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Premier League Predictions > Mar 16th - 20th


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Arsenal vs Liverpool

Arsenal
Arsenal beat the former champion Leicester City 2-0 at home last time out. Mike Arteta's side have brought another comprehensive display for having returned to the top-four before Manchester United and have led them by one point with three games in hand. The Gunners have now witnessed the glory of five consecutive Premier League games - having scored at least two goals in each of the last four games.
Liverpool
Liverpool made a 0-2 away success to Brighton last time out. The Reds have won 13 of the last 14 games and have lost only two away games across all the competitions this season. The second-placed visiting team are now only four points behind Manchester City. The South Coast victory marked their eighth victory in the Premier League and their third clean sheet in the top flight, winning all of their last five away games,

Prediction
Arsenal have made great progress and are fully capable of ending their barren streak against the Reds. Salah's possible absence will also make home fans extremely optimistic about Liverpool's game, but the Reds often have full fire in the game and are still one level higher than Arteta's men. Considering the respective goals of the two teams in good condition and any form of attack, it is expected that there will be a high-score game on Wednesday.


Total: Over 2.5 Match Goals
(BTTS) Both Teams to Score

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Brighton vs Tottenham

The Premier League has an odd structure to it this week with some midweek games and then a reduced weekend schedule. The first preview of this round that I'm taking a look at is mid-table Brighton hosting Champions League-chasing Tottenham in a 7:30pm GMT kick-off at the Amex Stadium on Wednesday night. Can the home team break this awful run of form against an away side known for slipping up in matches like this?

Brighton find themselves in a dour run of form right now having lost their last 5 league games leaving the club down in 13th place and 11 points above the drop zone with 10 league games left to play. The most worrying part of the recent run of results has been the old issue of wastefulness in front of goal with the Seagulls failing to even score in 4 of those 5 defeats. Centre back Adam Webster is still out injured and that, as we have covered before, is a massive blow. Graham Potter's side have only won 1 of their last 11 league matches at home and have only scored in 50% of their 14 home league games this season. It is just 10 goals scored at home in the league for Brighton this season which is a joint-lowest tally in the division.

Tottenham had looked like they were making progress before their 3-2 loss away to Manchester United on the weekend but that defeat exposed some issues that remain in Antonio Conte's team. Still, Spurs had won 3 of their 4 league games before that defeat so if they bounce back with a win here all will be good again. The team are currently situated in 8th position and just 6 points off the pace of the Champions League qualification spots. It's 4 wins from their last 7 away league games. There is also a chance for striker Harry Kane to make history here. If he scores in this game then he becomes the all-time top scorer in away matches in the Premier League. He is currently tied on 94 goals with former Manchester United striker Wayne Rooney.

The form book might suggest that it'd take a mad person to back Brighton but the south coast side have won the last two home league games against Tottenham keeping a clean sheet in both. Tottenham have won 5 of the 8 meetings in the Premier League between the two clubs though. Tottenham did also beat Brighton just last month with a 3-1 victory in the FA Cup 4th Round. I think Brighton's impotency in front of goal and fragility at the back are too big right now and Tottenham should be looking to win this.

Tottenham to Win @ 2.22 with SBK

Anytime Scorer: Harry Kane @ 2.58 with SBK

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Arsenal vs Liverpool

The big game of the round and certainly on Wednesday night in the Premier League is the clash between Arsenal and Liverpool at 8:15pm GMT from the Emirates Stadium. The potential ramifications the result of this game could have on the league title race cannot be understated. Will the in-form home team consolidate their hopes of finishing in the Champions League qualification places or will the away side crank up the pressure on league leaders Manchester City?

Arsenal are a team that look determined to finish in the Champions League qualification spots. Mikel Arteta has put his faith in youth and it's paying off. The Gunners are now up to 4th in the table and 1 point inside the top four with 3 games in hand on 5th placed Manchester United. The team are now unbeaten in their last 6 league games including winning the last 5 league matches. The pair of Emile Smith Rowe and Takehiro Tomiyasu are both vying to be fit to play a part in this game. The team are looking to win a fourth home league game in a row. Arsenal are undefeated in each one of their 8 home league games played in midweek under Arteta. Striker Alexandre Lacazette is undoubtedly the unsung hero of the current Arsenal form having bagged 7 assists in his last 11 appearances for the club.

