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McNamara Band

Basketball - 5.50m

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It's looking that way 

NBA - 10 December 2018

Detroit v Milwaukee - 05.50m - 184 - Bet365 - 215.5 (31) - Final Score - 211 - Win
NY Knicks v Phoenix - 05.50m - 208 - Bet365 - 234.5 (26) - Final Score - 238 - Loss
Minnesota v Sacramento - 05.50m - 205 - Bet365 - 233.5 (28) - Final Score - 237 - Loss
Oklahoma v Chicago - 05.50m - 188 - Bet365 - 214.5 (26) - Final Score - 217 - Loss
Houston v Utah - 05.50m - 175 - Bet365 - 205.5 (30) - Final Score - 199 - Win
San Antonio v Phillidelphia - 05.50m - 193 - Bet365 - 220.5 (27) - Final Score - 219 - Win
L.A Cippers v Portland - 05.50m - 220 - Bet365 - 249.5 (00) - Final Score - 258 - Loss
Golden State v Memphis - 05.50m - 179 - Bet365 - 204.5 (25) - Final Score - 203 - Win

8 NBA games - 04 Wins - 04 Losses

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Games for today 20 December 2018

Wasn't able to catch three games today, Philadelphia, Orlando and Charlotte but working it out the Bookies should have had the totals as -

Philadelphia game around 235.5 
Orlando game around 231.5
Charlotte game around 210.5 

I'm sure someone will know what the totals were at the time.

I was able to bets on the games below which was good
Boston v Phoenix - 05.50m - 187 - Bet365 - 217.5 (30) - Final Score - 214 - Win
Toronto v Indiana - 05.50m - 175 - Bet365 - 204.5 (29) - Final Score -195 - Win
Chicago  v Brooklyn - 05.50m - 169 - Bet365 - 198.5 (29) - Final Score - 189 - Win
Milwaukee v N.O - 05.50m - 211 - Bet365 - 242.5 (31) - Final Score - 238 - Win
Houston v Washington - 05.50m - 219 - Bet365 - 246.5 (27) - Final Score - 254 - Loss
Detroit v Minnesota - 05.50m - 198 - Bet365 - 226.5 (28) - Final Score - 236 - Over Time - 252- Loss 
Utah v G.State - 05.50m - 189 - Bet365 - 218.5 (29) - Final Score - 211 - Win
Portland v - 05.50m - 166 - Bet365 - 191.5 (25) - Final Score - 191 - Win
Sacramento v - 05.50m - 220 - Bet365 - 248.5 (28) - Final Score - 245 - Win

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China - CBA

I have being working out something for the China CBA games for the Overs, I have played some games with good results (16-05) but this one will be a paper trail for now.

In the third quarter with 1.50 left on the clock you will take the Bookies Overs.

There is one game playing tonight Sichuan v Shanxi so we will see how it goes.

 

 

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China - CBA

3q - 1.50m - Sichuan v Shanxi - 144 - 202.5 - Final Score -198 - Loss

The first five minutes of the fourth quarter they didn't score many points which was disappointing and the last four minutes of the game they started scoring but was always going to fall short of the target ..... 

 

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China - CBA - 28 December

7 games playing tonight -

Bayi Rockets vs Fujian

Guangdong vs Beijing Dragons

Guangzhou vs Tiajin

Nanjing vs Xinjiang

Qingdao vs Jiangsu Dragons

Shandong vs Jilin

Shanghai vs Zhejiang

Our paper trail is - 01 Game - 00 Wins - 01 Loss

 

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China CBA -

I started this last week and it will be a paper trail - 

22 December 2018
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Tiajin - 231.5 - Final Score - 254 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Jilin - 225.5 - Final Score - 240
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Shenzhen - 213.5 - Final Score - 216 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Lioning - 200.5 - Final Score - 209
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Guangzhou - 188.5 - Final Score - 189 

23 December 2018 - Bet365 had technical Issues 
3q - 1.50m - Beikong Fly - c210.5 - Final Score - 000 
3q - 1.50m - Bayi - 186.5 - Final Score - 000 
3q - 1.50m - Shanxi - 000.5 - Final Score - 000 

24 December 2018
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Fujian - 197.5 - Final Score -201 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Shenzhen - 186.5 - Final Score -189 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Jillin - 212.5 - Final Score -216 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Qingdao - 232.5 - Final Score -238 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Sichuan - 173.5 - Final Score -177 
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Tanjin - 223.5 - Final Score -217 
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Nanjing - 209.5 - Final Score -209 

