Filthy Logic Posted February 22, 2012 Author Share Posted February 22, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Probably won't get many followers on an under' date=' and understandably so. But here it is:[b'] Top picks for Under 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left][/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1 [/TD] [TD]Sochaux - Lille [/TD] [TD]83.82%[/TD] [TD]1.7[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]22/02 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Starting bank 100 Current bank 186.50 Total staked 510 Number of bets 51 Winning bets 32 Losing bets 19 Strike rate 62.7% Yield 17.0% Profit 86.50 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris-UK Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Keep up the great work m8..keep faith with your systems :D any unders or overs for tonights europa game by any chance m8? also championship game tonight..derby v leister? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filthy Logic Posted February 23, 2012 Author Share Posted February 23, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Keep up the great work m8..keep faith with your systems :D any unders or overs for tonights europa game by any chance m8? also championship game tonight..derby v leister? Cheers Chris :ok I don't include european games i'm afraid - as for Derby its come out 69.91% for an under so technically doesnt qualify! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris-UK Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Cheers Chris :ok I don't include european games i'm afraid - as for Derby its come out 69.91% for an under so technically doesnt qualify! Ok m8..thanks for checking :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filthy Logic Posted February 23, 2012 Author Share Posted February 23, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Couple of really close ones here, Stuttgart needs to get to 1.7 before it makes it here, will check on that tomorrow along with 2 french games which are also just too short to qualify. Top picks for Over 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH=align: left]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Arsenal - Tottenham[/TD] [TD]81.19%[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]26/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Watford - Southampton[/TD] [TD]75.71%[/TD] [TD]2.05[/TD] [TD]25/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [/TABLE] Top picks for Under 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH=align: left]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Current Score[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Birmingham - Nottingham[/TD] [TD]80.35%[/TD] [TD]1.75[/TD] [TD]hasn't started[/TD] [TD]25/02[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] and Chris, did you bet on the Derby game?! Fair play if you did, i know i couldnt resist :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris-UK Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system and Chris, did you bet on the Derby game?! Fair play if you did, i know i couldnt resist :D LOL no i did't in the end..i thought there would of been a few goals when its Leicester finished under in the end so you would of been wright :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filthy Logic Posted February 24, 2012 Author Share Posted February 24, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system LOL no i did't in the end..i thought there would of been a few goals when its Leicester finished under in the end so you would of been wright :D No bother mate, good to see someone has the right discipline! :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filthy Logic Posted February 26, 2012 Author Share Posted February 26, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Couple of really close ones here, Stuttgart needs to get to 1.7 before it makes it here, will check on that tomorrow along with 2 french games which are also just too short to qualify. Top picks for Over 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH=align: left]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1 [/TD] [TD]Arsenal - Tottenham[/TD] [TD]81.19%[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]26/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Watford - Southampton[/TD] [TD]75.71%[/TD] [TD]2.05[/TD] [TD]25/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [/TABLE] Top picks for Under 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH=align: left]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Current Score[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date [/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1 [/TD] [TD]Birmingham - Nottingham[/TD] [TD]80.35%[/TD] [TD]1.75[/TD] [TD]hasn't started[/TD] [TD]25/02[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] and Chris, did you bet on the Derby game?! Fair play if you did, i know i couldnt resist :D Those damned unders again. Starting bank 100 Current bank 194 Total staked 540 Number of bets 54 Winning bets 34 Losing bets 20 Strike rate 63% Yield 17.4% Profit 94 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedlam Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Those damned unders again. Yes, that was bad luck, I really thought Brum v Forest was nailed on, in fact it had 0-0 written all over it! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Luther Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Great work again this weekend. Thanks for your hard work.