DC Posted September 11, 2005 Share Posted September 11, 2005 Hi folks, this is a system which involves identifying football games that produce at least one goal during the match. (sounds easy doesn't it, I promise you it's not!!!) I basically select games that my own system rules tell me to and roll the starting stake over. There are three markets that can be used if available on Betfair. These are correct score, next goal and total goals. Depending on which is the lowest lay price I lay 0-0, lay next goal or back total goals +1. I will not lay higher than 14.5 or back lower than 1.08. A run of 8 or 9 successful bets will double the starting stake. Last season using the same system rules I managed a run of 42 matches but I banked along the way. I am looking to turn a starting bank of £50 into £500 with 30 winning bets in a row. I will be focusing on matches taking place in England, Germany, Spain and Holland. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 11, 2005 Author Share Posted September 11, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system 1. Sunday 1.30 Crewe v Derby Lay Next Goal @ 12.5 Liabilty £50, potential profit £4.13 after commission Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted September 11, 2005 Share Posted September 11, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system Theres been lots of attempts at this on the Betfair forums, some with rather good results. Most important factor is to go with matches you know are good, not just jumping on the next available match. But then Im sure you know this anyway. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 11, 2005 Author Share Posted September 11, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system Yes I've contributed to some of those threads mate and thought I'd bring the topic to the sensible and less angry heads on here :D The beauty of having a clear & concise set of rules for the qualifiers make it very easy to operate. Games you think will finish with at least one goal can easily go wrong, and games that you think have more chance of ending 0-0 can often finish high scoring. The rules I use (and have deliberatly chosen to avoid posting), mean that the emotion is taken out if you hit a 0-0 - you can simply blame the system and not your personal judgement. My testing of the system rules leaves me confident I can get a run of 30 games AT SOME POINT DURING THE SEASON!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spreadman Posted September 11, 2005 Share Posted September 11, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system GL Danny, seen this system before, - there's me and my system wanting 0-0's, and you wanting at least 1 goal....tears and laughter guaranteed......:cry :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hodgey Posted September 11, 2005 Share Posted September 11, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system Good Luck Danny. I tried this last year and fell down with the goal that wasn't given at Old Trafford. :\ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friskyfitz Posted September 11, 2005 Share Posted September 11, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system Give this a go myself before and 2 0-0 games outta 4 matches put pay to it in the end. Has massive potential but can come unstuck big time. Good luck with it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 11, 2005 Author Share Posted September 11, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system 2. Zaragoza v Valencia 8pm Layed 0-0 @ 10.50 to win £5.70 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 11, 2005 Author Share Posted September 11, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system Two goals in game 1 (£4.13) profit and four goals in game 2 (£5.42) so the new bank stands at £59.55 after commission. There may not be a qualifier for a few days now, the premiership game tomorrow is NOT a qualifier. Catch you later Danny :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 13, 2005 Author Share Posted September 13, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system There are two qualifiers tonight (tues 13th). I will wait till Betfair is back online and post up which is the best price selection shortly before kick off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 13, 2005 Author Share Posted September 13, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system 3. Cardiff v Leicester 7.45 Lay 0-0 @ 12.00 - Liabilty £59.55 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted September 13, 2005 Share Posted September 13, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system There are two qualifiers tonight (tues 13th). Im guessing Reading - Palace was the other qualifier seeing as its your 2.5+ selection. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 13, 2005 Author Share Posted September 13, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system haha, no it was actually Brighton v Sheffield Utd ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted September 13, 2005 Share Posted September 13, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system haha, no it was actually Brighton v Sheffield Utd :\ Ok. I just thought that if it qualified for 2.5+ and fitted the price guidelines then it would be a qualifier for at least one goal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted September 13, 2005 Share Posted September 13, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system Well thats Bet no. 3 in. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 13, 2005 Author Share Posted September 13, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system Ok maybe I should explain mate. The 0-0 system requires both teams to have played a certain number of games, either home or away, IN THE SAME LEAGUE. Palace have only played two away games at this level and is therefore immediately ruled out. The +2.5 system has alternative guidelines. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingForTheEnemy Posted September 13, 2005 Share Posted September 13, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system OK, thats fair enough. Hope you see the logic I was coming from though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 13, 2005 Author Share Posted September 13, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system A big thankyou to ex-boro forward Michael Ricketts!!! :clap Cardiff 1 Leciester 0 (8mins) I made £5.14 (!) taking the bank up to £64.69 :D Haven't looked at tomorrows games yet. Bye for now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 14, 2005 Author Share Posted September 14, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system 4. Derby v Coventry 7.45pm Lay 0-0 @ 13.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 15, 2005 Author Share Posted September 15, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system Bet 4 was a success! A 1-1 scoreline and no pressure as the first goal went in nice and early :D £5.59 made from the bet taking the bank up to £70.28 DC Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 16, 2005 Author Share Posted September 16, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system Preston v Stoke. More likely to be 0-0 than not. No bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 17, 2005 Author Share Posted September 17, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system Watford v Sheffield Utd is the pick today at 3.00pm 0-0 layed @ 12.5 :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 17, 2005 Author Share Posted September 17, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system Watford 2 Sheffield Utd 3 - I'll take that :D +5.81 today Bank now stands at £76.09 :D Cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 18, 2005 Author Share Posted September 18, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system Believe it or not - this is a qualifer... Man City v Bolton 4pm 0-0 Layed @ 9.8 :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 18, 2005 Author Share Posted September 18, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system Man City 0-1 Bolton Manchester City were denied by the woodwork five times as a lethargic Bolton grabbed an undeserved win thanks to Gary Speed's late penalty. How lucky am I?!!!! :rollin :rollin :rollin Made £8.21 Bank stands at £84.30 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 20, 2005 Author Share Posted September 20, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system Bundeslig1 - Dortmund v Biefield 7pm IS a qualifier but price is too big, .. Will try and get on in-running laying 0-0 at 14.5.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 20, 2005 Author Share Posted September 20, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system Layed at 14.00 in running after 3 mins no score. I apologise for the lateness of the selection :( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 20, 2005 Author Share Posted September 20, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system 2-0 FT +£6.16 Bank = £90.46 :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 21, 2005 Author Share Posted September 21, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system 8. Nurnberg v Schalke ko 7pm Posted odds up of 14.00 against 0-0, not yet matched... Hopefully will be accepted by the time I get home from work... Cheers Danny Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted September 22, 2005 Author Share Posted September 22, 2005 Re: Danny Cash One Goal Will Do system Bet 8 was successful (1-1) AND I got matched :D +£6.61 Bank now stands at £97.07 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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