Liverpool face a daunting task in this game but victory would really boost their morale ahead of an epic few weeks of games that will have a big say in the destination of the Premier League title this season. Jurgen Klopp's men are 2nd in the table and 4 points behind leaders Manchester City but with a game in hand. Mohamed Salah is a potential doubt for this game after picking up a knock against Brighton but Ibrahima Konate is available. The Reds are unbeaten in their last 9 league games including winning the last 8 matches in the league. The team have kept 6 clean sheets during that run showing that their defence is back to its resolute best. The 36 goals Liverpool have scored away from home this season in the league is 7 more than their closest rival. The fact they have also scored 23 goals in this current undefeated spell shows they are performing at both ends of the pitch.

What a game we have on our hands here. Arsenal are finally beginning to look like a team that can take a step forward in their recovery after the end of the Arsene Wenger years. This is one of their toughest challenges this season though. They pushed Manchester City to the edge earlier in the season and I think they'll do the same to Liverpool here. I still feel Liverpool and Manchester City are some way ahead of the competition though and I wouldn't be surprised if Liverpool sneaked a narrow win.

Liverpool to Win @ 1.95 with SBK

Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.74 with SBK

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On Thursday, when Everton host Newcastle United, the two teams in the Premier League table will face each other at Goodison Park.

Everton
The Toffees lost 1-0 to Wolverhampton Wanderers last time out. They have lost eight of their last nine Premier League games and fell to 17th place in the table - just one point higher than 19th Burnley. Although Everton have won five of their six league victories this season at home, and Newcastle's momentum took a slight hit over the weekend too.

 

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Newcastle United
Eddie Howe's side lost the last game to Chelsea with the same score. Howe's team rose to 14th in the ranking, avoiding the threat of relegation - safely nine points from the terrible relegation zone. The team got 20 points from the 24 offer and then lost at Stamford Bridge, while the Magpies have conceded no more than one goal in top league away games since the beginning of this year.

Prediction
It is difficult to have any real belief in Everton - especially in the case of Calvert Lewin's poor health - and Newcastle are on the upward track. As Everton's relegation concerns deepen, we can still see Newcastle getting back on track.

1X2 Pick: 2
Total: 0-2, 1-2

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Everton vs Newcastle

The Premier League gives us a single fixture on Thursday night when strugglers Everton host a resurgent Newcastle in a 7:45pm GMT kick-off at Goodison Park. The pressure is well and truly cranking up on the home team heading into this game. It's a big opportunity to pull away from the drop zone but can they do it against an away side that have hit a decent run of form recently?

Everton have one aim and one aim only for the remainder of this season. That is to secure safety in the top flight of English football. The grim reality has firmly set in for Toffees fans with the club down in 17th place and only outside the relegation zone due to a goal difference that isn't as bad as Watford's (I didn't feel using the term "superior" was appropriate!). Frank Lampard has only managed to earn 1 win from his 6 league games in charge of the club but he does have the advantage of games in hand on the teams around him so a couple of wins in the next few weeks could really change the landscape. Striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin will face a fitness test after missing the loss to Wolves due to illness but Jonjoe Kenny is suspended. A key issue Lampard will need to address is Everton averaging just 2.8 shots per game under his management. Not a great stat given the manager is one of the greatest goalscoring English midfielders of all time. The 3 points that Everton have earned during 2022 is the worst points tally in the top four divisions in English football.

