BillyHills Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 Saturday 340 NM: 1m1f (Row) bet365 Cambridgeshire Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (3yo+) Previous Winners Trends 9/10 5yo or less 9/10 carried 9st 5lbs or less 9/10 Ran within 50 days 7/10 Drawn double figures 7/10 Rated 104 or above 17/22 first 4 last time (6 won) 18/22 Ran at least 3 times this season 21/22 Have won a race at 1m or more (15 at 9f or more) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted September 24, 2019 Author Share Posted September 24, 2019 Early odds @ bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted September 24, 2019 Author Share Posted September 24, 2019 The Silver Cambridgeshire is on Friday for those interested Friday NM 520: 1m1f (Row) Shadwell Farm Handicap (Silver Cambridgeshire) (Class 2) (3yo+) Trends 9/9 Placed last time out 9/9 Won at 1m or more 8/9 aged 6 or below (7 aged 3) 7/9 Ran within a month 6/9 Drawn 9 or above 6/9 Rated below 90 8/9 Ran at least 4 times this season Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted September 24, 2019 Share Posted September 24, 2019 Cambridgeshire Good birthday 255 +4 Bedouins story 253 +2 These two fit the profile of winner and are a fair few points (6) in front of next horse ...good value bets Good birthday 10pts ew 10/1 bet365 Bedouins story 10pts ew 16/1 b365 BillyHills and vikki37 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted September 24, 2019 Author Share Posted September 24, 2019 @richard-westwood Oisin Murphy was on about Good Birthday today, he fancies it strongly richard-westwood 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted September 25, 2019 Share Posted September 25, 2019 14 hours ago, BillyHills said: @richard-westwood Oisin Murphy was on about Good Birthday today, he fancies it strongly Price is dropping rapidly was 16/1 2 days ago now ...8/1 with half firms and still falling .. . BillyHills 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted September 26, 2019 Author Share Posted September 26, 2019 Trends Selection 9/10 5yo or less We lose 8,12, 17, 25, 26, 339/10 carried 9st 5lbs or less We lose top 4 horses9/10 Ran within 50 days We lose 16, 22, 27, 29, 307/10 Drawn double figures We lose 9,11,13,23,2417/22 first 4 last time (6 won) We lose 6,10,15, 20, 21, 27, 28, 31, 3421/22 Have won a race at 1m or more (15 at 9f or more) We lose 5, Amazing, we end up with 4 horses and 3 of them head the market the 4 horses are drawn 29,30,32 and 33 Good Birthday 8/1 Le Don De Vie 8/1 Lord North 10/11pt EW Baltic Baron 40/1 Coral Will have an EW bet on Baltic Baron and do a Combi f/cast - t/cast on the 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Race Trends Posted September 26, 2019 Share Posted September 26, 2019 Some more trends: 19/19 had finished in the top 10 LTO 19/19 had won 2-6 times 19/19 had won 1+ handicap 17/17 had run 4-26 times 17/17 had won 17%+ of its races (1 in 6) 17/17 had won over 8f+ These 6 trends leave 1/3 of the field so further analysis is required to get the numbers down to a more manageable number: 15/15 had run in the past 100 days 15/15 had carried 8-4+ 10/10 had finished in the top 6 LTO These 3 additional trends narrow the field down to just 3 runners (current best odds in brackets): GOOD BIRTHDAY (8/1) LE DON DE VIE (8/1) MORDIN (20/1) [neglected to post on the forum last week but the trends identified the Ayr Gold Cup winner at 28/1 (available at 33/1 & 50/1 earlier in the week)] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted September 27, 2019 Share Posted September 27, 2019 Main Bet BERINGER 20/1 e/w 8 places Next Best DUBIA HORIZON 25/1 e/w 8places Big priced Outsider ANOTHER TOUCH 33/1 e/w 7places Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Astleavista Posted September 28, 2019 Share Posted September 28, 2019 With a certain programme about to return to TV it has to be Your Hired (ew @ 50/1) Ken Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
black rabbit Posted September 28, 2019 Share Posted September 28, 2019 Little Joe ew @ 38/1 for me been layed out for the race all year { along with the other 30 runners } in it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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