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UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 15 February


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Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 15 February Over 2.5 in the Zenit - Benfica game I remember was @ 2.53, ridiculous imo, though I completely forgot that this game started at 18:00 GMT, logged onto Betfair and there was a massive banner saying "Zenit 1 - 1 Benfica bet inplay etc", and i was like dang it, Over 2.5 looks bags of value now, though it could end 1 - 1 after another 45 minutes.

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Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 15 February Milan -v- Arsenal Pick: Half with most goals; 2nd half @ 2.18 odds with betfair This is going to be a tight game, where both teams will be reluctant to concede early on, and where the midfield battle will be key. I believe however with the goalscoring potential of both teams, there will be goals later in the game. Arsenal have the ability to bring on Oxlade-Chamberlain and Henry off the bench later in the game, while Milan have Pato and El Shaarawy. Both teams in competitive games (in games where the teams are of similar standard) often find it difficult to score early on. As I've already mentioned, the midfield battle will be key in this game, and therefore I anticipate a cautious approach from both teams in the first half, and a greater possibility for goals in the second half. Good luck!

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Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 15 February

I like us in this fixture I have to say. Milan are vulnerable to pace against their full-backs, they hate playing against high tempo English sides, Walcott and Chamberlain could prove very useful players in this one. We can be dodgy at the back but Milan dont stretch teams out wide, they lack guile from midfield(as do we to an extent this season without Cesc, our threat is coming from pacy widemen in this one)...Vermaelen should be getting moved to his favourite CB spot with Mertesacker now injured and I think him and Koscielny can stifle Ibrahimovic....Gibbs is back and could start at left back or Vermaelen remaining at left back and Djourou coming into the centre. I really think we can contain Milan away from home, congest the area outside the box and hit on the break should be the order of the day. Second leg at home too IMO is an edge for us, I think we will avoid defeat in the San Siro and play hard at home to put Milan out. Arsenal +0.5 AH vs Milan @ 1.80 (Bet365:5pts) Arsenal to qualify @ 2.060 (Pinnacle:5pts)
Agree with all this, I see Arsenal looking to threaten on the break down the flanks, and Milan's defence being exposed. With Seedorf and Van Bommel in the middle, see it being a bit of a dogfight in there. Can't decide on the winner, and so will have a small interest in the cards. 1.5pts Over 1.5 AC Milan Yellow Cards @1.72 - Bet365 0.5pt Abate to be booked @6.0 - Betfair :hope
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Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 15 February Had to have a punt on Milan tonight. Although I can see it being an edgy affair, I just can't see past the quality of Milan. They haven't faired well against English opposition of late but i can see that all changing tonight. Hate to say it being an Englishman but I can just see Arsenal being out classed.. A good value punt at 11/10 with Bet365.

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Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 15 February

Agree with all this, I see Arsenal looking to threaten on the break down the flanks, and Milan's defence being exposed. With Seedorf and Van Bommel in the middle, see it being a bit of a dogfight in there. Can't decide on the winner, and so will have a small interest in the cards. 1.5pts Over 1.5 AC Milan Yellow Cards @1.72 - Bet365 0.5pt Abate to be booked @6.0 - Betfair :hope
Milan ended up with 3 cards, so small profit on the night. Game didn;t pan out as expected, and Chamberlain not starting meant that Abate got a fairly easy night on that side. Well done Milan backers :clap
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Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 15 February

