Over 2.5 Goals a Different Method

[Kentucky110]

Hello All

below is the method I use for selecting Over 2.5 goals

Most punters look at average goals per game and if the game average is over 2.5  for both home and away teams then it ma be considered as a selection

My approach is similar but I rank the teams (see below snip from Excel)

the below table (League 1) shows Avg.H Goals This is the average for goals scored in game for Home Team Home matches only

so for example (Home games only) Portsmouth Goals for 9 Goals against 2 total =11 divide by number of home games played 4 gives 2.75 The ranking for Portsmouth (Rank G.H) is 9

Portsmouth Goals for home (Avg.GFH) is 2.25 with a ranking of 1 

I add the 2 ranking figures together Portsmouth = 10

I do the same for the away Team so for Wycombe Rank Goals Away (Rank G.A)=3 Rank Goals for Away (Rank GFA)=12 add them together giving a total of 15 for Wycombe

I then add the I then add the home ranking to the away ranking Total 25 for this game

The same is done for All Games in League ( see Lower snip from Excel)

How do I select from this? ( These games are for League 1 Sat 22nd)

I only bet if the home team has played 4 or more games at home and the away team has played 4 or more games away

I only consider games with the 3 Lowest Home Rankings ( Highlighted in red) and the 3 Lowest Away Rankings (Highlighted in red)

I now have a total of 6 games to consider. I now find the lowest Total ranking and if this is one of the 6 games then it becomes the selection for over 2.5 goals

My selection for Sat League 1 is Gillingham v Peterbrough over 2.5 goals

I do this for 4 leagues normally Premiership,Championship,League 1 and league 2

and My bet is 4 trebles and a 4 timer

Its quite simple to set up in Excel if you want to try

 

[Zemside]

Kentuckey110---Good to have as a guide,sure one can find some value bets too.Did you play this last season and how did it go?