Newcastle have almost been operating on a completely contrasting trajectory to that of Everton. Since Eddie Howe came in, the club have zoomed up the table to 14th place and are now 9 points clear of the relegation places. A stunning run of 6 wins and 3 draws came to an end in a narrow 1-0 loss away to Chelsea but you can argue that had certain controversial decisions gone their way then it might've been a different story. The Magpies will have Joe Willock available but remain without the key players of Callum Wilson, Kieran Trippier, and Federico Fernandez. Joelinton and Jonjo Shelvey may also miss out. Interestingly, this will be just the second time this season that Newcastle have played a team positioned lower than them in the table. They have won 3 of their last 5 away league games so have every reason to be confident coming into this one. Ryan Fraser could be a leftfield pick for an anytime scorer having bagged 4 goals against Everton down the years.

I'm really not sure how managers are struggling to get the best out of this Everton team. You look at their squad and it really shouldn't be battling outside the relegation zone. A large degree of it must be mentality now. The lack of shots they are having per game suggests a lack of confidence and self-belief. It's going to need a hell of a bit of man management from Lampard to turn it around. I still haven't seen enough to feel comfortable backing them so I'm going to have to back a re-invigorated Newcastle again.

Newcastle Draw No Bet @ 2.28 with SBK

Anytime Scorer: Ryan Fraser @ 6.50 with Bet365

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Wolverhampton vs Leeds United

2022-03-18T21:00+01:00

 

Wolverhampton

Doubtful: -

Out (injuries/other): Pedro Neto (5/0 f), Nelson Semedo (23/0 d), Ki-Jana Hoever (8/0 d)

Suspended: -

 

Leeds United

Doubtful: Jamie Shackleton (13/0 m), Lewis Bate (1/0 m), Rodrigo (22/4 f), Joe Gelhardt (13/2 f), Kalvin Phillips (12/0 m), Liam Cooper (15/0 d, captain)

Out (injuries/other): Junior Firpo (19/0 d), Tyler Roberts (23/1 f), Leo Fuhr Hjelde (2/0 d)

Suspended: -

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Overall Stats
Wolverhampton
14 home games
Leeds United
14 away games
1.0 Goals scored per game 1.0
0.9 Goals conceded per game 2.6
29% Clean sheets 7%
43% Team scored 57%
36% Team scored twice 29%
29% Scored in both halves 21%
36% Goal in both halves 57%
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Wolves vs Leeds United

Wolves will be looking for another win after the 1:0 Premier League success against Everton. They sit in 8th place, but the hosts are only five points behind the fourth-placed Arsenal. Bruno Lage's Wolverhampton Wanderers have found the net eight times in their preceding six outings. Conversely, the number of goals they conceded in those same games stands at 6. Going into this encounter, Wolverhampton Wanderers haven't been beaten in the league by Leeds United in their last six games. They go to this game after two straight wins and will eye the third in a row. There aren't many personnel worries, with just the lone fitness concern for the Wolves coach Bruno Lage to be concerned about, thanks to an almost full-strength set of players. Matija Sarkic (Shoulder Injury) will miss out.

Leeds United goes into this meeting after a 2:1 Premier League win against Norwich City in their previous match. The Peacocks finally broke their losing run and snatched three important points. However, they are still close to the danger zone, being four points ahead of the red line. The numbers tell their own story, and Leeds United has been scored against in 6 of their last six matches, seeing opposing sides hit 19 goals overall. Defensively, Leeds United could really do with shoring things up. Owing to an otherwise healthy group, there's just a single fitness issue for the Leeds United boss Jesse Marsch to be concerned about. Kalvin Phillips (Hamstring Injury) won't be playing here.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Wolves have been much more confident lately, but they need to be more consistent on the home ground. Nevertheless, they are strong favorites in this clash, and we believe the hosts will meet the expectations.

Goals Market Prediction

The home side's recent matches have been pretty tight, and we haven't seen many goals at Molineux Stadium. This one shouldn't be much different, and these two teams might not produce more than two goals in total.

Wolves to Win @ 2.25

Under 2.5 FT @ 1.85

Correct score 2:0 @ 11.00

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Wolves vs Leeds

The Premier League has a single Friday night game this week in a staggered schedule with Wolves hosting Leeds in an 8pm GMT kick-off at Molineux. The home side are back to winning ways after a mini-rut but they face an intriguing challenge here against a visiting team who sealed a first win under their new head coach in dramatic fashion in their last league game.

