Are the OR and RPRs an accurate representation of how good a horse is?

[alexcaruso808]

I am currently devising a new system whereby I consider different factors of giving a horse my own rating.

At the minute I have it set up to include the OR and RPR, but I'm wondering if these are accurate?  Don't some trainers and jockeys send their horses out knowing full well they wont win the race, just to manipulate the OR and RPR?

[Bang on]

17 hours ago, alexcaruso808 said:

I am currently devising a new system whereby I consider different factors of giving a horse my own rating.

At the minute I have it set up to include the OR and RPR, but I'm wondering if these are accurate?  Don't some trainers and jockeys send their horses out knowing full well they wont win the race, just to manipulate the OR and RPR?

Of course, that's the nature of the game. Gradually get the horse fully fit and ready, whilst all the time trying to get the handicap mark down. That makes the 'Official Rating' redundant at times, although I'm sure it counts for much more in the valuable handicaps and Group races.

As for RPR ratings, the racing post ratings are a 'help' but are only someones opinion.  For FACTS, check out the NAPS competition in the R.Post, RPR is in the bottom 7 of 52 tipsters. As for ALL races this year, they are currently showing a 26% strike rate, despite tipping 46% favourites. Treat with caution Alex.