Racing Chat - Sunday 11th July

[Darran]

Hopefully we finally get to see More Buck's at Stratford today after him being a non-runner the last twice. Here is what I said about him when he was due to run at Perth at the start of the month.

More Buck's was due to run at Cartmel last Friday have been well backed and then had a bruised foot before the meeting was called off. Clearly it's not kept him out for long as he runs in the 4.15 at Perth today and he looks potentially thrown in. A year ago he was 4th in the Summer Plate at Market Rasen off 124 and although he lost his way after that it does mean he is very well handicapped now off a mark of 99. What you have to factor in is the fact the Bowen yard were in dreadful form last year and they are now having winners again. This horse has also found his form again pointing. He was impressive in making most of the running in his first 3 victories this year and was then 2nd last time to Risk And Roll. That one currently has a mark of 122 so even though he was 15L behind him that still puts him on a decent mark. That race was over 2m4f as well and he has clearly thrived for going over 3m in points. I think his jockey will blast him off in front and play catch me if you can.

 

I think he has around 15lbs in hand of his current handicap mark and I think this looks a lesser contest than the Perth race. However he was set to be favourite there and at the moment he isn't for this. Franz Klammer has the potential to be the big fly in the ointment. For a start he is likely to want to contest the lead which could be an issue. Also there has to be a chance that he is still well handicapped. 10lbs for a 25L win over course and distance a month ago could possibly be viewed as lenient. It was also just his 2nd start over fences and his 1st one was one of his better efforts as well. The one thing to cling onto though is that when you have a horse win by that far in this grade you do have to wonder to what level the others ran to and maybe he was the only one to run his race. Ultimately though he could be well handicapped still and if he hadn't been in the race I would have had plenty of confidence. On the flip side he helps the price though and hopefully More Buck's well be too good.

 

I have to mention Babytaggle who regular readers will know is a horse I have kept a close eye on after his good run for a long way at Huntingdon in May. The problem here though is he is unlikely to be able to get to the lead and he will need a weaker race than this in my view. I will be keeping a very close eye on him though and I might take a small bet e/w without the front two in the betting as there is a lot of dead wood in this race past the front two in the market. Amazing to see What A Laugh back at the age of 16yo as well given I was tipping him up in hunter chases back in 2012!

 

More Buck's @ 3/1 with everyone

[cannotbebeat]

Salisbury
1.15 Ask The Wind 8/1 - £5 single

Stratford
3.13 Celestial Force 7/4 - £10 single

4.23 Big G 13/8 - £10 single

and £10 double.

As some of you know I use jockey/trainer combinations to pick my horses and have been doing fairly well recently starting bank £250.00 has risen to £638.63. Last night I had a quick look and 1 of my selections Ask The Wind was in the same race as Roman Mist who I personally thought would win it. What to do, the jockey on mine Mollie Phillips has won her last 4 rides in a row for me and owes me nothing with prices of 15/8, 7/2, 11/8 and 9/1. I always go back to that old saying a horse doesn't know what price it is. Anyhow problem solved this morning as Roman Mist is a non runner. So Mollie sorry for doubting you or the horse, go out their be safe and give it your all, you can't ask for more than that.

Good luck all CNBB.