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Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system

Filthy Logic

By Filthy Logic
in Betting Systems & Strategy

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Filthy Logic

Filthy Logic

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Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Actually i had a thought on the weekend id like to put out there, see what you guys think. Im specifically talking about Grex, jtw1, UsManyDead, Sophocles etc, anyone with a system on here basically, though all comments welcome. So, as a punter on here, I place my bets based on my own system as do all of you with yours (i mean, who doesn't like their own system), but perhaps like some others of you i will also portion a bit of my bank for fun to bet on some of your picks from your systems. Now, the problem i have is, which ones? We all have more often than not, several picks. And we can't bet on them all, at least I cant. So I venture this suggestion, what do you lot think of starting a thread where we each pick our strongest bet, and we put them into an acc? I might be being biased as i have a 'grading' system so i would simply pick the highest probability, i dont know how most of you figure out your picks - is there a grading system too in your systems? I figured we're all on here to help everyone else make money, so why not share our best picks and keep them in one place? I dont know, could be a horrible idea to some of you, but its a nice community here on PL so let me know your thoughts guys.

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Filthy Logic

Filthy Logic

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Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system [h=4]Top picks for Under 2.5 games[/h][TABLE]

[TR] [TH=align: left]No.[/TH] [TH=width: 200px, align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=width: 100px, align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=width: 50px, align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=width: 75px, align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Lazio - Cesena[/TD] [TD]73.25%[/TD] [TD]1.80 [/TD] [TD]09/02 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Odds from bet365
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andibev

andibev

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Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system

Top picks for Under 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH=align: left]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Lazio - Cesena[/TD] [TD]73.25%[/TD] [TD]1.80[/TD] [TD]09/02[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Odds from bet365
How did the system throw this one out? Having looked at the stats this, to me, was a prime candidate for OVER.
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Filthy Logic

Filthy Logic

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Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Top picks for OVER 2.5 games [TABLE]

[TR] [TH=align: left]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim[/TD] [TD]82.77%[/TD] [TD]1.80[/TD] [TD]11/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Ipswich - Middlesbrough[/TD] [TD]74.88%[/TD] [TD]1.85[/TD] [TD]12/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Top picks for UNDER 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH=align: left]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date [/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Reading - Coventry[/TD] [TD]77.04%[/TD] [TD]1.95[/TD] [TD]11/02[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
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Grex

Grex

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Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system

Pretty sure it was meant to be posted as OVER. The under had odds of evens on all major books' date=' and the over had the odds posted.[/quote'] Can't agree DirtyVadah.... the odds with Pinnacle (one of the most competitive main-stream bookies in the O/U market) were >2.5 - 2.09.....
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Filthy Logic

Filthy Logic

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Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system

Top picks for OVER 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH=align: left]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date [/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim[/TD] [TD]82.77%[/TD] [TD]1.80[/TD] [TD]11/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Ipswich - Middlesbrough[/TD] [TD]74.88%[/TD] [TD]1.85[/TD] [TD]12/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Top picks for UNDER 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH=align: left]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Reading - Coventry[/TD] [TD]77.04%[/TD] [TD]1.95[/TD] [TD]11/02[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
1 win, 1 void, 1 loss. Stats below also include the losing lazio bet from midweek: Starting bank 100 Current bank 180.10 Total staked 430 Number of bets 43 Winning bets 27 Losing bets 16 Strike rate 62.8% Yield 18.6% Profit 80.1
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Filthy Logic

Filthy Logic

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Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system [h=4]Top picks for Over 2.5 games[/h][TABLE]

[TR] [TH=width: 50px, align: left]No.[/TH] [TH=width: 200px, align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=width: 100px, align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=width: 50px, align: left]Odds [/TH] [TH=width: 75px, align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Hamburg - Werder Bremen[/TD] [TD]82.92%[/TD] [TD]1.80 [/TD] [TD]18/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Leeds - Doncaster[/TD] [TD]80.87%[/TD] [TD]1.72 [/TD] [TD]18/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3[/TD] [TD][TABLE] [TR] [TD]Schalke 04 - Wolfsburg [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [/TD] [TD]75.26% [/TD] [TD]1.70 [/TD] [TD]19/02 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]Leverkusen - Augsburg [/TD] [TD]74.68% [/TD] [TD]1.72 [/TD] [TD]18/02 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [h=4]Top picks for Under 2.5 games[/h][TABLE] [TR] [TH=width: 50px, align: left]No.[/TH] [TH=width: 200px, align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=width: 100px, align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=width: 50px, align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=width: 75px, align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Cesena - Milan[/TD] [TD]73.91%[/TD] [TD]1.80 [/TD] [TD]19/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2 [/TD] [TD]Granada - Sociedad [/TD] [TD]72.25%[/TD] [TD]1.70 [/TD] [TD]19/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3 [/TD] [TD]Southampton - Derby[/TD] [TD]70.75%[/TD] [TD]1.85 [/TD] [TD]18/02[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
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Luther

