2019 2000/1000 Guineas - Tips & Trends

[richard-westwood]

Just starting a discussion on big  race next week ....i usually tackle this slightly diff in that theres more emphasis on speed and level  of form achieved rather than other factors and its worked well for me in the past in this race ......so far with 31 current decs my ratings are ....

Ten sovereigns  1.2 120  6f 

Phoenix of Spain  0.6  114 8f 

Magna grecia   0.6 114  8f 

Great scot  1.0  111 7f 

Advertise   2.8  118 7f 

First figure is estinated time achievable outside standard and ive put distance achieved so far   at end and form rating achieved .....makes interesting reading ...advertise has a high form rating but hasnt shown much speed to date ...great scot has been running well but looks a little outclassed ...the 2 strongest horses over distance are magna grecia and phoenix of spain both showing the speed and level needed to win a guineas with more to come .........dark horse is ten sovereigns who has shown blistering speed and a high form level but only at 6f ....represents a o brien so cant be    ruled out but distance is big negative at this stage against proven horses ..........will do more research ...feel free to post your own thoughts or ratings etc  

[richard-westwood]

42 minutes ago, richard-westwood said:

Just starting a discussion on big  race next week ....i usually tackle this slightly diff in that theres more emphasis on speed and level  of form achieved rather than other factors and its worked well for me in the past in this race ......so far with 31 current decs my ratings are ....

Ten sovereigns  1.2 120  6f 

Phoenix of Spain  0.6  114 8f 

Magna grecia   0.6 114  8f 

Great scot  1.0  111 7f 

Advertise   2.8  118 7f 

First figure is estinated time achievable outside standard and ive put distance achieved so far   at end and form rating achieved .....makes interesting reading ...advertise has a high form rating but hasnt shown much speed to date ...great scot has been running well but looks a little outclassed ...the 2 strongest horses over distance are magna grecia and phoenix of spain both showing the speed and level needed to win a guineas with more to come .........dark horse is ten sovereigns who has shown blistering speed and a high form level but only at 6f ....represents a o brien so cant be    ruled out but distance is big negative at this stage against proven horses ..........will do more research ...feel free to post your own thoughts or ratings etc  

The one that initially stands out on breeding is phoenix of spain .....out of sharmadal  ...french 2000 and derby wiinner ....that has to give him bonus points surely .....shocking thing is ...is currently available at 25/1!!! Gotta say that looks incredible value ew 

Edited April 28, 2019 by richard-westwood