Wolves come into this game off the back of back-to-back clean sheet wins in the league that has helped lift the club up to 8th in the table and just 5 points off the pace of the Champions League qualification places. Last time Bruno Lage's side were being mentioned in the top four conversation they ended up going on a three game losing streak and scoring just 1 goal. Wanderers have some bad news with Pedro Neto ruled out with injury again. Nelson Semedo and Ki-Jana Hoever are also unavailable still. It's now 11 clean sheets kept in the league this season for Wolves with only the top four teams boasting better records. The team will be looking forward to playing on a Friday night having won 4 of their last 5 league matches played on that night.

Leeds finally picked up a league win under Jesse Marsch when they beat Norwich 2-1 at home and it was their first victory in the league since 16th January. It had looked like the Whites had thrown it away with a late goal but Joe Geldhardt's injury time winner sent Yorkshire emotions into over-drive. That win has put Leeds on 26 points in 16th place and moved them 4 points clear of the relegation zone. The key trio of Patrick Bamford, Kalvin Phillips, and Liam Cooper are all in contention to play which is a massive boost to the team. The bad news is that Leeds have lost their last 3 away league games by an aggregate score of 10-0. They have also failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 15 league matches with 65 goals conceded in their previous 29 league games.

It's not great reading for Leeds to see that Wolves are unbeaten in the last 6 league encounters between the two clubs. Leeds haven't even managed to win any of their last 9 league visits to Molineux in the top division. It's a run that goes all the way back to 1973. Leeds have got their big guns back but how sharp and fit will they be? This Wolves team are ticking over again. I think we'll see a Leeds team that is more of a threat than they have been but I still think Wolves could sneak it.

Wolves to Win @ 2.14 with SBK

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.86 with SBK

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Aston Villa vs Arsenal

Aston Villa will want a better result here after the 2:1 defeat in the Premier League in the last game against West Ham United. Nevertheless, the Villans stayed in 9th place, but they are still far from the continental zone. Their most recent results really do illustrate the point that it has been a great time for the Aston Villa defense. Aston Villa has kept it tight, with the tally of goals that have gone past their goalkeeper over the course of their previous six clashes standing at 4. However, the home side needs to be more confident in front of its fans. The Aston Villa boss Steven Gerrard will be thankful to have no fitness concerns at all ahead of this game, thanks to a completely injury-free group available to choose from.

Following on from being beaten in their last game against Liverpool in the Premier League competition, Arsenal will be hoping to turn things around here. Despite suffering a defeat, the Gunners stayed 4th on the standings. Mikel Arteta's Arsenal has found the back of the net ten times throughout their previous sextet of matches. The total of goals they conceded during that same period equals 6. Coming into this clash, Arsenal hasn't beaten Aston Villa when they've played them away from home in the last two matches in the league. Nevertheless, they hope to turn things around and get back home with all three points.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Both teams have been pretty good lately and will search for a positive result here. This game can easily go either way, and we think these two teams will split points on Saturday afternoon.

Goals Market Prediction

Although BTTS Yes cashed just once in Villa’s last six games, we think neither team will keep the clean sheet here. They were both clinical in front of the rival’s net and should be able to score at least once.

Draw @ 3.50

BTTS Yes @ 1.65

Correct score 1:1 @ 7.00

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Aston Villa vs Arsenal

The Premier League only has one game taking place on Saturday when mid-table Aston Villa will play Champions League qualification contenders Arsenal in a 12:30pm GMT kick-off at Villa Park. Both teams saw unbeaten runs in the league come to an end in their most recent games so the challenge is on to see if either team can bounce back to winning ways in this clash?