Luther

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Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system

Top picks for Over 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH=align: left]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Hamburg - Werder Bremen[/TD] [TD]82.92%[/TD] [TD]1.80[/TD] [TD]18/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Leeds - Doncaster[/TD] [TD]80.87%[/TD] [TD]1.72[/TD] [TD]18/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3[/TD] [TD][TABLE] [TR] [TD]Schalke 04 - Wolfsburg[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [/TD] [TD]75.26%[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]19/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]Leverkusen - Augsburg[/TD] [TD]74.68%[/TD] [TD]1.72[/TD] [TD]18/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Top picks for Under 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH=align: left]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Cesena - Milan[/TD] [TD]73.91%[/TD] [TD]1.80[/TD] [TD]19/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Granada - Sociedad[/TD] [TD]72.25%[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]19/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]Southampton - Derby[/TD] [TD]70.75%[/TD] [TD]1.85[/TD] [TD]18/02[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
100% success for the Overs selections - well done and thanks. Maybe you should have put all the Unders selections in as Overs as well. ;)
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Filthy Logic

Filthy Logic

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Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system

Top picks for Over 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH=align: left]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Hamburg - Werder Bremen [/TD] [TD]82.92%[/TD] [TD]1.80[/TD] [TD]18/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Leeds - Doncaster [/TD] [TD]80.87%[/TD] [TD]1.72[/TD] [TD]18/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3[/TD] [TD][TABLE] [TR] [TD]Schalke 04 - Wolfsburg [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [/TD] [TD]75.26%[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]19/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]Leverkusen - Augsburg [/TD] [TD]74.68%[/TD] [TD]1.72[/TD] [TD]18/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Top picks for Under 2.5 games [TABLE] [TR] [TH=align: left]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Cesena - Milan [/TD] [TD]73.91%[/TD] [TD]1.80[/TD] [TD]19/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2 [/TD] [TD]Granada - Sociedad [/TD] [TD]72.25%[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]19/02[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]Southampton - Derby [/TD] [TD]70.75%[/TD] [TD]1.85[/TD] [TD]18/02[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
Starting bank 100 Current bank 179.50 Total staked 500 Number of bets 50 Winning bets 31 Losing bets 19 Strike rate 62% Yield 15.9% Profit 79.50 Suffered this week for having a lack of games at anything near +2.0
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Filthy Logic

Filthy Logic

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Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system

congratulations on your system k0109671' date= it starts very well. I am curios to know if you have taken together the yield for the overs and unders separately?
Hi skm2, no i havent done that yet but i can see how that could be interesting to know so i will try to do that soon and come back to you. On first glance though which is also quite interesting, on the 80%+ overs games, we have 67% success rate and all of those were +3.5. Food for thought...possible separate thread/system? We have only had 2 on the unders that came out over 80% but we have a 100% success rate so far on those
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Filthy Logic

Filthy Logic

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Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Probably won't get many followers on an under, and understandably so. But here it is: Top picks for Under 2.5 games [TABLE]

[TR] [TH]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left][/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Sochaux - Lille[/TD] [TD]83.82%[/TD] [TD]1.7[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]22/02[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
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Filthy Logic

Filthy Logic

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Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Probably won't get many followers on an under, and understandably so. But here it is: Top picks for Under 2.5 games [TABLE]

[TR] [TH]No.[/TH] [TH=align: left]Pair[/TH] [TH=align: left]Probability[/TH] [TH=align: left]Odds[/TH] [TH=align: left][/TH] [TH=align: left]Date[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Sochaux - Lille[/TD] [TD]83.82%[/TD] [TD]1.7[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]22/02[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
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andibev

andibev

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Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system A good result tonight. Although you seem to think the overs are more successful, as you point out the unders with a % of over 75% probability are currently at 100%. As time goes on are you planning to make amendments to the database criteria/selection process etc. I am rather good at maths, if you need help with anything just let me know and I would be happy to oblige! AB

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Filthy Logic

Filthy Logic

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Re: Filthy Logic - OVER/UNDERS system Thanks mate, an under coming in was just what i needed. I also thought about my new system and if a 80%+ over results in 3.5+ most of the time then it must mean the equivalent for an under so i had a side bet of under 1.5 @ 3.5 on the game too so doubly happy tonight. And yes, constantly looking at improvements on the system. Appreciate the offer bud but the calc's are all automated so im all good, thanks :ok

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