harry_rag Posted November 2, 2020 Author Share Posted November 2, 2020 One more to finish the week's fixtures, update tomorrow. Tampa Bay @ NY Giants: 1 point on Shepard at 4/1 888 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 3, 2020 Author Share Posted November 3, 2020 4 winners this week (Samuel, Burton, Parker and KcKinnon) from 12 bets, 12 points return 14.6 for a 2.6 point profit. Overall record is 16 winners from 59, 56.5 points returns 50.4 for a 6.1 point loss and an ROI of -10.8% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 8, 2020 Author Share Posted November 8, 2020 This week's 6:00 selections. NY Giants @ Washington: 1 point each on Shepard at 14/5 and Slayton 11/4 with 888 Houston @ Jacksonville: 1 point on Watson at 5/2 Skybet Denver @ Atlanta: 1 point on Lindsay at 4/1 PP Carolina @ Kansas: 2 points on McCaffrey at 11/10 PP Baltimore @ Indianapolis: 1 point on Wilkins at 10/3 Skybet and 1 on Hines at 4/1 PP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 9, 2020 Author Share Posted November 9, 2020 McCaffrey the only winner there. To finish the week we go with a Quarterback who is actually the shortest priced player in the anytime touchdown scorer market. New England @ NY Jets: 2 points on Newton at 11/10 with Fred (missed 6/5 elsewhere earlier). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 10, 2020 Author Share Posted November 10, 2020 Newton obliges so a couple of 2 point winners at 11/10 and 6 single point losers, 10 points return 8.4 for a 1.6 point loss. Overall record is 18 winners from 67, 66.5 points returns 58.8 for a 7.7 point loss and an ROI of -11.58% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 12, 2020 Author Share Posted November 12, 2020 Two for this week's opening game. Indianapolis @ Tennessee: 1 point each on Jonnu Smith at 13/5 with PP and Trey Burton at 7/2 with 888. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 13, 2020 Author Share Posted November 13, 2020 Smith obliges so a 1 out of 2 start to the weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 15, 2020 Author Share Posted November 15, 2020 3 in the early games. Houston @ Cleveland: 2 points on Hunt at 11/8 PP (shame I didn't bet right away as missed 6/4) Tampa Bay @ Carolina: 2 points on Davis at 11/10 PP Washington @ Detroit: 1 point on Thomas at 16/5 PP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 15, 2020 Author Share Posted November 15, 2020 And 4 in the later action. Denver @ Las Vegas: 1 point on Agholor at 14/5 888 Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh: 1 point on Johnson at 13/5 PP San Francisco @ New Orleans: 1 point on Murray at 5/2 Lads Baltimore @ New England: 2 points on Newton at 6/4 PP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 16, 2020 Author Share Posted November 16, 2020 Johnson and Newton make it 3 from 9 for the week with one game to go. 12 points return 12.02 for a tiny but welcome profit (I was expecting it to be slightly negative). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 16, 2020 Author Share Posted November 16, 2020 Minnesota @ Chicago: 2 points on Thielen at 6/4 with 888 and 1 on Patterson at 16/5 with PP Stats say Patterson should be avoided so this is a bet that will probably look like a mug bet on settlement but, in the event of it winning, will look like a shrewd call! Ultimately my gut tells me to back it. It's a reasonably standout price that the spreads (my port of call for finding potential value) say is a bit too big. As I say, the guy's stats are off putting but if I've understood the expert notes correctly, this is a match-up where he has a chance to shine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 17, 2020 Author Share Posted November 17, 2020 A nice end to the week with 3 out of 3 (both of the above obliged and the sell of Cook posted elsewhere yielded the maximum profit of 36 x stake). That makes it 5 from 11 for the week. 15 points return 21.4 for a profit of 6.4 points. Overall record is 23 winners from 78, 81.5 points returns 80.2 for a 1.3 point loss and an ROI of -1.6% Whisper it but now within touching distance of getting out of the red! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peanut peanut Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 You can do it Harry harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 17, 2020 Author Share Posted November 17, 2020 11 minutes ago, peanut peanut said: You can do it Harry It's part vanity project and part curiosity. Can what makes money on goal and tryscorers do the same in this sport, from a position of relative ignorance. Gives me something to do just before teatime on a Sunday of nothing else! peanut peanut 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peanut peanut Posted November 17, 2020 Share Posted November 17, 2020 Sounds a good enough reason to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 19, 2020 Author Share Posted November 19, 2020 Arizona @ Seattle: 1 point