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I've given up on my doubles strategy, I don't like the long losing runs, especially when I would have been in profit if I had stuck to my singles policy.

My selection today is in the class 6 handicap at Wolverhampton at 8.00, using the criteria that I listed on Saturday.

The selection is THUNDEROAD, not just because it is one of my favourite Bruce Springsteen tracks.

It passes all the criteria apart from days since last run and as an overall AE of 1.07. £20 win bet at 7/1 with BET365.

I noticed that on Saturday's ITV racing they had a section on WAX ratings, which in effect is the same as AR ratings. This indicated what poor value Ryan Moore was at Ascot which could have put you off Magical in the Champion stakes. It did however indicate that the best value jockey was Frankie, I'm sure those who backed Stradivarius and Palace Pier would disagree.

Personally I don't pay too much credence to jockey statistics at particular courses, the sample data size is usually too small for my liking. It was interesting to listen to A P McCoy's comments, he obviously didn't understand the concept.

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1500 N - Sparton Fighter @ 25-1  -  4-p (with many)  £2.50 ew 

1435 Y - Theheartneverlies @ 25-1  -  4-p (888.sport)   £2.50 ew

1545 Y - Bristol Missile @ 30-1  -  (pp)   £2 ew 

1610 N - Steal The Scene @ 33-1  -  4-p (with many)   £2 ew 

25p ew Trebles (£2) 

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3 hours ago, Trotter said:

this month +184.15

flat and jumps today

Yarm 2.00 - Inver Park 7/2 and Tilaaway 11/2 (WON)
Exe 2.50 - Sizing At Midnight 9/4 and Kittys Light 7/2 (WON 9/2)

prices bet365 bog

4 x £5 doubles

 

doing well with these doubles over the last few days .... that's 3 decent wins in 4 days !

return 178.75, profit 158.75

this month - + 342.90

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Analysis of 4.50 at Yarmouth, a class 6 handicap over 7 furlongs. There have been 417 such races over the last 6 years. Key factors are :-

Course or distance winner. AE = 1.15

Draw > 6. AE = 1.11

Age > 3. AE = 1.07

Forecast odds > 7/2. AE = 1.06

Not in top 4 highest weight. AE = 1.05.

There are 2 joint top rated selections with an AE of 1.09. They pass all the criteria.

HI HO SILVER 16/1. £10 WIN VBET.

LINCOLN RED 14/1. £5 EW UNIBET 4 PLACES.

 

 

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10 hours ago, LEE-GRAYS said:

Trialling this for next month 1 French irish all weather and a nb

14.17 deauville Northern fox lost

16.50 navan red vermilion 6/1  lost

19.45 Wolverhampton come on my son 33/1lost 

nb 16.23 Carlisle boreas duke 12/1 lost

all bets £2.50 e/w coral

Will add p/l on to this months

Edited by LEE-GRAYS
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