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Premier League Predictions > Feb 19th & 20th


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Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspur

Manchester City
Guardiola’s men beat Norwich City 0-4 away on the last match day of the league, and then beat Sporting CP 0-5 away in the Champions League. The team have won four consecutive games and have also won all the last ten home games. At present, The Citizens are nine points ahead of second-placed Liverpool in the rankings.

 

Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur lost 2-0 at home to Wolves in the past week. They have lost two games in a row and have lost five of the past eight games. The team have failed to win 13 of the last 18 road trips. Antonio Conte's men currently rank eighth in the table - seven points behind fourth-placed Manchester United.

Prediction
Manchester City have won six of the last seven home games against Tottenham Hotspur. Guardiola's team are very strong, so we can only see one winner here.


Pick: Manchester City -1.5/-2 in AH
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Liverpool vs Norwich City

Liverpool
Liverpool beat Burnley 0-1 away on the last match day. Since the beginning of this year, they have remained unbeaten in 10 of all games, including all the victories in seven consecutive games. The Reds have been unbeaten in the last 15 home league games and achieving this goal at Anfield will be shocking, winning the last six games in a row with a 17-1 aggregate score.
Norwich City
Norwich lost 4-0 at home to Manchester City in the past week. They have won only two league victories away from home this season. Seven points in the past 12 games have brought them down to 18th place in the championship.

Prediction
Salah regained his scoring touch in the middle of the week. We can see that the hosts have made waves on the net again, and Norwich's attack record this season does not give us any reason to support them.


Pick: Liverpool -2.5 in AH

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West Ham vs Newcastle

The Premier League schedule kicks off on Saturday afternoon at 12:30pm GMT when Champions League chasing West Ham take on relegation battling Newcastle at the London Stadium. These two sides may be fighting at opposite ends of the league table but their recent form is not too dissimilar so it'll be fascinating to see how this game unfolds with both teams capable of taking all 3 points.

West Ham are enjoying a generally positive season (notwithstanding Kurt Zouma being a disgrace). The Hammers are 5th in the table and just 2 points off the pace of the Champions League qualification spots. David Moyes has seen his team lose just 2 of their last 9 matches across all competitions. It is the first time since 1986/87 that West Ham have scored in each of their first 12 home league games of a season. The 12 goals scored by attacking midfielder Jarrod Bowen have been a big contributing factor to that with 8 of them being in the league. Bowen has also been directly involved in 8 of the last 10 goals that West Ham have scored. Only Liverpool have scored more goals from corners than West Ham this season. The ominous statistic is that Moyes has suffered defeat in each of the last three games he has managed at home against Newcastle.

Newcastle are beginning to look like a side that could avoid relegation this season. Eddie Howe was dealt with the bad news that new signing Kieran Trippier is set to miss the rest of the season with injury but the Magpies are unbeaten in their last 5 league games and have moved up to 17th position in the table. The gap between Newcastle and the relegation zone is now 4 points. Three wins in a row in the league have contributed to that and it will probably prove that the FA Cup 3rd Round shock defeat to Cambridge United was a blessing in disguise. A fourth league win in a row would give Howe his best run of results as a manager at this level. The downside is that the team have failed to score more than once in all 10 of their away league games so far. Striker Chris Wood could be their main threat here though having scored 7 goals in his last 9 league appearances against West Ham.

I'm intrigued to see how this game goes. I think Newcastle losing Trippier is a massive blow for them and it'll certainly make their defence weaker. West Ham have generally been solid at home this season so I think they should be looking to win this one. Newcastle are not the roll overs they were but they are still a team that have struggled on their travels. I'm going to back West Ham to get a narrow win.