on Moore at 16/5 PP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 22, 2020 Author Share Posted November 22, 2020 Early game selections. Philadelphia @ Cleveland: 1 point each on Fulgham at 29/10 with 888 and Reagor at 10/3 PP Detroit @ Carolina: 1 point on Samuel at 3/1 with 888 Atlanta @ New Orleans: 1 point on Cook at 10/3 with PP Cincinnati @ Washington: 2 points on Bernard at 31/20 with 888 and 1 on Perine at 7/1 Skybet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 22, 2020 Author Share Posted November 22, 2020 And for the later games. NY Jets @ LA Chargers: 2 points on Ballage at 7/5 with 888 Miami @ Denver: 2 points on Ahmed at 13/8 with Skybet, 1 on Parker at 13/5 with 888 and 1 on Gesicki at 13/5 with PP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 23, 2020 Author Share Posted November 23, 2020 With one game to go it's shaping up to be a poor week. Samuel and Parker the only winners from 11 selections, 14 points returning 7.6. Final update after any bets on the last game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 23, 2020 Author Share Posted November 23, 2020 LA Rams at Tampa Bay: 2 points on Ronald Jones II at 7/5 PP Also, "off the books" as it were, couldn't resist the small stake allowed on their "Power Price" of Jones and Henderson both to score a TD at 7/1. Only comes to 7.2 at best odds and that involves a standout 2/1 Henderson with some obscure firm. Ignoring them it's 6.3. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 25, 2020 Author Share Posted November 25, 2020 On 11/23/2020 at 1:02 PM, harry_rag said: With one game to go it's shaping up to be a poor week. Samuel and Parker the only winners from 11 selections, 14 points returning 7.6. Final update after any bets on the last game. Another 2 points lost on Jones so 2 winners from 12 and 16 points returned 7.6 for a loss of 8.4. Overall record is 25 winners from 90, 97.5 points returns 87.8 for a 9.7 point loss and an ROI of -9.95% It's the hope that kills you, or at least keeps you tilting at windmills! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 26, 2020 Author Share Posted November 26, 2020 Here we go again, 2 just about big enough prices to get things rolling. Washington @ Dallas: 1.5 points each on McLaurin at 13/8 and Cooper at 7/4 both with Sky Bet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 29, 2020 Author Share Posted November 29, 2020 One from 2 so far with Cooper obliging. These in the early games. Carolina @ Minnesota: 1 point on Samuel at 13/5 with 888 Cleveland @ Jacksonville: 1 point each on Cole at 11/5 and Shenault at 11/4, both with PP NY Giants @ Cincinnati: 1 point on Perine at 10/3 with Sky Bet Tennessee @ Indianapolis: 2 points on Hines at 5/4 with Hills and 1 on Burton at 11/4 with Fred 7 points staked on 6 selections. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 29, 2020 Author Share Posted November 29, 2020 Just 2 for later. Kansas @ Tampa Bay: 1 point on Fournette at 12/5 with PP and 2 on Edwards-Helaire at 7/5 with 888 So 10 points staked on 8 selections. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 30, 2020 Author Share Posted November 30, 2020 Burton the only winner so just 3.75 points returned from the 10 staked. I'm beginning to think that selling or laying touchdown scorers is the way forward rather than backing! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted November 30, 2020 Author Share Posted November 30, 2020 Seattle @ Philadelphia: 2 points on Sanders at 6/5 Sky Bet, 1 each on Goedert at 11/4 PP and Reagor 3/1 888. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted December 2, 2020 Author Share Posted December 2, 2020 1 from 3 there (Goedert) but a small loss at the stakes. Two for tonight. Baltimore @ Pittsburgh: 2 points on Snell Jr at 6/5 and 1 on Edwards at 21/10, both with 888. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted December 3, 2020 Author Share Posted December 3, 2020 Edwards a winner so at least finish on a profitable note! Overall record is 29 winners from 105, 117.5 points returns 102.53 for a 14.97 point loss and an ROI of -12.74% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted December 6, 2020 Author Share Posted December 6, 2020 Not feeling like ploughing through every game today so I've just looked at the ones where both spread firms have priced up player TD minutes. (It's what I use as my guide to potential bets and more reliable when there are 2 sets of prices to compare.) Cleveland @ Tennessee: 2 points on Hunt at 7/5 with 888 and 1 on Higgins at 17/4 with the same firm LA Rams @ Arizona: 1 point on Edmonds at 4/1 with 888 and 1 on Akers at 5/2 with Lads Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted December 7, 2020 Author Share Posted December 7, 2020 2 out of 4 last night (Higgins and Akers), 5 points returns 8.75 for a profit of 3.75 points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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