Aston Villa appear set for a mid-table mediocrity finish this season with the club currently in 9th place on 36 points. Steve Gerrard will be satisfied with his team's progress under his management thus far but a big summer of transfer dealings is certain to take place. Villa had won 3 league games on the bounce all with clean sheets but the 2-1 loss away to West Ham last weekend put an end to that impressive stint. Gerrard will have to manage without full back Lucas Digne. Philippe Coutinho should be involved which is great news for Villa given he's been directly involved in 6 goals at home for the club since he joined on loan with 3 goals and 3 assists. One stat that does stand out is the fact that Villa have lost 9 of their 11 league games played against teams currently placed above them in the table.

Arsenal were looking in fine fettle before the 2-0 loss at home to Liverpool in midweek. It had been 6 league matches undefeated for the Gunners before that loss. Mikel Arteta's side are now in 4th position and just 1 point inside the top four with just a couple of games in hand on the teams behind them. It remains four away league games won in a row for Arsenal. Bukayo Saka could be a fair shout for anytime scorer having scored 4 goals in his last 4 away league games for the club. Arteta does see Aston Villa as a bit of a bogey team having suffered three defeats against the Midlands club as a manager. He has only lost more games as a gaffer against Manchester City and Liverpool.

OK, so Aston Villa may well have only won 11 of their 53 Premier League encounters with Arsenal but they have won the last two home league games both by a 1-0 score-line. Arsenal have won away against Aston Villa 12 times in the Premier League. They have only won more Premier League away games against West Ham and that is 13 times. I can see Arsenal getting back to winning ways here.

Arsenal to Win @ 2.46 with SBK

BTTS @ 1.76 with SBK

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Tottenham Hotspur vs West Ham

Tottenham Hotspur will be looking for a repeat result of the 2:0 Premier League triumph over Brighton & Hove Albion. Thanks to the 3rd win in the last four rounds, the Spurs climbed to 7th place, being leveled with their upcoming rivals. A recurring theme in recent Tottenham Hotspur games is seeing a zero in the scoreline. From their last six matches before this one, in 5 of them, a wager on "Both Teams to Score" would have lost. Heading into this fixture, Tottenham Hotspur hasn't beaten West Ham United in their previous three matches in the league. However, the hosts have improved their game and want to continue challenging the top-four finish. Ryan Sessegnon (Hamstring Injury) and Japhet Tanganga (Knee Injury) are unavailable for Tottenham Hotspur manager Antonio Conte.

West Ham United will come into the clash following a 2:0 Europa League win against Sevilla in their last outing. That victory will boost their confidence to stabilize the form in the Premier League. The Hammers are currently sixth, being only three points behind the fourth-placed Arsenal. The stats tell the story, and West Ham United has been scored against in 5 of their last six games, seeing their opponents hit seven goals in all. At the back, West Ham United has not been doing too well lately. Nevertheless, they will search for a positive result against the London rivals. Due to a mostly full-strength group, there is just one fitness worry for the West Ham United boss David Moyes to contend with. Angelo Ogbonna (Cruciate Ligament Rupture) won't be in action.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Both teams have been in a similar form lately, and the winning team will keep the 6th spot at least. West Ham goes to this one after a mid-week action in the Europa League, and the Spurs should be fresher. Therefore, we believe the hosts will pick up all three points.

Goals Market Prediction

We can expect a big fight between these two teams, and both of them should be able to score. Although  BTTS Yes hasn't cashed too many times for either team lately, we believe they won't keep the clean sheet in this one.

Tottenham Hotspur to Win @ 1.75

BTTS Yes @ 1.70

Correct score 2:1 @ 9.00

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Leicester vs Brentford

The FA Cup might be leading the schedule this weekend but the Premier League action continues. It's Leicester versus Brentford in a 2pm GMT kick-off on Sunday afternoon from the King Power Stadium. Consistency and injuries are still the plague of the home team's season but can they get a win under their belts against a visiting team that have won back-to-back league games now?

