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Saturday Racing (Inc. Ascot, Shergar Cup)


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Ascot shergar dash

union rose.  99.12

burnt sugar 99.08

union rose ran a cracker over cd last time and comes here firing on all cylinders ...conditions perfect will be hard to peg back ...burnt sugar has patches of form which give him a chance under these conditions ...

union rose.  5 pts win 5/1 betfred

burnt sugar 3 pts win 9/1 betfred

 

 

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  • BillyHills changed the title to Saturday Racing (Inc. Ascot, Shergar Cup)

Ascot shergar stayers

Noble silk. 99.06

sea of heaven. 99.03

saigon city.  99.03

sea of heaven is fav and sets the standard ...he beat noble silk but i think on revised terms and with it being third run the latter can turn it  around ...saigon city has been running well in distance races and has the services of 3lb claimer ...should run well

noble silk 3 pts ew 9/1 betfred

saigon city 3 pts win 10/1 pp

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Shergar cup challenge 

plutocracy.  99.21

ruwasi.     99.21 

interesting race ruwasi is an improving type but takes a mark step up in class here ...bookies fear and have installed as fav around 7/2 ...plutocracy is fully at home at this level and is available at 12/1 on betfair ...far better value to me ill go ew on that one 

plutocracy 5 pts ew 12/1 betfair 

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Shergar cup mile

highland colori 98.88

early morning. 98.87

Highland colori is in form and should run well ..very dangerous but i like the look of early morning here ...conditions are right and has the form to take this if things come together ..riskier but at 8/1 hes twice the price of highland so excellent value 

early morning 5 pts ew 8/1 betfred 

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Shergar cup classic

real dominium 98.87

danehill kodoac. 98.84

real dominium has run well at ascot before and that should help ...this is a tougher race but improving type so 4/1 is fair ...danehill kodiac has talent and could win this hannon isout of form but tide surely has to turn soon ...worth a saver 

real dominium 6 pts win 4/1 betfair

danehill kodiac 2 pts saver 10/1 pp

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Shergar Cup Trends 

Source Sporting Life;

1.15: Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash Stakes (5f Handicap)

  • Each of the last five winners sent off between 7/2 and 11/2
  • One winning favourite
  • Each of the last five winners aged five (last three) or four (previous two)
  • Trainers Robert Cowell (2) and Andrew Balding (2) combine for four winners
  • No significant draw trends
  • None of the last five winners had a previous course win

1.45: Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Stayers (2m Handicap)

  • Each of the last five winners sent off between 9/2 and 8/1
  • Two winning favourites (one was joint-).
  • Each of the last five winners aged five (3) or four (2)
  • Trainer Ian Williams saddled two winners
  • No significant draw trends
  • One previous course winner; two others with solid form

2.20: Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Challenge (1m4f Handicap)

  • Each of the last five winners sent off between 5/1 and 7/1
  • None of the above were winning favourites
  • Each of the last five winners aged four (3) or five (2)
  • No more than one win for a trainer but going back eight years, Mark Johnston and Paul Cole have two each
  • No significant draw trends
  • Three winners making course debut; other two both ran well over C&D

2.55: Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Mile (1m Handicap) (Rnd)

  • Each of the last five winners sent off between 3/1 and 6/1
  • One winning favourite
  • Three winners aged four, one aged five, one aged seven
  • No more than one win for a trainer
  • Two of the five winners drawn in stall one
  • Three winners making course debut; one C&D winner

3.30: Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (1m4ft Handicap)

  • Each of the last five winners sent off between 2/1 and 8/1
  • One winning favourite
  • Now a three-year-olds-only race
  • Two wins for Mark Johnson in last six years
  • Last eight winners all drawn between stalls five and eight
  • Two winners making course debut; one second over C&D previous run

4.05: Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint (6f Handicap)

  • Each of the last five winners sent off between 7/2 and 8/1
  • One winning (joint-) favourite
  • Now a three-year-olds-only race
  • Two wins for Roger Charlton in last nine years
  • Three of last five winners drawn 1-3; one drawn in stall 12
  • Last three winners all with previous course experience (albeit just one win)

:ok

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Shergar Cup Selections (Corals Prices)

 

1.15: Out Do 5/1

Much better from Out Do last time at Doncaster and i think he should be able to win a handicap off his reduced mark of 105.

