Racing Chat - Thursday Oct 25th

[BillyHills]

815 Chelmsford

Mezmaar 4/1 bet365

Low grade stuff here but a chance is taken with Mezmaar who used to be a Kempton specialist but the last twice has shown some decent form here. He won after a break back in July and then was a decent second last month. He is still a couple of pounds below his mark this time last year and trainer Mark Usher is in good form at the moment. All in all the 4/1 looks decent value to me.

[Trotter]

Been having a good run over the last few weeks at picking out once raced two year olds who might showed improved form on their second outings

Generally this would involve them having shown signs of promise, eg running on late, travelling well, being in front until fading late...…… that sort of thing.

It helps if they're dropping down the track grades, say from Newbury to the all weather

It helps if the trainer has a modus operandi of giving horses a considerate introduction and leaving something to work on, Other trainers of course like to have them ready to go full steam on debut

It helps if some horses from their debut race have come out since and run well

Today's selection is Homesick Boy at Chelmsford 5.45, currently 25/1

Noted running on late at Windsor first time out, trainer Ed Dunlop leaves a lot to work on ……….. not much has run since from the race so that's a negative and there's a lot of two year old races at Windsor so they can be a bit average. Not one to go overboard about but EW at 25/1. Watch out though because there's just 8 runners ,,,,, a NR could scupper EW betting