Xtc12 Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom 1. 4 Pt Win Chelsea v WBA @ 1.47 2. 1 Pt Win Fulham v Liverpool @ 7.5 2a. 1 Pt Win Draw @ 5 3. 6 Pt Win Northampton ?Double Chance v Torquay @ 1.57 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom 1. 4 Pt Win Chelsea v WBA @ 1.47 2. 1 Pt Win Fulham v Liverpool @ 7.5 2a. 1 Pt Win Draw @ 5 3. 6 Pt Win Northampton ?Double Chance v Torquay @ 1.57 :) Bet 1 - Loss 6.61 Bet 2 - Profit 6.0 Bet 2a - Profit 3.15 Bet 3 - Loss 4.11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Xtc12 and I have been talking on a different thread and I have provided him with some data, it's too big to put on here so I attach a 100 row sample for the top team and the bottom team should anyone be interested to take a look. I'm not able to post attachments so you can find the files here so please PM me if you'd like them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom 3. 5 Pt Win Northampton Double Chance v Fleetwood @ 2.05 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom 3. 5 Pt Win Northampton Double Chance v Fleetwood @ 2.05 Fleetwood won 2-0 3. Loss 9.11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skittle Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Been running for a while now, any update of how things are going? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 16, 2014 Author Share Posted February 16, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Bet 1. Bets 10 Staked 28 Won 18.29 Loss 9.71 Bet 2 Bets 10 Staked 16 Won 16 Profit 6 Bet 2a Bets 10 Staked 10 Won 13.15 Profit 3.15 Bet 4 Bets 10 Staked 41 Won 30.89 Loss 10.11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skittle Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Ta,:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 20, 2014 Author Share Posted February 20, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom 1. 5 Pt Win Chelsea v Everton @ 1.53 2. 1 Pt Win Fulham v WBA @ 4.75 2a. 1 Pt Win Draw @ 3.75 3. 6 Pt Win Northampton ?Double Chance v Hartlepool @ 1.4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 24, 2014 Author Share Posted February 24, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom 1. 5 Pt Win Chelsea v Everton @ 1.53 ;) 2. 1 Pt Win Fulham v WBA @ 4.75 2a. 1 Pt Win Draw @ 3.75 ;) 3. 6 Pt Win Northampton ?Double Chance v Hartlepool @ 1.4 ;) Returns Bet 1...7.65 Bet 2a...3.75 Bet 3...8.40 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 24, 2014 Author Share Posted February 24, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom 3. 6 Pt Win Northampton Double Chance v Southend @ 1.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 25, 2014 Author Share Posted February 25, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom 3. 6 Pt Win Northampton Double Chance v Southend @ 1.5 ;) Returns 9 pts Profit 3 pts Total: loss of 0.81pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted February 27, 2014 Author Share Posted February 27, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Bet 1. 5 Pt Win Chelsea v Fulham @ 1.4 Bet 2. 1 Pt Win Fulham v Chelsea @ 7.5 Bet 2a. 1 Pt Win Draw @ 4.5 Bet 3. 6 Pt Win Torquay ?Double Chance v Hartlepool @ 1.75 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 1, 2014 Author Share Posted March 1, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Bet 1. 5 Pt Win Chelsea v Fulham @ 1.4 ;) Bet 2. 1 Pt Win Fulham v Chelsea @ 7.5 Bet 2a. 1 Pt Win Draw @ 4.5 Bet 3. 6 Pt Win Torquay ?Double Chance v Hartlepool @ 1.75 Returns Bet 1 ... 7.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 8, 2014 Author Share Posted March 8, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Bet 1. 5 Pt Win Chelsea v Spurs @ 1.53 Bet 2. 1 Pt Win Fulham v Cardiff @ 3.2 Bet 2a. 1 Pt Win Draw @ 3.3 Bet 3. 7 Pt Win Torquay ?Double Chance v Fleetwood @ 1.57 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 9, 2014 Author Share Posted March 9, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Bet 1. 5 Pt Win Chelsea v Spurs @ 1.53 ;) Bet 2. 1 Pt Win Fulham v Cardiff @ 3.2 Bet 2a. 1 Pt Win Draw @ 3.3 Bet 3. 7 Pt Win Torquay ?Double Chance v Fleetwood @ 1.57 One Winner Chelsea returns 7.65 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 12, 2014 Author Share Posted March 12, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Too much interest in Cheltenham yesterday missed out on Torquay last night @ 1.64. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 14, 2014 Author Share Posted March 14, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Bet 1. 5 Pt Win Chelsea v a.villa @ 1.47 Bet 2. 1 Pt Win Fulham v Newcastle @ 2.9 Bet 2a. 1 Pt Win Draw @ 3.25 Bet 3. 7 Pt Win Torquay ?Double Chance v Cheltenham @ 1.75 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 22, 2014 Author Share Posted March 22, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Bet 1. 5 Pt Win Chelsea v a.villa @ 1.47 Bet 2. 1 Pt Win Fulham v Newcastle @ 2.9 :ok Bet 2a. 1 Pt Win Draw @ 3.25 Bet 3. 7 Pt Win Torquay ?Double Chance v Cheltenham @ 1.75 Will update this this evening Bet 1. 6 Pt Win Chelsea v Spurs @ 1.87 Bet 2. 1 Pt Win Fulham v Man C @ 17.0 Bet 2a. 1 Pt Win Draw @ 8.5 Bet 3. 