West Ham to Win & BTTS @ 3.60 with Betfair

Anytime Scorer: Jarrod Bowen @ 3.00 with QuinnBet

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West Ham vs Newcastle United

2022-02-19T13:30+01:00

 

West Ham

Doubtful: Kurt Zouma (13/1 d, probably in)

Out (injuries/other): Arthur Masuaku (11/1 d), Angelo Ogbonna (11/1 d)

Suspended: -

 

Newcastle United

Doubtful:

Out (injuries/other): Javier Manquillo (15/1 d), Kieran Trippier (3/1 f), Jamal Lewis (5/0 d), Matt Ritchie (16/0 m), Callum Wilson (15/6 f, top scorer), Federico Fernandez (7/0 d), Isaac Hayden (14/1 m)

Suspended: -

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Over/Under Goals
West Ham
12 home games
Newcastle United
10 away games
83% Over 1.5 goals 90%
67% Over 2.5 goals 40%
50% Over 3.5 goals 30%
42% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
17% Under 1.5 goals 10%
33% Under 2.5 goals 60%
83% Over 0.5 goals at half-time 70%
33% Over 1.5 goals at half-time 20%
17% Over 2.5 goals at half-time 10%
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Arsenal vs Brentford

The Premier League has a number of 3pm GMT kick-offs on Saturday afternoon taking place and the first of those that I'm previewing is the one between Champions League qualification contenders Arsenal and newly promoted Brentford at the Emirates Stadium. The previous meeting between these two sides delivered one of the most memorable games of the season. Will we see a repeat here?

Arsenal currently sit in 6th place in the league table and just 4 points off the pace of the top four with three games in hand on 4th placed Manchester United. The Gunners have lost just 1 of their last 7 league matches. Mikel Arteta's side have built their campaign around a solid defensive line keeping 11 clean sheets since the signing of Aaron Ramsdale. Since the end of August, only Manchester City and Liverpool have won more than the 12 league games that Arsenal have won in that period. The win away to Wolves last weekend was Arsenal's first taste of a win in 2022. Interestingly, Arsenal are undefeated in their last 28 home league games that have kicked off at 3pm on a Saturday. It's also been 5 clean sheets from the last 6 home league games.

Brentford are in a world of trouble right now. Thomas Frank's side are down in 14th position and just 7 points above the relegation zone. The 0-0 draw at home to Crystal Palace in their most recent league outing ended a losing streak of 5 league games but it is still just 1 win from their last 9 league matches. The Bees are on the brink of losing five away league games in a row for the first time in over 11 years. It's astonishing how fast their season is collapsing with the team winning 3 of their first 7 league games but then seeing their next 3 victories come over the duration of 18 league games. The team will be hoping that Ivan Toney can continue his scoring form of bagging goals in each of his last 3 appearances for the club.

This will be the first time that Arsenal have hosted Brentford since their EFL Cup meeting back in 2018 that ended in a 3-1 win for the hosts. The last time Arsenal hosted Brentford in the league was back in 1946. It was Brentford who pulled off a shock victory in the previous fixture this season that raised the curtain for this season but the two clubs are in completely different situations now and I can see Arsenal winning this one whilst keeping a clean sheet.

Arsenal HT/FT @ 2.34 with SBK

Arsenal to Win to Nil @ 2.25 with Betfair

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Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspur

Manchester City hopes to win again after their last result, a 5:0 Champions League victory against Sporting Lisbon. The Citizens top the Premier League, being nine points ahead of Liverpool. The hosts have been on a persistent run of goalscoring form, finding the back of the net in one hundred percent of their last six matches. They've totted up the amount of 17 during that time while also conceding a total of two. Man City has been almost perfect on the home ground this season, allowing only four points to their opponents. If they continue in the same fashion, the Citizens will retain the title.

Tottenham Hotspur goes to this game after suffering a defeat in their last game at the hands of Wolverhampton Wanderers in Premier League action. It was their third loss in a row, which saw them slip to the 8th spot. The numbers tell their own story, and Tottenham Hotspur has conceded in 6 of their last six matches, allowing 11 goals in all. Defensively, Tottenham Hotspur has seen their frailties exposed. Antonio Conte’s side needs to bounce back if they want to secure one of the continental spots. Regarding the selection issues, Japhet Tanganga (Knee Injury), Oliver Skipp (Groin Strain), and Eric Dier (Thigh Problems) are those who can't be considered.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Manchester City is full of confidence, and although the Spurs could pose them some trouble, we don’t see them spilling points here. They should put another excellent display and celebrate by at least two goals.