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filthy Logic Posted March 1, 2012 Author Share Posted March 1, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Top picks for Over 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Bochum - Dresden[/TD] [TD]88%[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]02/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Hamburg - Stuttgart[/TD] [TD]83.28%[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]03/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]Leeds - Southampton[/TD] [TD]81.16%[/TD] [TD]1.90[/TD] [TD]03/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]PSV Eindhoven - Twente[/TD] [TD]78.32%[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]04/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]Inter - Catania[/TD] [TD]77.76%[/TD] [TD]1.95[/TD] [TD]04/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]Dag and Red - Bradford[/TD] [TD]77.6%[/TD] [TD]1.85[/TD] [TD]03/03[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Top picks for Under 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Chesterfield - Tranmere[/TD] [TD]79.22%[/TD] [TD]1.8[/TD] [TD]03/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Birmingham - Derby[/TD] [TD]78.36%[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]03/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]Braunschweig - Hansa Rostock[/TD] [TD]77.09%[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]04/03[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Big weekend ahead. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filthy Logic Posted March 2, 2012 Author Share Posted March 2, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Top picks for Over 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]Benfica - Porto [/TD] [TD]81.28%[/TD] [TD]2.05[/TD] [TD]02/03[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filthy Logic Posted March 2, 2012 Author Share Posted March 2, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Top picks for Under 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]Padova - AlbinoLeffe[/TD] [TD]77.44%[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]03/03[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DirtyVadah Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Not a good day today Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filthy Logic Posted March 4, 2012 Author Share Posted March 4, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Not a good day today Thank you for your insight :notworthy In all seriousness, could it have gone much worse? I'd like to blame it on the unders again but it wasnt just them this weekend. I will, however, be ditching them from now on as they're about as useful as a solar-powered torch. I'll change the thread title accordingly later as soon as inter and psv have their goalless draws. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filthy Logic Posted March 4, 2012 Author Share Posted March 4, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Top picks for Over 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1 [/TD] [TD]Bochum - Dresden[/TD] [TD]88%[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]02/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2 [/TD] [TD]Hamburg - Stuttgart[/TD] [TD]83.28%[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]03/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3 [/TD] [TD]Leeds - Southampton[/TD] [TD]81.16%[/TD] [TD]1.90[/TD] [TD]03/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4 [/TD] [TD]PSV Eindhoven - Twente[/TD] [TD]78.32%[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]04/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5 [/TD] [TD]Inter - Catania[/TD] [TD]77.76%[/TD] [TD]1.95[/TD] [TD]04/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]6 [/TD] [TD]Dag and Red - Bradford[/TD] [TD]77.6%[/TD] [TD]1.85[/TD] [TD]03/03[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Top picks for Under 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date [/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1 [/TD] [TD]Chesterfield - Tranmere[/TD] [TD]79.22%[/TD] [TD]1.8[/TD] [TD]03/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2 [/TD] [TD]Birmingham - Derby[/TD] [TD]78.36%[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]03/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]Braunschweig - Hansa Rostock[/TD] [TD]77.09%[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]04/03[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Including the padova loss and benfica win: Starting bank 100 Current bank 176 Total staked 650 Number of bets 65 Winning bets 39 Losing bets 26 Strike rate 60% Yield 11.7% Profit 76 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DirtyVadah Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Thank you for your insight :notworthy In all seriousness, could it have gone much worse? I'd like to blame it on the unders again but it wasnt just them this weekend. I will, however, be ditching them from now on as they're about as useful as a solar-powered torch. I'll change the thread title accordingly later as soon as inter and psv have their goalless draws. Not an insight, just the words of someone who followed the picks and wished for a better outcome...The week end was unusual with the results. Are you sure the unders strike rate is much worse than the overs and that it's best to remove them?? You've made quite a lot of changes since the start, like modifying what qualifies as a pick based on the probability rate. Maybe it'd be good to also monitor those picks that would fall under the previous lower probability rates just to make sure they're not profitable long term. You will need a bigger sample of picks to be certain but it'd be a shame to just discard them based on 60 picks. I have no doubts the present criteria is profitable, but it would be a shame to miss out on more profit... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filthy Logic Posted March 5, 2012 Author Share Posted March 5, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Not an insight, just the words of someone who followed the picks and wished for a better outcome...The week end was unusual with the results. Are you sure the unders strike rate is much worse than the overs and that it's best to remove them?? You've made quite a lot of changes since the start, like modifying what qualifies as a pick based on the probability rate. Maybe it'd be good to also monitor those picks that would fall under the previous lower probability rates just to make sure they're not profitable long term. You will need a bigger sample of picks to be certain but it'd be a shame to just discard them based on 60 picks. I have no doubts the present criteria is profitable, but it would be a shame to miss out on more profit... No I totally agree DV, and hope you didnt think i was being rude there, I was having a look on other goal market systems and everyone seems to have had a shocker this weekend. Its true that the system has been tweaked a bit here and there, but ive looked over the old criteria and we did avoid a few more misses so thats something, but what a kick in the balls. The unders are definitely less profitable, and by some margin, so although i'll still be looking at them behind the scene for next weekend, i dont think i will be posting them. Hasty? Probably, but a nicely profitable under 2.5 system i am yet to find. