FA Cup Predictions > Apr 22nd & 23rd

[StevieDay1983]

Here are the odds for the FA Cup Semi-Final matches scheduled for this coming weekend. The first of those two ties seems a lot easier to predict so keen to hear which way you all think the Brighton versus Manchester United game will go. @LordMulberry, what are you following up your Quarter-Final success with? 

[StefanBB]

Manchester City vs Sheffield United

Manchester City heads into this game coming off the back of a 1-1 Champions League tied result versus Bayern Munich. The Citizens are still in the game for retaining the Premier League, while they also reached the Champions League semi-finals. Their latest results shine a light on the fact that not much more can be done by the Manchester City defense. Manchester City has been mean at the back, with the total number of goals that have gone past their goalkeeper over the course of their previous six matches standing at 3. Regarding absentees, there's just a single fitness concern for the Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola to be concerned about from an otherwise complete group of players. Phil Foden (Appendectomy) is out of contention.

Sheffield United will go into the clash following a 1-0 Championship win to beat Bristol City in their most recent fixture. The Blades are now seven points ahead of Luton Town, and they will likely get the Premier League ticket. Paul Heckingbottom's Sheffield United has seen their goal attempts be successful a total of 10 times in the course of their previous six matches. The sum of goals that have been scored against them during the equivalent period comes to 5. Sheffield United boss Paul Heckingbottom currently has to contend with reduced team options. Rhian Brewster (Hamstring Injury), Enda Stevens (Unknown Injury), and Jack O'Connell (Knee Surgery) can't be considered.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Manchester City is a clear favorite in this match, and Sheffield United's FA Cup journey will likely end here. However, we don't think the Citizens will celebrate a comfortable win, as they managed to beat the Blades by two goals just once in the last seven encounters. We found the value in the Asian Handicap market, and Man City might not push too much since they need to control energy consumption.

Goals Market Prediction

Six of their previous seven encounters stayed under a 2.5 margin, and despite Man City's excellent scoring form, we shouldn't see more than three goals in total. Quite good odds on that bet!

Sheffield United AH +2.5 @ 1.80

Under 3.5 FT @ 1.88

Correct score 2:0 @ 10.00

[StefanBB]

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Edited April 22, 2023 by StefanBB

[StefanBB]

Brighton vs Manchester United

Brighton will be hoping for a repeat of their last result following a 2-1 Premier League victory against Chelsea. They still haven't given up on the continental spot race, as they sit in 7th place, four points behind Tottenham. Matches featuring Brighton & Hove Albion have proved to be lively encounters recently, with high scoring expected. Over their past six clashes, a total of 20 goals have been recorded for both sides combined (at an average of 3.33 goals per game), with 14 of those belonging to Brighton & Hove Albion. We will find out if that trend can be continued in this game. Jeremy Sarmiento (Metatarsal Fracture) and Jakub Moder (Cruciate Ligament Rupture) won't be available for Brighton manager Roberto De Zerbi.

Manchester United heads into the clash after a heavy 3-0 Europa League defeat against Sevilla in their previous game. It was a terrible display of the Red Devils, who have severe issues in the backline. Erik ten Hag's Manchester United has converted ten times in the course of their most recent six matches. The total of goals that have been scored against them during that same period equals eight. Manchester United manager Erik ten Hag has multiple availability issues to deal with. Alejandro Garnacho (Ankle Injury), Luke Shaw (Unknown Injury), Marcel Sabitzer (groin strain), Marcus Rashford (Muscle Injury), Raphaël Varane (Foot Injury), Tom Heaton (Ankle Injury), Donny van de Beek (Knee Injury) and Lisandro Martínez (Metatarsal Fracture) are names that won't be on the team sheet.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

This game can easily go either way, and we won't be surprised if it goes to extra time. Manchester United goes quite shaken into this game, and Brighton might capitalize on that.

Goals Market Prediction

The Red Devil's defense showed many weaknesses in Sevilla, and they still have issues with injured players in the backline. Therefore, neither team should keep a clean sheet in this encounter.

Draw @ 3.80

BTTS Yes @ 1.60

Correct score 1:1 @ 7.40

[harry_rag]

6 hours ago, StefanBB said:

This game can easily go either way, and we won't be surprised if it goes to extra time.

I agree with the "either way" angle. I think the market has swung too far in Brighton's favour and that United to qualify at 6/5 is a decent bet (was 13/10 in a place but just seems to have started shortening generally).

Given that United double chance is odds on and that the game would genuinely be a coin toss if it went to pens I think that odds against about Man U qualifying is a decent bet. (Though I'll look a bit silly if Brighton spring out of the traps a la Newcastle today.)