Goals Market Prediction

The home side has been lethal for the oppositions’ goalkeepers lately, while Tottenham has allowed too many goals. The crowd should see a high-scoring match, and we anticipate at least three in total.

Manchester City AH -1.5 @ 1.90

Over 2.5 FT @ 1.60

Correct score 3:0 @ 9.00

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Aston Villa vs Watford

The next 3pm GMT kick-off taking place in the Premier League on Saturday is Aston Villa versus Watford at Villa Park. Time is running out for the away team to save their lives in the top flight but can they pick up a win here against a team that they defeated on the opening weekend of the league season? Or will they suffer yet another loss that could push them even further to a return to the Championship?

Aston Villa will be disappointed that their 3-game unbeaten run came to an end last weekend with the 1-0 loss away to Newcastle but it feels like this is a team progressing under Steve Gerrard with the inconsistent results simply a consequence of the team getting to know its new identity. Villa are in 12th position and 10 points clear of the relegation zone but it's just 1 win from the last 7 matches since Christmas. Scoring goals haven't been a problem at home though with the club managing that feat for 12 consecutive league matches. Unfortunately, the defence has been leaky recently with 18 goals conceded in their last 8 home league games. One pick for anytime scorer for this game will be Danny Ings who has bagged 4 goals in his last 3 league games against Watford. 

Watford find themselves in 19th place and just 1 point off the bottom of the table whilst also being 6 points adrift of safety. The Hornets are now under the management of Roy Hodgson but there is little sign of improvement. Hodgson has seen his team take just 1 point from his 3 league games in charge without managing to even score a goal. It's now a total of 2 points from 11 league games. There is a chance that they could equal the club's top flight record of going 5 league games without scoring a goal. It's also intriguing to note that Watford remain the only team within the top flight that have yet to score outside of the area.

It was Watford that prevailed as winners at the start of the season against Aston Villa and the Hertfordshire club have won 4 of the last 5 meetings. However, Aston Villa have only lost 1 of the last 9 league encounters at Villa Park. I can see Aston Villa adding more misery to Watford but we can expect Hodgson to make his team tough to break down. They've not been turned over easily by any team under him so far and you'd think they'll become more cohesive the longer he imposes his ideas. I just think they're destined to go down and earning a point would be considered a good result for them. I think it'll be a home win here though.

Aston Villa to Win @ 1.71 with SBK

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.90 with Bet365

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Brighton vs Burnley

It's a game that is historically a bit of a low-scoring affair at 3pm GMT in the Premier League on Saturday when Brighton play Burnley at the Amex Stadium. 16 of the past 21 meetings across all competitions between these two teams have ended with less than 2.5 goals being scored. Neither side is exactly smashing the goals right now either so we could be set for a similar story here.

Brighton saw their undefeated run of 7 league matches come to an end in a 2-0 loss away to Manchester United last weekend. It was a disappointing result given the troubles allegedly going on behind the scenes at United right now. Graham Potter will be keen to see his team bounce back here and improve on their current 9th position in the table with qualification for European football next season still very much within their reach. Centre back Lewis Dunk will be suspended and the Seagulls are still without the duo of Jeremy Sarmiento and Enock Mwepu. Home form is an issue right now with Brighton winning just 1 of their previous 8 home league games. Every single one of their wins in the league this season have come against teams positioned lower than them in the table.

