Maxi Stavros Posted August 27, 2023 Share Posted August 27, 2023 I primarily focus on team goal bets nowadays and after a good start to the season thought I’d share one treble each day of teams to score over 1.5 goals. I’ll show a screenshot of the bet and keep a profit/loss record for a month to begin with and see how it’s going. All bets can be considered as a 1 unit stake. First bet: harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted August 27, 2023 Share Posted August 27, 2023 Is this a system (where the picks are automatically generated and you just back them) or based on study of the stats and your opinion? (Just interested in whether it's a pure "system" or more of a "strategy".) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted August 27, 2023 Author Share Posted August 27, 2023 Hi Harry. These are all my own picks based on studying form and following different leagues. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted August 27, 2023 Author Share Posted August 27, 2023 Oh dear, that was a disaster to start. All failed. -1 unit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted August 28, 2023 Author Share Posted August 28, 2023 Day 2: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted August 29, 2023 Author Share Posted August 29, 2023 Day 2 lost. Total = -2.00 units. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted August 29, 2023 Author Share Posted August 29, 2023 Day 3: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted August 29, 2023 Author Share Posted August 29, 2023 Day 3 won: 3.3 units profit (have not included bet boost winnings). Running total: 3 bets, 1 winning bet, 1.3 units profit. alexcaruso808 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted August 30, 2023 Author Share Posted August 30, 2023 Day 4: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted August 30, 2023 Author Share Posted August 30, 2023 Day 4 lost: 4 bets, 1 win, 3 losses, +0.3 profit. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted August 31, 2023 Author Share Posted August 31, 2023 Day 5: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted August 31, 2023 Author Share Posted August 31, 2023 Day 5 lost. 5 bets: 1 win, 4 losses, -0.7 units down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted September 1, 2023 Author Share Posted September 1, 2023 Day 6: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted September 1, 2023 Author Share Posted September 1, 2023 Day 6 lost. 6 bets: 1 win, 5 losses, -1.7 units down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted September 2, 2023 Author Share Posted September 2, 2023 Day 7: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted September 2, 2023 Author Share Posted September 2, 2023 Day 7 lost. 6 bets: 1 win, 6 losses, -2.7 units down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted September 3, 2023 Author Share Posted September 3, 2023 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted September 3, 2023 Author Share Posted September 3, 2023 Day 8, another loss. 8 bets: 1 win, 7 losses, -3.7 units down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted September 3, 2023 Author Share Posted September 3, 2023 Summary of 8 bets so far. Out of the 6 goals needed to win each bet: 6/6 = 1 time 5/6 = 3 times 4/6 = 3 times 3/6, 1/6 & 0/6 = 0 times 2/6 = 1 time Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted September 4, 2023 Author Share Posted September 4, 2023 Day 9: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted September 4, 2023 Share Posted September 4, 2023 On 9/3/2023 at 6:04 PM, Maxi Stavros said: Summary of 8 bets so far. Out of the 6 goals needed to win each bet: 6/6 = 1 time 5/6 = 3 times 4/6 = 3 times 3/6, 1/6 & 0/6 = 0 times 2/6 = 1 time Good luck with the next few bets, feels like you're due a change in fortune! Not sure the above is that relevant a metric but might be worth tracking how you'd have done to level stakes singles on each game. Basically, if you're not beating the odds with singles once you've got a decent sample size then you won't be beating them with the trebles. The sample size for singles will be meaningful before the sample size for trebles is. ThunderDan9 and Torque 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted September 7, 2023 Author Share Posted September 7, 2023 Day 10: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted September 7, 2023 Author Share Posted September 7, 2023 Thanks Harry, it’s not going very well although 9 bets is as you would say is exceptionally small sample size. I have however been having a really good start to the season on my bets, so I can’t palm this off as I’m on a bad run of luck. I have had an enormous success rate on my bets of away team to score so far this season. I may switch to trebles on that. A team over 1.5 goals seems easy, in 90 minutes of football you would fancy teams who are expected to win are likely to score over 1.5 goals but the bet has its problems. Teams 1-0 up after 65 mins often just try to close the game out and not over commit to score another goal. Whilst at 1-1 or 1-2 the opposition (especially an away team) will tighten up and look to see out the game happy with a draw or then 2-1 win. It makes this second goal tricky to get. I will do a month worth but I’m already planning a different strategy, I don’t think this one is going to be profitable. harry_rag and ThunderDan9 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted September 7, 2023 Author Share Posted September 7, 2023 3 hours ago, Maxi Stavros said: Day 10: A goal short again. Day 9: 9 bets: 1 win, 8 losses, -4.7 units down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted September 7, 2023 Author Share Posted September 7, 2023 Correction: Day 10: 10 bets: 1 win, 9 losses, -5.7 units down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxi Stavros Posted September 8, 2023 Author Share Posted September 8, 2023 Day 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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