AC Milan vs Arsenal I have been thinking about this one for a loooong time. Firstly, I think AC Milans squad is marginally stronger than that of 3 seasons ago, with Arsenal getting slightly weaker, losing both their goalscorers on that night. It was indeed a great goal by Fabregas on the night that unlocked AC Milans italian defense from 35 yards, and really it could have gone either way being 0 - 0 after both legs. Adebayor is gone, but Van Persie being fully fit and at his prime is a superior replacement, whilst Arteta isnt as good as Fabregas dictating the midfield, Oxlade-chainberlain looks to be a great find for Arsenal. Despite the game being delicate poised in the second leg, it was very open, with Arsenal knowing an away goal counts for double. I dont think Arsenal will try to contain Milan here, they will go out to try and get that all important away goal, which in the end was what won the tie for them in the same fixture 3 seasons ago. Both sides have excellent attacking players that im a great fan of. Ibrahimovic is one of my favourites, though controversial for some as being overrated around the Barcelona fiasco, theres no doubt he is a big game player and will produce. Pato, Robinho and Boateng are all great players, and the latter produced a stunning goal against Barcelona in a game with little liability. Van Persie, Walcott and Arteta are all great attacking minded players. Along with Ramsey and Song its a sturdy midfield to keep the game flowing, switching attack to defense. This was the game of the last 16 and definately the pick of the bunch. I expect the big build up to yield a good game. Mertesacker is out with Vermaelon sacrifising his favourite position to fill in for him, and though this may sound harsh, but the loss of Mertesacker could even be a positive for Arsenal. He has made so many mistakes that has cost goals in this Arsenal campaign. Ones I can remember is against Norwich to let Morrison score, and more recently McClean. The latter probably wasnt entirely his fault, though it was very clumsey and doesnt fill you with alot of confidence when hes on the ball. Previous games in the champions league for Arsenal away from home have all been good games. Against Udinese and Dortmund, both times Arsenal have played very well and have been impressive. Against a lesser Marseille side, though it was a late Ramsey goal that won for them, it was well deserved having been the better side away from home for most of the game. I expect a big performance from the stars players in this game. My mug instinct predicts 2 - 1 to either side. imo odds should be about 11/10 O vs 10/11 U (48/52) Over 2.5 2.170 Pinnacle 10/10 Over 4.5 9.050 After commission Exchanges Lay over 4.5 @1.12 3/10 Nice type ups for the Zenit - Benfica games guys. Right on my wavelength! Ill say no more here. Benfica 2.970 Pinnacle 5/10
+3.17 units I dont want to sound like a fucking pig but how on earth did that game not finish over 4.5 goals? Abbiati made good saves from Van Persie but how on earth did Arsenal not score? Milan should have scored 7 if Emanualson and Pato wasnt so greedy and fed Ibrahimovic. Thats a difference between +3 units and +28 units, alot of fucking money for me. Well done all Milan backers, commiserations Arsenal proposition backers, with me guilty of mentioning the odds though I did not take it myself.
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Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 15 February

Had to have a punt on Milan tonight. Although I can see it being an edgy affair, I just can't see past the quality of Milan. They haven't faired well against English opposition of late but i can see that all changing tonight. Hate to say it being an Englishman but I can just see Arsenal being out classed.. A good value punt at 11/10 with Bet365.
:ok
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Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 15 February

Last season 23% of goals in the Champions League came from set pieces so it might be a good idea to look for the dead-ball specialists. Have a look for Ronaldo (his free-kick on matchday 4 ensured qualification for Madrid), Moskva star Alan Dzagoev (scored with a stunning strike against Inter on matchday 3), Robben, Frank Lampard and specific for this match Benfica striker Óscar Cardozo’s sublime left-foot. Cardozo to score anytime 3.10@bet365
:ok 87' Goal! Zenit St Petersburg 2, Benfica 2. Óscar Cardozo (Benfica) right footed shot from very close range to the centre of the goal.
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Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 15 February

No offense' date=' but I see people on this forum overrating English teams and the EPL all the time... And underrating Italian teams as well.[/quote'] No offence, but not really sure what the point of this is? Apart from aftertiming??
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Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 15 February

No offence' date=' but not really sure what the point of this is? Apart from aftertiming??[/quote'] I didn't mean to sound rude. I just meant that maybe some people wouldn't lose money on bets as a result of overrating English teams and underrating Italian ones in the Champions League. It was merely an observation and I felt like it needed to be said in order for (maybe) people not lose money on bets like that in the future. Words of caution, that's all.
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Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 15 February

I didn't mean to sound rude. I just meant that maybe some people wouldn't lose money on bets as a result of overrating English teams and underrating Italian ones in the Champions League. It was merely an observation and I felt like it needed to be said in order for (maybe) people not lose money on bets like that in the future. Words of caution' date=' that's all.[/quote'] Fair enough pal, but I suppose some of the people that did lose money might of appreciated your input prior to the match rather than after it. :ok
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