Bazman Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 Hi there, I am confused by Asian Handicap odds: They are described in the link below as follows: (https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/attachment.php?attachmentid=62968&d=1386982455) "Quarter balls actually mean that the stake of the bet will be divided in two separate bets where one is with 0:0 handicap and the other with ½:0 handicap." This makes it sound like the quarter should simply bet the average of the (0:0) and (½:0) handicap. However on pages 6-9 of the link above they show that although the payoffs of the (¼:0) are the simple averages of the payoffs for the (0:0) and (½:0) handicaps for both teams. Only the odds for the team that does not benefit from the handicap has odds that are the simple average of it's (0:0) and (½:0) handicaps. Can someone please explain to me why the odds for the team that receives the ¼ goal advantage has odds which are different to the simple average of the (0:0) and (½:0) handicaps. Given that the payoffs are the same it seems that the probabilities must be different but why are they different? Thanks Baz PS(I realise this a similar question has been asked before but the answers given there don't answer my question) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted October 11, 2019 Share Posted October 11, 2019 Only had a cursory glance at this (more than enough for me) but I suspect it will be a by-product of the key difference; for the team receiving the start a draw is half push and half win whereas for the favourite the draw is half push and half loss. That should set you on the way to figuring it out! Bazman 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paparainbow Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 On 10/11/2019 at 8:54 PM, Bazman said: Hi there, I am confused by Asian Handicap odds: They are described in the link below as follows: (https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/attachment.php?attachmentid=62968&d=1386982455) "Quarter balls actually mean that the stake of the bet will be divided in two separate bets where one is with 0:0 handicap and the other with ½:0 handicap." This makes it sound like the quarter should simply bet the average of the (0:0) and (½:0) handicap. However on pages 6-9 of the link above they show that although the payoffs of the (¼:0) are the simple averages of the payoffs for the (0:0) and (½:0) handicaps for both teams. Only the odds for the team that does not benefit from the handicap has odds that are the simple average of it's (0:0) and (½:0) handicaps. Can someone please explain to me why the odds for the team that receives the ¼ goal advantage has odds which are different to the simple average of the (0:0) and (½:0) handicaps. Given that the payoffs are the same it seems that the probabilities must be different but why are they different? Thanks Baz PS(I realise this a similar question has been asked before but the answers given there don't answer my question) I am not sure i am following your logic, can you give a numerical example? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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