jonjo Posted December 30, 2022 Author Share Posted December 30, 2022 I wonder if we can get another days profit out of this one before it expires tomorrow! Category 1: Today 2.00 Easy As That (IRE) Haydock (LH) 11 Deutsch, Charlie 4/1 Williams, Miss Venetia Today 2.45 Presenting Jeremy (IRE) Taunton (RH) 14 Skelton, Harry 18/1 Skelton, Daniel Today 6.30 Approach The City (IRE) Wolverhampton (LH) 12 Mitchell, Jack 5/1 Frost, Kevin Today 7.00 Scarborough Castle Wolverhampton (LH) 12 Haines, Olivia (7) 13/2 Simcock, D M Category 2: Today 1.45 Kayf Hernando Taunton (RH) 11 Skelton, Harry 2/1F Skelton, Daniel Today 2.00 Young Bull (IRE) Haydock (LH) 11 Jacob, Daryl 11/4F Whittington, H Today 3.45 Colonel Manderson (FR) Taunton (RH) 16 Durrell, Mr T (3) 7/1 Skelton, Daniel Today 6.30 Pink Haze (IRE) Wolverhampton (LH) 12 Turner, Hayley 16/1 Simcock, D M Today 7.00 Eltham Palace Wolverhampton (LH) 12 Turner, Hayley 12/1 Simcock, D M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjo Posted December 30, 2022 Author Share Posted December 30, 2022 I did the system an injustice yesdterday as there 2 winners not one and the resuts should have been 9 points outlayed and 13.2 points returned for aprofit of 4.2 points, less 2% commission of course! MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjo Posted December 30, 2022 Author Share Posted December 30, 2022 Kayf Fernando placed at 1.79. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjo Posted December 30, 2022 Author Share Posted December 30, 2022 (edited) Easy As That wins the 14.00 at a Bfsp of 6.79 ? Young Bull finished placed at 2.14 in the same race. Edited December 30, 2022 by jonjo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjo Posted December 30, 2022 Author Share Posted December 30, 2022 In the 2.45 Presenting Jeremy placed at a nice 4.79. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjo Posted December 30, 2022 Author Share Posted December 30, 2022 Colonel Manderson sneaked into a place in the 5tbp market at 2.56 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjo Posted December 30, 2022 Author Share Posted December 30, 2022 Eltham Palace placed at 2.97. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjo Posted December 30, 2022 Author Share Posted December 30, 2022 6 of the 9 getting place mney. Win market, 9 points out just the one winner returning 6.79 giving a loss of 2.11 for the day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjo Posted December 31, 2022 Author Share Posted December 31, 2022 Last day before the system expires! May as well go with it. Category 1: Today 1.08 Shot Boii (IRE) Uttoxeter (LH) 14 Gillard, Fergus (3) 11/2 Pipe, D E Today 1.35 Farmers Gamble Warwick (LH) 13 Durrell, Mr T (5) 8/1 Skelton, Daniel Today 1.35 Last Quarter (IRE) Warwick (LH) 13 Armson, Philip (3) 10/1 Pipe, D E Today 2.18 Tipperary Star Uttoxeter (LH) 13 Kitts, Dylan (10) 7/1 Greatrex, W J Category 2: Today 12.10 Petticoat Lucy (IRE) Newbury (LH) 9 Skelton, Harry 6/1 Scott, J Today 12.10 Lady Gwen Newbury (LH) 9 Moore, Jamie 12/1 Williams, Mrs Jane Today 12.25 Lagonda Warwick (LH) 10 Quinlan, S M (3) 14/1 Williams, Miss Venetia Today 1.00 Horizon Dainay (FR) Warwick (LH) 13 Durrell, Mr T (5) 10/1 Skelton, Daniel Today 1.08 Harrys Hottie (IRE) Uttoxeter (LH) 14 Jacob, Daryl 17/2 Whittington, H Today 1.15 Gallic Geordie Newbury (LH) 10 Dunne, R T 3/1 Drinkwater, S W Today 1.35 One Fer Mamma (IRE) Warwick (LH) 13 Fox, Ned (7) 4/1F Sheppard, M Today 1.43 Hermes Boy (FR) Uttoxeter (LH) 12 Noonan, David G 5/1 Williams, Mrs Jane Today 2.53 Helios Allen (FR) Uttoxeter (LH) 15 Noonan, David G 16/1 Williams, Mrs Jane Today 2.53 Walk In Clover (IRE) Uttoxeter (LH) 15 England, David 18/1 Skelton, Daniel MCLARKE 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjo Posted December 31, 2022 Author Share Posted December 31, 2022 12.10 Lady Glen 4tbp at 2.19 12.25 Lagonda placed at a nice 4.04 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjo Posted December 31, 2022 Author Share Posted December 31, 2022 Shot Boli a nice winner, backed well from 11/2 and the Bfsp was 5.3. ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjo Posted December 31, 2022 Author Share Posted December 31, 2022 1.15 Gallic Geordie placed at 2.56 in the 2tbp and 1.84 in the 3tbp. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjo Posted December 31, 2022 Author Share Posted December 31, 2022 So close Farmers Gamble traded odds on in running could only finish second though at a tasty 5.45 in the 2Tbp market or 3.5 in the 3 Tbp market. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjo Posted December 31, 2022 Author Share Posted December 31, 2022 Hermes Boy placed 2nd at 3.84 in the 2Tbp market or2.3 in the 3Tbp market. Plenty of profits in the place market but need another winner. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjo Posted December 31, 2022 Author Share Posted December 31, 2022 Tipperary Star also traded odds on in running but could only place, 3rd, Bfsp was 2.52 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted January 1, 2023 Share Posted January 1, 2023 I've had a quick look at trainers based on last 6 years January data. I've sorted by number of runners and then looked at those trainers with an AE greater than 1.02. Nicky Henderson is top but has made a loss for the last 3 years so I'll pass him by. Next is Donald McCain Jnr with an AE of 1.21 I'll apply just 1 filter and exclude runners at more than 2m4f as his record for the longer distances is poor with an AE of 0.76 I'll also exclude those horses with forecast odds of 20/1 or higher as they also have a poor record All bets will be recorded at BSP Plenty of selections today Catterick 2.25 Whitehaven Musselburgh 2.45 Nayati Musselburgh 2.45 Collingham Musselburgh 3.20 Gaelik Coast Musselburgh 3.20 Navajo Pass Catterick 3.35 Cartonne Cheltenham 3.40 Dino Bellagio Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 A good start yesterday with Nayati winning at 14.50 1 from 6, LSP 8.23 His other runner Collingham was 2nd in that race, the SF paid 114.62 (not that I ever bet forecasts) In future I will put these selections up on the daily thread Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted February 2, 2023 Share Posted February 2, 2023 On 1/1/2023 at 2:18 PM, MCLARKE said: I've had a quick look at trainers based on last 6 years January data. I've sorted by number of runners and then looked at those trainers with an AE greater than 1.02. Nicky Henderson is top but has made a loss for the last 3 years so I'll pass him by. Next is Donald McCain Jnr with an AE of 1.21 I'll apply just 1 filter and exclude runners at more than 2m4f as his record for the longer distances is poor with an AE of 0.76 I'll also exclude those horses with forecast odds of 20/1 or higher as they also have a poor record All bets will be recorded at BSP This confirms to me that making profits from trainers is very difficult. A very poor return with 6 winners from 57 runners and a loss of 22 points. AE was 0.74. I've had a look at other options but struggled to find anything that gave a significant edge. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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