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Luther Posted March 5, 2012 Share Posted March 5, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system I was away for the weekend and only caught the last 2 Overs selections - looked like another great week from my point of view... There is nothing wrong with your selection process and you were probably just unlucky this weekend. I know it is only a statistical calculation and there will always be anomalies but the Leeds v Southampton could have been any score. There were 29 attempts on goal - 16 on target.!! Any other day that would always be a winner. Keep up the good work... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filthy Logic Posted March 8, 2012 Author Share Posted March 8, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Lets get back to winning ways shall we? Top picks for Over 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Hansa Rostock - Ein Frankfurt[/TD] [TD]86.68%[/TD] [TD]1.8[/TD] [TD]11/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Dresden - Ingolstadt[/TD] [TD]82.15%[/TD] [TD]1.85[/TD] [TD]11/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]Gillingham - Crewe[/TD] [TD]81.77%[/TD] [TD]1.8[/TD] [TD]10/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]Wolves - Blackburn[/TD] [TD]81.72%[/TD] [TD]1.72[/TD] [TD]10/03[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeadNova Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system 1-1 so far. :hope for the other 2 :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filthy Logic Posted March 11, 2012 Author Share Posted March 11, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Lets get back to winning ways shall we? Top picks for Over 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1 [/TD] [TD]Hansa Rostock - Ein Frankfurt[/TD] [TD]86.68%[/TD] [TD]1.8[/TD] [TD]11/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2 [/TD] [TD]Dresden - Ingolstadt[/TD] [TD]82.15%[/TD] [TD]1.85[/TD] [TD]11/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3 [/TD] [TD]Gillingham - Crewe[/TD] [TD]81.77%[/TD] [TD]1.8[/TD] [TD]10/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4 [/TD] [TD]Wolves - Blackburn[/TD] [TD]81.72%[/TD] [TD]1.72[/TD] [TD]10/03[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Starting bank 100 Current bank 172 Total staked 690 Number of bets 69 Winning bets 41 Losing bets 28 Strike rate 59.4% Yield 10.4% Profit 72 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filthy Logic Posted March 16, 2012 Author Share Posted March 16, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Top picks for Over 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH=align: left]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Lecce - Palermo[/TD] [TD]79.96%[/TD] [TD]1.75[/TD] [TD]18/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Hannover - FC Koln[/TD] [TD]79.92%[/TD] [TD]1.85[/TD] [TD]18/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]Karlsruhe - Hansa Rostock[/TD] [TD]76.63%[/TD] [TD]1.90[/TD] [TD]18/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]Newcastle - Norwich[/TD] [TD]76.3%[/TD] [TD]1.72[/TD] [TD]18/03[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filthy Logic Posted March 23, 2012 Author Share Posted March 23, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system [TABLE] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Palermo - Udinese[/TD] [TD]84.4%[/TD] [TD]1.72 [/TD] [TD]24/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]AFC Wimbledon - Burton[/TD] [TD]84.36%[/TD] [TD]1.72 [/TD] [TD]24/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]Bremen - Augsburg[/TD] [TD]76.12%[/TD] [TD]1.72 [/TD] [TD]24/03[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]Wycombe - Milton Keynes[/TD] [TD]75.73%[/TD] [TD]1.72 [/TD] [TD]24/03[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris-UK Posted March 30, 2012 Share Posted March 30, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Hiya m8, whats happened to your thread m8..not to much activity :( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filthy Logic Posted March 30, 2012 Author Share Posted March 30, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Hiya m8, whats happened to your thread m8..not to much activity :( Hello m8, yeah sorry for being so quiet on this thing. I've been busy with other gambling 'ventures' which have made me quite a bit over the last few weeks, more than overs ever could by this point, but I am happy to keep posting the picks. As you can see the last few weeks havent been good at all, particularly as we are heading into the final straight of fixtures, which make a tricky market even harder in my opinion! I'll be back later to post what the system picks out, but i wont be betting on them myself i dont think. Cheers m8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Filthy Logic Posted March 30, 2012 Author Share Posted March 30, 2012 Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Top picks for Over 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH=align: left]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Karlsruhe - Union Berlin[/TD] [TD]89.52%[/TD] [TD]1.72 [/TD] [TD]01/04[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Hannover - Mgladbach[/TD] [TD]85.2%[/TD] [TD]2.07 [/TD] [TD]01/04[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]Vitesse - AZ Alkmaar[/TD] [TD]80.07%[/TD] [TD]1.80 [/TD] [TD]01/04[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]Leeds - Watford[/TD] [TD]78.91%[/TD] [TD]1.90[/TD] [TD]31/03[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.