26 December 2018
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Beikong - 176.5 - Final - 179
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Beijing Ducks - 175.5 - Final - 183
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Shenzhen - 226.5 - Final - 234
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Jiangsu - 192.5 - Final - 200
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Qingdao - 236.5 - Final - 236
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Liaoning - 196.5 - Final - 186
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Bayi - 176.5 - Final - 185
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Jilin - 218.5 - Final - 215
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Fujian - 227.5 - Final - 237

27 December 2018
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Sichuan  Shanxi - 202.5 - Final Score -198 

28 December 2018 - Last Nights Games
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Guangdong vs Beijing Dragons - 223.5 - Final Score - 230 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Bayi Rockets vs Fujian - 199.5 - Final Score - 205
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Guangzhou vs Tiajin - 247.5 - Final Score - 248 
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Nanjing vs Xinjiang - 247.5 - Final Score - 243
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Qingdao vs Jiangsu Dragons - 198.5 - Final Score - 195 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Shandong vs Jilin  - 210.5 - Final Score - 214
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Shanghai vs Zhejiang -218.5 - Final Score - 224 - Over Time - 246 

Let's see how it goes in the next 7 days.

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On 28/12/2018 at 2:32 AM, McNamara Band said:

China - CBA - 29 December

3 games tonight -

Beijing Ducks v Shenzhen
Liaoning v Shanxi
Zhejiang v Sichuan

Our paper trail is - 08 Games - 05 Wins - 03 Losses

 

29 DECEMBER 2018

Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Beijing Ducks v Shenzhen - 182.5 - Final Score - 176 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Liaoning v Shanxi - 209.5 - Final Score - 214 
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Zhejiang v Sichuan - 195.5 - Final Score - 189 

The Beijing Ducks game must have been in slow motion ...... 


 

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Thanks for updating this. I've been playing around with jumping in on basketball games with 3.10 left in the 4th quarter. been figuring out the points per minute scored and then multiplying it out to see what the predicted total score would be. Not bad so far. 

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That's a good way ...... I usually wait till the 6 minute mark of each quarter then add 29 to the total score to get what the total may be at the end of that quarter.

Works well if the Bookies Quarter Lines are less than yours   

Washington v Chicago - 2Q - 6m - 051 - add 29 = 80 - End of 2nd Quarter the score was 82

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On 29/12/2018 at 2:12 AM, McNamara Band said:

China - CBA - 30 December

4 Games tonight -

Bayi v Shandong
Fujian v Jiangsu Dragons
Guangzhou v Qingdao
Nanjing v Zhejiang

Our paper trail is - 11 Games - 06 Wins - 05 Losses

 

 

Won - 3q - 1.50m - Bayi v Shandong - 200.5 - Final Score - 206 
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Fujian v  Jiangsu - 201.5 - Final Score - 198 
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Guangzhou v Qingdao - 215.5 - Final Score - 213 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Nanjing v Zhejiang - 193.5 - Final Score - 200 

Honestly thought we had the Fujian game but they fell short

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China - CBA - 31 December

Won - 3q - 1.50m - Xinjiang - 211.5 - Final Score - 216 
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Tiajin - 194.5 - Final Score - 193 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Liaoning - 233.5 - Final Score - 246 
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Sichuan - 220.5 - Final Score - 209 
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Beikong - 191.5 - Final Score - 188 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Shanxi - 225.5 - Final Score - 233 

Our paper trail is - 21 Games - 11 Wins - 10 Losses

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On 28/12/2018 at 1:37 PM, eddiey said:

Thanks for updating this. I've been playing around with jumping in on basketball games with 3.10 left in the 4th quarter. been figuring out the points per minute scored and then multiplying it out to see what the predicted total score would be. Not bad so far. 

I having been watching and I think the number you will be looking for is 17, seems to work for the other quarters as well

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Thanks McNamara. I think the number varies depending on the skill of the league. I have been adding a few more points when watching the NBA and I'll try 17 for college basketball and international games. I also thought about adding a few points if the difference is scores is 6 points or less thinking there would be a few more stoppages due to fouls and the extra incentive to win. What do you think?