The O'Meara yard are also in much better form these days and is preferred to Union Rose and Line Of Reason

1.45: Sea Of Heaven 5/2

Joe Fanning has drawn Notorised here which is a bonus having ridden him last time out at Goodwood. That was his first sign go coming back to form although that may have been due to the track as he loves Goodwood. Sea Of Heaven is the obvious selection and a typical Prescott improver and also a C/D winner. Not sure about the jockey but is hard to oppose.

2.20: Plutocracy 10/1 

Darshini from the Stoute yard will be popular but he was disappointing last time and others are preferred here. I like the Gary Moore trained Plutocracy who is  avery consistent type and has the assistance of the useful Josephine Gordon. This horse was 4th here the other day on his first run since May and will be spot on now for this test and is a nice EW price.

2.55: George Cinq 5/2

George Cinq can be followed here, he's in top form at present and a 5lb rise in the weights shouldn't stop him in this type of company. He's won at Ascot before and is ridden by Martin Harley. Highland Colori bounced back last time os may be a decent alternative for the Balding yard who are flying at the minute.

3.30: Combative 6/1

A wide-open 3yo handicap here and anything could win to be honest. Amanda Perrett often does well here and her Combative looks as interesting as any. He was a decent 5th last time out at Goodwood and doesn't look too badly handicapped. Against The Odds is another to consider for the in-form Paul Cole, he was second at Chester last time but will be more suited to this track.

4.05: Soapy Aitken 12/1

The final race and a 6f sprint to sort out. I like the Hannon horse Papa Luigi on his earlier form and needs to bounce back to win this and my vote goes to the top one Soapy Aitken. His 4th to Easton Angel at Sandown reads well and his last run can be ignored in Group 3 company where the soft ground stop him. Thus is a drop in class and has Dettori on top which helps.

 

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Nap Of The Day

3.45 Haydock Park

Scottish 2/1 Bet365

Seems to have improved since joining Godolphin and Charlie Appleby and followed up a fair 3rd in the Brigadier Gerard with a smooth success at Newbury last time out.

He led all the way that day and while he can be versatile in that regard he may well try and repeat the dose here. Gabrial and Arab Spring are next best on figures but it may well be Foundation who can cause the most problems if he can return to last years form and his 3rd in the Dante.

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On 04/08/2016, 21:46:10, richard-westwood said:

Ascot shergar dash

union rose.  99.12

burnt sugar 99.08

union rose ran a cracker over cd last time and comes here firing on all cylinders ...conditions perfect will be hard to peg back ...burnt sugar has patches of form which give him a chance under these conditions ...

union rose.  5 pts win 5/1 betfred

burnt sugar 3 pts win 9/1 betfred

 

 

Fell off in a flat race not a good start lol

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On 05/08/2016, 10:22:05, richard-westwood said:

Shergar cup mile

highland colori 98.88

early morning. 98.87

Highland colori is in form and should run well ..very dangerous but i like the look of early morning here ...conditions are right and has the form to take this if things come together ..riskier but at 8/1 hes twice the price of highland so excellent value 

early morning 5 pts ew 8/1 betfred 

Off and running ...boom

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On 05/08/2016, 10:36:27, richard-westwood said:

Shergar cup classic

real dominium 98.87

danehill kodoac. 98.84

real dominium has run well at ascot before and that should help ...this is a tougher race but improving type so 4/1 is fair ...danehill kodiac has talent and could win this hannon isout of form but tide surely has to turn soon ...worth a saver 

real dominium 6 pts win 4/1 betfair

danehill kodiac 2 pts saver 10/1 pp

1st and 3rd ...wrong way round but who cares ...10/1 

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