Burnley know the pressure is really turning up now. Sean Dyche moved to sign Dutch striker Wout Weghorst in an effort to replace outgoing Chris Wood. The front man is set to be involved today in what will be Dyche's 250th Premier League game in management. The Clarets are without a win in 12 matches across all competitions. The team is also sitting rock bottom of the top flight and 7 points adrift of safety. It must be quite demoralising for the players knowing that they may well have two games in hand on teams above them but even if they win both of those games they'll still be rooted in the bottom three. Scoring goals remains a problem for Burnley with the team scoring just 3 goals in their last 9 league games.

Given the fact that 8 of the past 12 meetings have ended in draws and both these teams boast 23 draws between them in the league this season it would be totally logical to back the draw here. I was tempted but I felt Brighton were unlucky not to get something from that United game last week where as Burnley just always seem fortunate to get something from their games where they earn points (or a point as it is in most cases!). I think backing Brighton makes sense here but given the short price I'd totally understand why people would opt for the draw.

Brighton to Win @ 1.68 with Novibet

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.74 with SBK

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Crystal Palace vs Chelsea

The Premier League offers us another 3pm GMT kick-off when Crystal Palace host Chelsea at Selhurst Park. It's a bit of a barren run for the home team who are treading water in the lower mid-table section of the table. Can they get a rare recent win against a visiting team who have just returned from winning the FIFA Club World Cup out in Abu Dhabi? Or will we see the away team return with a victory?

Crystal Palace started so positively under head coach Patrick Vieira but results have faded slightly. The Eagles are down in 13th place and may well be 9 points clear of the relegation zone but it's been just 1 win from their last 8 league games including no victory in their previous 5 league matches. Midfielder Conor Gallagher will be ineligible to play against his parent club but Vieira has no other new absentees with Africa Cup of Nations winner Cheikhou Kouyate set to return. Palace have struggled in London derbies in the league recently having only managed 1 win in their last 16 such matches. The club could equal their top flight record of scoring in 12 straight league games in a row here. There is an opportunity for striker Odsonne Edouard to become the first Palace player to score in 4 home Premier League games in a row since Mark Bright managed that feat back in 1991.

Chelsea are buzzing after winning their second trophy of the season with the 2-1 win after extra-time over Palmeiras in the FIFA Club World Cup. That was added to the UEFA Super Cup victory over Villarreal at the start of the season. The Blues are in 3rd place and 16 points off the pace of the league title though and that is a cold hard fact that remains a niggling point for many of their fans. Thomas Tuchel is undoubtedly still backed by the majority of fans but winning lower tier trophies will matter little, especially with owner Roman Abramovich, if the club aren't competing for Premier League titles and Champions League trophies. It's just 2 wins in 8 league games for Chelsea. They have also dropped points in 4 of their last 5 away league games. Their loss to West Ham back in December ended a run of 7 straight away league wins in London derby matches. Despite being renowned for building his philosophy on a tight back-line, Tuchel has seen his team keep just 3 clean sheets in their previous 14 league games.

I've really enjoyed seeing Crystal Palace's evolution under Vieira and I think he could really progress them in a positive direction if he is backed sufficiently by the owners. Right now, they are still a world away from competing with the likes of Chelsea and it is games like this where that gap can really show. Chelsea may well be sapped of some energy after their travels but they've had some decent time off to recuperate and I feel they should get the narrow win here.

Chelsea to Win @ 1.71 with SBK

Anytime Scorer: Hakim Ziyech @ 3.80 with SpreadEx

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Liverpool vs Norwich

It's a one-sided affair on paper coming up in the next Premier League game I'm previewing that kicks off at 3pm GMT on Saturday afternoon when title-chasing Liverpool host relegation-battling Norwich at Anfield. You'll be hard pushed to find anyone that isn't backing a solid home win having also made Mohamed Salah captain and put two other Liverpool players alongside him in their fantasy team this week!