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On 31/12/2018 at 11:48 AM, eddiey said:

Thanks McNamara. I think the number varies depending on the skill of the league. I have been adding a few more points when watching the NBA and I'll try 17 for college basketball and international games. I also thought about adding a few points if the difference is scores is 6 points or less thinking there would be a few more stoppages due to fouls and the extra incentive to win. What do you think?

The think adding a few more points in a close game may not work if the team leading starts to let the clock run down before even taking a shot and if the other team allows them to that then it won't be good for the result  you want ..... but that's just me 

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China - CBA - 01 January 2019

7 games tonight and I thought I would put up the starting totals and where the game needs to be at with 1m.50 left in the third quarter to stay on track with the starting total, .

185.5 - 3q - 1.50m - 131 - Beijing Duck v Liaoning 
217.5 - 3q - 1.50m - 153 - Fujian v Nanjiang 
202.5 - 3q - 1.50m - 143 - Jiangsu v Zhejiang 
215.5 - 3q - 1.50m - 152 - Shanxi v Tiajin 
222.5 - 3q - 1.50m - 157 - Shenzhen v Qingdao 
215.5 - 3q - 1.50m - 152 - Sichuan v Guangzhou 
219.5 - 3q - 1.50m - 155 - Xinjiang v Guangdong 

Our paper trail so far is - 21 Games - 11 Wins - 10 Losses

 

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Still working on the right numbers for the various leagues. My thinking is to wait until the 3.0 minute mark of any basketball game and take the under but that has been inconsistent. More winners than losers but not sufficient enough margin for steady profits. I'm using the formula I stated previously but it seems every game keeps coming under and I might as well not try to figure out the score and just take the under but as I said that doesn't produce enough winners for my taste I'll use your suggested 17 points at the 3.0 mark for the NBA but do you have an idea what number to use for college basketball or European leagues?

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Haven;t found anything for the College Basketball. at the moment.

European games - 2m.30 - diff should be 10 - take Overs and if it jumps up to a higher total while the clock is ticking down then take Unders as well, you could win both. .....they will be nail biting though

I'm going to try this one for all the NBA quarters today - 5m.13 mark - diff should be 27 - taking Overs on the quarter lines.

 

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China CBA - 02 January 2019

Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Beijing Duck v Liaoning -  179.5 - Final Score - 175 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Fujian v Nanjiang - 208.5 - Final Score - 216 
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Jiangsu v Zhejiang - 211.5 - Final Score - 211 
Loss - 3q - 1.50m - Shanxi v Tiajin - 216.5 - Final Score - 210 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Shenzhen v Qingdao - 220.5 - Final Score - 226 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Sichuan v Guangzhou - 210.5 - Final Score - 212 
Won - 3q - 1.50m - Xinjiang v Guangdong - 252.5 - Final Score - 256 

03 January 2019

Loss - 194.5 - 3q - 1.50m - Bayi -  185.5 - Final Score - 178 
Loss - 220.5 - 3q - 1.50m - Jilin - 232.5 - Final Score - 231 
Loss - 199.5 - 3q - 1.50m - Shandong - 165.5 - Final Score - 155 

Our paper trail is - 31 Games - 15 Wins - 16 Losses

Doesn't seem to be working so this paper trail will end with a fail.

 

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  • Punters Lounge Forum Tips