8 Pt Win Torquay ?Double Chance v Newport @ 1.4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted August 9, 2014 Author Share Posted August 9, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Going to get this up and running after nearly finishing backtesting for 6 seasons covering all the English Divisions, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga , Ligue 1 and Eredivisie. Out of all the testing only two items showed up in profit for each of the 6 seasons, with over thirty showing profit over the 6 seasons. For the time being I will just follow the ones that had profit in 6/6 seasons as they also had the highest profit. Both of these came in the English League Div. 2 and were as follows: Betting on the top team of Div 2 to draw every week would have given you a strike rate of 33.70% with a level stake profit of 40.53 and a ROI of 15.01%. This staking strategy would only have shown a profit in 4 of the 6 seasons (270 games) with the following results from 2008/09 to 2013/14 respectively: Strike Rate 46.66%, 26.66%, 28.88%, 31.11%, 33.33%, 35.55% Profit 23.85 (53.00% ROI), -3.55, -0.75, 6.15 (13.66 ROI), 5.58 (12.40% ROI), 9.25 (20.55% ROI) Now putting the staking strategy I use in my "Gwan ye Good thing" thread to use, I came up with the following results: Profit 6 out 6 seasons. Profit 67.35 (ROI 47.77%), 14.89 (ROI 7.87%), 37.72 (ROI 16.76%), 7.28 (ROI 3.38%), 41.73 (ROI 22.43%), 60.23 (ROI 30.23%) Using this strategy has given a profit for all 6 of the seasons which would have given you a strike rate of 33.70% with a profit of 279.21, giving a ROI of 26.71%. So with all that number crunching the first bet in the system for the new season will be: English League Div 2 Back whatever team is on top to draw Betting on the bottom team of Div 2 to win every week would have given you a strike rate of 29.25% with a level stake profit of 12.01 and a ROI of 4.44%. This staking strategy would only have shown a profit in 4 of the 6 seasons (270 games) with the following results from 2008/09 to 2013/14 respectively: Strike Rate 24.44%, 20.00%, 31.11%, 26.66%, 37.77%, 33.33% Profit -4.12, 9.76 (ROI 21.68%), 4.52 (ROI 10.04%), -10.77 , 9.18 (ROI 20.40%) , 3.42 (ROI 7.6 %) Once again putting the staking strategy I use in my "Gwan ye Good thing" thread to use I came up with the following results: Profit 6 out 6 seasons. Profit 22.39 (8.14%), 104.77 (48.05%), 45.56 (35.31%), 0.61 (0.18%), 60.69 (30.49%) and 37.51 (15.40%) Using this strategy has given a profit for all 6 of the seasons which would have given you a strike rate of 29.25% with a profit of 271.53, giving a ROI of 19.98%. So the second bet in the system for the new season will be: English League Div 2 Back whatever team is bottom to win The staking strategy must be stuck to, so we will wait and see the tables this evening to get our first bets for next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted August 16, 2014 Author Share Posted August 16, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Div 2 Top Morecambe v Newport Draw 3 Pt Win @ 3.3 Bottom Burton v Dagenham 2 3 Pt Win @ 5.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted August 17, 2014 Author Share Posted August 17, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Div 2 Top Morecambe v Newport Draw 3-2 3 Pt Win @ 3.3 Bottom Burton v Dagenham 2 2-1 3 Pt Win @ 5.5 No Returns - both banks -3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted August 18, 2014 Author Share Posted August 18, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Top Morecambe v Oxford draw 2 Pts Win @ 3.2 Bottom Hartlepool v Dagenham 2 ?2 Pts Win @ 3.25 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted August 19, 2014 Author Share Posted August 19, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Top Morecambe v Oxford draw 1-0 2 Pts Win @ 3.2 Bottom Hartlepool v Dagenham 2 0-2 :)?2 Pts Win @ 3.25 Dagenham returns 6.50 Top Bank -5 Bottom Bank +1.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted August 22, 2014 Author Share Posted August 22, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Top Cambridge v Morecambe Draw 1 Pt Win @ 3.25 Bottom Accrington v Luton 1 3 Pts Win @ 1.63 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted August 23, 2014 Author Share Posted August 23, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Top Cambridge v Morecambe Draw 1 Pt Win @ 3.25 1-2 Bottom Accrington v Luton 1 3 Pts Win @ 1.63 2-2 No Returns Top Bank -6 Bottom Bank -1.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted August 29, 2014 Author Share Posted August 29, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Top Tranmere v Morecambe Draw 4 Pt Win @ 3.4 Bottom Oxford v Dagenham 1 2 Pts Win @ 2.25 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted September 6, 2014 Author Share Posted September 6, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Top Burton v Potsmouth Draw 5Pt Win @ 3.2 Bottom Accrington v Tranmere Home 1 Pt Win @ 2,75 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted September 6, 2014 Author Share Posted September 6, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Top Tranmere v Morecambe Draw 4 Pt Win @ 3.4 2-1 Bottom Oxford v Dagenham 1 2 Pts Win @ 2.25 3-3 No Returns Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted September 10, 2014 Author Share Posted September 10, 2014 Re: From Top to Bottom Top Burton v Potsmouth Draw 5Pt Win @ 3.2 2-0 Bottom Accrington v Tranmere Home 1 Pt Win @ 2,75 3-2 Accrington returns 2.75 Top Played 5 Lost 5 Loss -15 Bottom Played 5 Won 2 Loss -1.75 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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