Leicester come into this game in 12th place in the table and even though relegation is realistically not a concern there is still a sense that the team needs a couple more wins to be certain. It will still be considered a disappointing campaign for Brendan Rodgers who had hoped his team would progress from the past two seasons but, as mentioned, injuries have hit them hard. The Foxes did suffer a gut-wrenching elimination in the last 16 of the Europa Conference League to Rennes in midweek so can they bounce back? Marc Albrighton and Wilfried Ndidi are both doubts. The good news is that Leicester have lost just 1 of their last 11 home matches in all competitions but have failed to win each of their last 5 league games played on a Sunday. Leicester have won each of their last 5 league games against newly promoted teams though. Striker Patson Daka could be one to watch for anytime scorer having bagged 5 goals in his last 7 home appearances in all competitions.

Brentford did appear to be in a state of freefall with many anticipating they could be sucked into a relegation dog fight but two wins in a row in the league have lifted the club to 15th position and 8 points clear of the drop. There is still more work to be done but head coach Thomas Frank will be delighted with those two wins over Norwich and Burnley because they are relegation rivals. The Bees now have an opportunity to win 3 league games in the top flight for the first time in 75 years. The 3-1 win away to Norwich ended a winless streak on the road in the league of 10 matches. Striker Ivan Toney is a man who has re-discovered his scoring touch having scored 7 goals in his last 5 league games. This will be a momentous day for the club with it being their first away game in the league against Leicester since 1992.

OK, so head-to-head is a little tricky to judge given these sides haven't played each other much in the league down recent years but Leicester have won 8 of the last 9 league meetings including winning 2-1 at Brentford earlier this season. However, Brentford have lost just 1 of their last 10 away league games to Leicester. This will be tight and if Brentford can exploit Leicester's vulnerability from set-pieces then there's no reason they can't get something here. I just think Leicester are getting their big names back now and we could see them end the season in positive form.

Leicester to Win @ 2.20 with SBK

BTTS @ 1.80 with William Hill

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Tottenham vs West Ham

The other Premier League game scheduled to be played on Sunday afternoon this weekend is the 4:30pm GMT start when Champions League qualification chasing duo Tottenham and West Ham go toe-to-toe at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. A defeat for either side here will surely deliver a huge blow to their hopes of qualifying for Europe's elite club competition this season.

Tottenham have started to string some wins together now with the club sitting in 7th place and 6 points off the pace of the top four after 3 wins from their last 4 league games. Each of those wins came with a clean sheet. Head coach Antonio Conte will be pleased with how his team bounced back from the 3-2 loss away to Manchester United last weekend with that midweek win away to Brighton. Spurs have lost 2 of their last 3 home league games so that will concern Conte but their last showing at home delivered a 5-0 win over struggling Everton. London derbies haven't delivered very positive results from this season though with Tottenham losing 5 of their 7 such matches played this season. A shining light of recent weeks has been the return to scoring form by striker Harry Kane. He could score for a fifth league game in a row for the first time in his career and has scored 8 league goals in 6 at home against West Ham down the years.

West Ham are still very much in the hunt to finish in the top four. David Moyes has seen his team lose just 1 of their last 6 league games to lie in 6th position ahead of Tottenham on goal difference. The Hammers have failed to win any of their last 3 league matches on the road but they have produced 3 wins from their last 4 London derby games. Conceding goals on their travels is an ongoing issue with the East Londoners not keeping a clean sheet away from home since 12th December, 2021 in a 0-0 draw with lowly Burnley. It isn't great news that Moyes himself is without a win in his last 9 away league games against Tottenham as a manager. Misfiring striker Michail Antonio might be struggling for goals right now but the 6 goals he has scored against Tottenham in the league is his highest tally against a single club.

This could be a very intriguing game based on the way these two teams set up. Tottenham are understandably the favourites and I think they have to be backed to finish higher than West Ham this season now. I have questions over the away form of West Ham so it'll be a tough ask for them to get the win here. Is the draw within reach? I'm not sure. I think backing Tottenham to win with a clean sheet scoring offers the best value.

Tottenham to Win to Nil @ 2.95 with Unibet

Anytime Scorer: Harry Kane @ 2.12 with Unibet

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