Racing Chat-Friday 23 July

[Zilzalian]

My Speed Figures- a few considerations.

The speed figures I submit on these chats have a few Proviso's

The nature of 2yo figures i produce means that they are incomplete until the end of the season or at least 3 runs and are therefore a bit fluid,
for example:- you may see a Plus (+) next to them this means it has only raced once and will inevitably improve its figure on its next start.

many races have small sample sizes, eg most horse at this time of year may only have had 1, 2, or 3 runs and many are first time out i only publish figures for listed races and upwards.

as the season progresses obviously horses step up in distance which one assumes rightly or wrongly that the trainer thinks it will suit but can often be a "tester"

we all know some horses have ground preferential  which is often unknown in 2yo

as the season progresses the figures by the very nature of the above comments become more accurate

always use the figures as an extra tool and not a definitive.

Royal Ascot was very successful, producing 2 anyways forecasts from 3 runners and a couple of good price winners (100/1+)
and i am looking forward to seeing  what Goodwood will produce.

In my case my Speed figures must pick the horse themselves that is the basic idea of them and that is to take away any bias i have, ie Trainers, Jockeys,  pretty names, ground, course etc so the price of the horse is irrelevant if the top Rated is 100/1 i will back it (can you imagine getting one right at 100/1 and not backing it)? That's how cats die and computer screens get smashed.

[alexcaruso808]

@Zilzalian are there any races in which speed is the most important factor? I mean a race in which speed would be more important than jockey skill, or a top trainer?