    • 4.25 Curragh: Fairyland 0.5pts e/w @ 12.00 with bet365. Thank you. 
    • Monaco GP So Hamilton pulls a rabbit out of the hat and grabs pole for yet another Mercedes front row lockout. Lewis is an unbackable 1/3 shot to lead all of the way and this 78 lap traffic jam. I feel for Bottas as he was going quickest for most of the session and now finds himself stuck behind the best driver at Monaco in the race. He's a 4/1 shot to get past Hamilton so basically your betting 4/1 for Hamilton to retire?? Max Verstappen is now a 6/1 shot but is as short as 4/11 to finish on the podium so maybe the value has swung towards Vettel in this market who is a tempting 6/5 shot. H surely cant have another bad day like today, can he?? I'm struggling to see how Pierre Gasly is 4/7 to finish in the top 6 when Riccardo is 11/8, Gasly has a 3 place grid penalty to starts 8th while the Aussie starts 6th?? Leclerc who starts 16th is 13/8, that will be worth seeing if he finishes 6th!!! Lance Stroll struggles here and his car is pretty slow so backing him at 2/1 not to finish is worth a small bet to keep me interested in what could be a dull race. Bets Verstappen 7/2 Under 15.5 5/6 Vettel Top 3 6/5 Ricciardo Top 6 11/8 Stroll DNF 2/1  
    • Well done Steve, your first win in the Cup since May 2017 Unlucky Ken mate.      
    • Albert Ramos to beat Laslo Djere at 2.15 with betsson It's all about probability in this one and I rate the probability of this happening higher than the current odds of 2.15. Albert has been in the quarterfinal of Roland Garros before and knows how to play in grand slam events while Laslo is 1-6 in GS maindraw matches. I expect Laslo to run into some major difficulties against Albert. They met once before and Albert won 2-1 back in 2017 in Marrakech. Peter Gojowczyk to beat Jo-Wilfried Tsonga at 4.50 with Unibet Peter has beaten J-W before and most importantly on indoor hard and even in a 5 set Davis cup thriller by 8-6 in the decider. I think Peter could have enough to win this again even though his form isn't the best but neither is J-Ws form and I think clay suits Peter a little bit better and he's got the matchup advantage and knows how to find break opportunities in the J-W serve. Better chances of an upset than the odds suggest at least. Sveta Kuznetsova to beat (-1.5 sets) Kristina Kucova at 2.04 with Unibet Sveta could not have asked for a more favorable first round opponent. Kristina hates clay and she's never won a set in Roland Garros maindraw and her last two visits have been first round straight sets losses to Shuai Zhang 6-0 7-5 and Sam Stosur 7-5 6-0. She's done well to reach the maindraw from qualification but her opponents weren't really hard at all but she still had problems in last match against Katie Swan but won in a decider. Sveta should have many opportunities to break and could win in straight sets. Kateryna Kozlova to beat Bernarda Pera at 2.35 with Unibet Kateryna most famously knocked out reigning champion Jelena Ostapenko in straight sets last season in Roland Garros first round and later lost in second round. Bernarda Pera also won her first round match in Roland Garros last season and she beat Elena Vesnina but I don't rate that performance at all and she later also lost in second round. Anyway I don't see what makes Kateryna the underdog in this one. Kateryna has a higher ranking now (66), close to her career high 62 and I rate beating Jelena Ostapenko in straight sets higher than Bernarda beating a Elena Vesnina with retirement in her sights. Should be more  even odds here I think.  Roger Federer to beat (-6.5) Lorenzo Sonego at 1.97 with betsson I think I have to rate Rogers chances pretty high here. I don't think Lorenzo will get many looks into Rogers serve but Roger should find ways to find breakpoint opportunities on the Lorenzo serve. It might take some time but once Roger gets a break it could be a rout. This could even be covered in 4 sets.
    • I agree about Millman. He must have a chance to at least take a set as Sascha is all over the place right now. He's just won Geneva but it was such a struggle - apart from his first round every match was three sets and he only got the better of Jarry in a final set tie-break which it looked as though he did his best to throw away after building a big lead. It would be so ironic if this is to be the tournament where Sascha makes his grand slam breakthrough when his form is just not there after the last few years where he's been playing well but couldn't translate that into deep runs in the slams. I certainly wont be backing him and it'd be a brave person that did based on his season so far.
    • 2.10 Font - Demon Fou - win at 7/4 bog bet365
    • Few personal opinions apart from the picks above. I agree Millman is capable of an upset of Zverev.I'll be taking a side one on this one. I was looking forward to take on Cameron Norrie before Kyrgios pulled out.No one believes he's really ill n he hates clay season with a passion. Weren't he to take on a serious player in the 2nd round I'd have considered him to go on a bit further. Mikael Ymer will be decent n I expect him to win his first match art RG.I'd stay away from Jarry Vs DelPo.Most unpredicted 1st round match. Kohlschreiber is a formidable opponent especially this year but I think there's value in taking R Haase against him based on motivation.Also Lloyd Harris prefers hard courts to clay I don't see why he's the favourite to beat Rosol who despite being poor in form on a good day is decent on Clay.Thoughts @South_African_Punter
    • 3.15 fontwell risk and roll my win bet @ 1.73                  6.00 curragh hazraw my win bet @ 2.50                  4.25 curragh iridessa @12/1 my e/w bet                   5.00 curragh trading point @12/1 my e/w bet
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