jayalexander Posted March 22, 2013 Share Posted March 22, 2013 The return of flat racing sees the fourth renewal of this system, which has shown a profit year-on-year through a simple selection process. I wasn't going to publish it this year but it greatly helps with discipline, which is something that I've been working on this year. It will probably start of slowly, but that will give us something to work towards. The rules are: only back when there is one beaten favourite in the race, it will apply to both flat and AW codes (no Irish), no maidens or 2yo races. 1pt per selection, settled at betfair starting price. The site that I use does not include foreign races, so if a runner had previously finished a BF before racing abroad, it will show up as a qualifier. (edit 13/4/13) I'll also list the highest inplay price, which may prove interesting. If there's anything else that I think of later on, I will amend this post. Let's go! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 22, 2013 Author Share Posted March 22, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 22/3/13 - Day 1 Don 2:30 - Model Pupil Wol 8:00 - Major Eradicator Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 23, 2013 Author Share Posted March 23, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 22/3/13 - Day 1 Don 2:30 - Model Pupil WON 1.96 (high of 3.5) Wol 8:00 - Major Eradicator Selections: 2 Winners: 1 Losers: 1 Total Stake: 2pts Total Returns: 1.96pts P/L: -0.04pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 23, 2013 Author Share Posted March 23, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 23/3/13 - Day 2 Sou 2:00 Petrol Don 2:05 Spinatrix Don 2:35 Heidis Delight Don 3:15 Jack Dexter Sou 3:45 Michaels Nook Don 3:50 Lahaag Don 4:25 Noguchi Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flakey Dove Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Interesting stuff, good luck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 23, 2013 Author Share Posted March 23, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Thanks Flakey. No returns today. Only Southwell raced. Selections: 4 Winners: 1 Losers: 3 Total Stake: 4pts Total Returns: 1.96pts P/L: -2.04pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 23, 2013 Author Share Posted March 23, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 24/3/13 - Day 3 Lin 3:10 - Guards Chapel Lin 3:40 - John Biscuit Lin 4:10 - Free Spin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elchubb Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Was just about to ask you if you were gonna run this this year as i remember you saying you might not run it this year! Good decision i think as it's shown decent profits in previous years! Will be following with interest so good luck with it this year Jay! :ok Am i right in thinking that you used to wait until the 1st of April to start this usually? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 http://forum.punterslounge.com/threads/128475-Return-of-the-beaten-favs-(3rd-year)-119-45pts-in-50-days-FINISHED?highlight= Last year it was March 31st. That was the date the Brocklesbury and Lincoln fell on in 2012, I just think the calender is a bit different this year :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Selections: 7 Winners: 1 Losers: 6 Total Stake: 7pts Total Returns: 1.96pts P/L: -5.04pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 24, 2013 Author Share Posted March 24, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Day 4 - 25/3/13 Lin 2:10 - Alhaban Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elchubb Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Is Watt Broderick a selection in the 17.10 Jay? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 25, 2013 Author Share Posted March 25, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Is Watt Broderick a selection in the 17.10 Jay? No, mate. I've had a look at it was a BF in the last flat race it won, but has since been hurdling. Could be one to keep an eye on but I want to keep this as simple as I can and it would take me ages if I had to trawl through all the cards looking for cases like this. Thanks for checking though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 25, 2013 Author Share Posted March 25, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Albahan beats an odds on fav by a neck at 4.9, with a in running high of 6.8 Selections: 8 Winners: 2 Losers: 6 Total Stake: 8pts Total Returns: 6.05pts P/L: -1.95pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Saint Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Day 4 - 25/3/13 Lin 2:10 - Alhaban :nana Did me a couple of favours last term and Mr Hindsight surprised he wasn't fav today! Well done JA:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aykay1 Posted March 25, 2013 Share Posted March 25, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Good luck Jay :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 26, 2013 Author Share Posted March 26, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 :nana Did me a couple of favours last term and Mr Hindsight surprised he wasn't fav today! Well done JA:ok I could have done with some of that hindsight as I never backed Alhaban :( Another winner, Irene Kennett, was also a BF but not the only one in the race. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 26, 2013 Author Share Posted March 26, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Day 5 - 26/3/13 Lin 2:20 Gabrial The Duke Sou 3:30 Thorpe Bay Sou 5:00 Cecily Parsley Lin 5:20 Young Jackie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 26, 2013 Author Share Posted March 26, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Gabrial wins at 1.77 (1.89 high in play). Selections: 12 Winners: 3 Losers: 9 Total Stake: 12pts Total Returns: 7.82pts P/L: -4.28pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 26, 2013 Author Share Posted March 26, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Day 6 - 27/3/13 Lin 1:30 - Athletic Lin 2:00 - Patavium Prince Sou 2:10 - Priors Gold Lin 3:00 - Johnny Splash Sou 3:10 - Our Ivor Sou 3:45 - Miako Sou 4:20 - Elusive Hawk Wol 8:50 - Spirit Of Gondree Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xtc12 Posted March 26, 2013 Share Posted March 26, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Hi Jay, whats the reasoning behind 50 days! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 27, 2013 Author Share Posted March 27, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Hi Jay' date=' whats the reasoning behind 50 days![/quote'] No specific reason, I just think it works better at the start of the season. This way we'll catch a lot of runners having their first run of the season after (hopefully) improving since last and there won't be too many runners that have the chance to be repeated in that space of time. Personally, however, I do like to keep my eye on these throughout the year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 28, 2013 Author Share Posted March 28, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Elusive Hawk wins at 2.7, with a high of 4. Selections: 20 Winners: 4 Losers: 16 Total Stake: 20pts Total Returns: 10.52pts P/L: -9.48pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 28, 2013 Author Share Posted March 28, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Day 7 - 28/3/03 Wol 3:50 - High Troja Wol 4:20 - Ishikawa Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 28, 2013 Author Share Posted March 28, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 High Troja just lost out, while Ishikawa won convincingly at 4.45. The in running price is showing up as lower than that, which doesn't make sense, so I'm going to stop recording that. Selections: 22 Winners: 5 Losers: 17 Total Stake: 22pts Total Returns: 14.97pts P/L: -5.03pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 29, 2013 Author Share Posted March 29, 2013 Day 8 - 29/3/13 Don 1:20 - Spinatrix Mus 2:25 - Alastair Bullet Don 2:30 - Jack Dexter Don 3:05 - Lahaag Don 4:15 - Noguchi Don 5:25 - Coastal Passage Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dices Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Good luck Jamie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 30, 2013 Author Share Posted March 30, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Jack Dexter is the only winner at 3.2 Alaskan Bullet is a NR. Selections: 27 Winners: 6 Losers: 21 Total Stake: 27pts Total Returns: 18.17pts P/L: -8.83pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 30, 2013 Author Share Posted March 30, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Day 9 - 31/3/13 Mus 4:55 - Skytrain Mus 5:25 - Alpha Tauri Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayalexander Posted March 31, 2013 Author Share Posted March 31, 2013 Re: Return of the beaten favourites - Year 4 Skytrain wins (3.26), Alpha Tauri last. Selections: 29 Winners: 7 Losers: 22 Total Stake: 29pts Total Returns: 21.44pts P/L: -7.56pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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