Liverpool are picking up some fine form as of late. The Reds are 2nd in the league and now just 9 points behind league leaders Manchester City with a game in hand having won their last 4 league games in a row. Jurgen Klopp now has all his big guns back from Africa Cup of Nations duty and the 2-0 win away to Inter Milan in the Champions League in midweek showed that they are still strong on all fronts. There is bad news for the Merseysiders with Diogo Jota ruled out for this game after picking up an ankle injury. It's now 15 home league games undefeated for Liverpool and they have won the last 6 of those by an aggregate of 17-1. The team are also unbeaten in their last 28 league games that have kicked off at 3pm on a Saturday.

Norwich might be starting to show some signs of pulling off an escape from relegation that not many people saw coming. Dean Smith has guided the team to 18th in the table and despite being 4 points adrift of safety now they have shown promising displays. The Canaries were unbeaten in 3 league games before the heavy 4-0 home loss to Manchester City last weekend. There is a chance here for the team to win back-to-back Premier League away games for the first time since 2012. Unfortunately, they have only won 1 of their last 25 top flight away matches against teams positioned in the top three. They have also lost all 8 matches played against teams positioned in the top six this season. Defence is a huge problem for Norwich this season with their 50 goals conceded from 24 league games their worst defensive record in the league since 1946/47.

I don't think you need to do too much studying into form, results, and players to feel that this game will end in a convincing home win for Liverpool. Norwich have given their fans hope with recent displays and even their performance against Manchester City wasn't diabolical. I just think Liverpool will have too much and we'll see a complete gulf in class here as the home team stride to a comfortable victory.

Liverpool HT/FT @ 1.50 with Coral

Liverpool to Win to Nil @ 1.70 with Parimatch

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Southampton vs Everton

The last of the 3pm GMT kick-offs I'm previewing in the Premier League on Saturday is the clash between mid-table sides Southampton and Everton at St Mary's Stadium. The home team are in fine form as they look to continue their move up the table but they face an away side who are now beginning to ask the question of whether they are turning a corner or if they will be set for a relegation fight this season?

Southampton are one of those teams where you just can't put your finger on what they will do week-on-week. Ralph Hasenhuttl has seen his team put in some awful displays during his tenure but he's also witnessed them pull off some magnificent performances. Right now, the Saints are in 10th place having lost just 1 of their last 10 games across all competitions but we all know they are just a poor result or two away from freefalling. That seems to be the constant state the club are in of being inconsistently consistent. Home form is imperious for Southampton with the club losing just 1 league match on home turf all season having gone the last 8 home league games unbeaten. Unfortunately, they are without a clean sheet in 13 league games which is the longest such run in the top flight. Both teams have scored in their last 8 league games too.

Everton finally got the league win their fans have been dying for since Frank Lampard took over as head coach. The Toffees pulled off a dominant 3-0 victory over lowly Leeds at home last weekend and it moved the club up to 5 points clear of the drop zone in 16th position. The jury is still out on whether Lampard is the right man for the role but that win did end a winless run in the league of 6 matches. That Leeds win was also the first clean sheet the club have kept in 11 league matches. However, Everton have only taken 2 points from their last 9 league games on the road. There is hope in the form of Richarlison though. The Brazilian attacker has scored 5 goals in his last 6 Premier League games played against Southampton ahead of this game.

OK, so Southampton may well be the team in better form and possessing the awesome home record this season with Everton also struggling away but there is a risk that Southampton could lose three league games in a row against Everton for the first time since 1992. There have only been 5 occasions in this fixture where the away team has won and I am torn between backing a Southampton win and draw. I'm going to for the draw.

Draw @ 3.60 with Bet365

Anytime Scorer: Richarlison @ 3.95 with Unibet

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Manchester City vs Tottenham

The big game of Saturday comes in the 5:30pm GMT kick-off when league leaders Manchester City look to consolidate their place at the top of the Premier League table when they take on Champions League-chasing Tottenham at the Etihad Stadium. There's no doubt the home team will come into this game as favourites but will the away side be able to pull off a surprise result and put a spanner in the works of the title race?

