draw and runs from 11  while KoiniOchite has a five draw and will have to break exceptionally well to win.

Edited by Sporting Sam
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28 minutes ago, Sporting Sam said:

Well the french horse was beaten out of sight and clearly needed the run.

The beauty of anything is learn from mistakes and take it forward.

mombetsu

12 :00 noon 

Koini Ochite 

win

Ragdoll

each way 

i know I have a dedicated thread for Japanese racing but here is a selection for the main racing thread. Jockey on Koini Ochite has a 4/4 record on this horse and also rode ragdoll to his last  win.  KoiniOchite does look the likely winner given the jockeys record. Ragdoll seems to relish the high draw and runs from 11  while KoiniOchite has a five draw and will have to break exceptionally well to win.

Koini Ochite now 5/5 under this jockey.

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One more Japan runner with apologies to any regulars who might not want the thread clogged up.

Ohi 12:50

Forza

win

small stake but has a nice draw and three of four wins have been on soft. Encountered here. Wada Jodi is an excellent rider 

mat the prices worth a saver on

Maen Jaran

win

******************************

Forza wins!

1st and 2nd  the winner was 7/2 and runner up 9/4.

Apparently you can watch these races on bet £3.65. There is a lot of value in these races and the big boys cannot manipulate the prices. I’ve worked out a few angles based on the Japanese psyche. They are meticulous to detail, work on biorhythms. The punters go mad on favourites.  a winner ten days ago will go off at 20/1 next run if there is a short priced favourite.

Edited by Sporting Sam
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Goodwood 1:35

dundory

win

on the right track 

each way

meleri

win     (draw data)

combination tricast

twi previous winners here in what looks an intriguing affair. There is no  solid reasoning to this selection other than  these just qualify on the draw and the basis that two of them have won this race and are well treated. Dundory Also qualifies on draw data using three year winner analysis 

Edited by Sporting Sam
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Bangor 1:50

Umndeni
win

first run for new yard for this Irish raider. Hasn’t won in two years and  is therefore primed on a good mark.

Won a class two and has Jordan Gainford on board. Gets lumps of weight from the entire field. Would be a massive suprise if not in the shake up , one of two horses who have made the ferry.

Blakeney Point

each way 

Edited by Sporting Sam
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Bangor 3:35

northern bound

win

small stake

going against the grain here
Northern bound has a huge rating in comparison to the clear favourite the progressive  the big jetaway .

Nothern bound won this last year and if this gets tactical even giving over a stone away may have the nous to concede the weight.

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Nothing to lose in backing 

Goodwood 3:55

cover up 

win

on handicap  debut

fouraday

win

the saver

************************
four winners including two in the Far East with one winning at 7/2.

Novel ledgend the best winner of the day providing an excellent finish to breeze home.

Caviar heights was very well ridden by Oisin Murphy at goodwood.  

Edited by Sporting Sam
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On 9/4/2023 at 4:09 PM, richard-westwood said:

505 good 

 

Live in the moment 8.7 7/1 

 

Mister bluebird 8.5   8/1

 

Aplomb 8.1 

 

Strong ratings for these top 2 so I'll try 5pt ew top 2 

 

 

 

 Live in the moment...wins ...Aplomb 3rd ...+32.00

Edited by richard-westwood
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Hamilton 

5:45

DC Flyer

Swordplay

have this between them. Both have course and distance and strong claims.

two other runners carry penalties for last time out wins.

 

dc flyer win

trainer uses a tried and tested route to this race 

 

swordplay  each way

Edited by Sporting Sam
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Hamilton 6:15

draw data

and physics 

and form 

says

Iris Dancer

win

has  very strong claims here.

three times a course winner at marks one two and three pounds below current mark and two of the wins have been at a class higher.

Drawn in stall four which my system pinpoints as the place to be and given another pointer via “ free energy

You can’t tell this to the horse or the trainer but everything suggests selection holds every chance. 

Edited by Sporting Sam
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