Manchester City are looking good to retain their league title with the club currently 1st in the table and 9 points clear of 2nd placed Liverpool. However, come kick-off in this game, that gap could be reduced to 6 points putting more pressure on the Citizens. Pep Guardiola's men are unbeaten in their last 15 league games having won 14 of those matches. The team's dominant 5-0 win away to Sporting CP in the last 16 first leg tie of the Champions League in midweek showed further evidence as to why they are many people's favourites to win both the Premier League title and the Champions League trophy. Guardiola will be without the trio of Jack Grealish, Gabriel Jesus, and Cole Palmer for this game. This is a City team that have scored 98 goals in 37 matches across all competitions so far with just 14 goals conceded in the league. Riyad Mahrez could be a shout for anytime scorer having scored 9 goals in his last 9 appearances for City.

Tottenham will be up against it here but they are still a team finding their feet under head coach Antonio Conte. The fiery Italian has led his team to 8th position in the table and just 5 points outside the Champions League qualification places but they also have a number of games in hand on the teams around them. It's been 3 defeats in a row in the league and if they lose a fourth league game in a row then that'll be the first time it has happened in the top flight since 2004 when they lost 6 league games in a row. Eric Dier is back to boost the Tottenham back-line. The team have conceded 7 goals in their last 3 league games which is one more than they conceded in their first 9 league games under Conte. Interestingly, Tottenham haven't lost a league game outside of London so far this season. Scoring goals on their travels is a problem with Spurs scoring just 10 goals in their 10 away league games so far this season. Son Heung-min could be the anytime scorer pick for Tottenham having scored 6 goals in his last 8 matches against Manchester City.

It was Tottenham who prevailed as the shock winners when these two sides met earlier in the season. One of the few highlights from the club's Nuno Espirito Santo era. However, Manchester City have lost just 1 of their last 12 home games against Tottenham in all competitions. Tottenham have won 3 of the last 4 encounters though. I just feel Manchester City are some way ahead of Tottenham and something doesn't feel right about Conte's management right now. Things are in the balance behind the scenes I feel and until Conte has a proper pre-season and backing from the owners in the transfer market then he'll be managing with one arm behind his back.

Manchester City HT/FT @ 1.97 with SBK

Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.60 with SBK

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Leeds United vs Manchester United

Leeds United will be looking for an improved result here after a 3:0 Premier League loss in their previous game against Everton. The Whites are still safe from dropping to the danger zone, but they are six points above the red line. It's been a rare occasion in recent times that Leeds United has managed to hold out for a full 90 minutes. The facts show that Leeds United has been scored against in six of their previous six matches, leaking 12 goals along the way. They picked only one point in the last three matches and should break that winless streak not to enter trouble. Regarding the absences, Charlie Cresswell (Shoulder Injury), Patrick Bamford (Hamstring Injury), and Kalvin Phillips (Hamstring Injury) are not available for Leeds United manager Marcelo Bielsa.

Manchester United heads to the match after a 2:0 Premier League win against Brighton & Hove Albion in their last fixture. That success helped them stay in 4th place, being two points ahead of West Ham. For five of the last six games in which Manchester United participated, we saw a relatively small number of goals between them and opposing teams. The Red Devils have not been so dominant on the road this season, winning five times in 12 outings. Ralf Rangnick will need to deal with several absences, as Fred (Coronavirus), Edinson Cavani (groin strain), Eric Bailly (Ankle Injury), and Nemanja Matic (Shinbone injury) are not ready for selection.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Leeds United spilled too many points on the home ground this season, and they have not been in a good momentum. Although Man Utd is not too convincing either, we believe the visitors will get back home with an important win.

Goals Market Prediction

Manchester United didn't keep the clean sheet five times in the last six road games, while Leeds United failed to score at home just once on the previous nine occasions. We should see an exciting match where both teams should find the back of the net.

Manchester United to Win @ 1.85

BTTS Yes @ 1.60

Correct score 1:2 @ 9.50

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