mister magoo Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Thought Id have a lash at something Ive been following for a while, and that is the predictability of football matches involving certain teams. By this I mean laying the draw when various teams are playing. These teams are the teams with the least amount of draws in the four major leagues. The teams I have chosen to follow are as follows: EPL - Arsenal/Chelsea/Stoke Italian Serie A - Palermo/Udinese Spanish Primera Division - Barcelona/Real Madrid/Espanyol Barcelona German Bundesliga - Borussia Dortmund/FSV Mainz There may well be other teams with excellent records, but I have reduced the number down to the ten I have listed for simple mathematics. I will post the odds taken for my bets each weekend and update every week usually on a Tuesday for those interested. I wont deduct the 5% commission for Betfair as I'm too lazy. Bets will be one unit. Cheers all ... :gimme See Post 221 for 2011/2012 season teams......... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 4, 2010 Author Share Posted December 4, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II This weekends draw lays Arsenal match $6 Chelsea $5.20 Stoke $3.40 Udinese $3.20 Palermo $3.40 Barcelona $7.20 Real Madrid $5.80 Espanyol $4 Borussa Dortmund $3.95 Mainz $3.45 lol players :gimme Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II Ouch... Chelsea continues to disappoint... 7 winning lays from 9 at the moment with Palermo still to play. If that match goes my way then the weeks result will be +1.4 units...hhhmmm Cheers all :gimme Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 6, 2010 Author Share Posted December 6, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II 8/10 = +1.40 Ordinary start to maybe an ordinary idea... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 9, 2010 Author Share Posted December 9, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II Hello there Sports fans...Ive decided to delete the disappointing Chelsea and also Stoke from my line up and Im going to substitute Hannover 96 from the German Bundesliga and Real Sociedad from the Spanish Primera League... Therefore my lays for this weekend with prices I have taken are as follows: Draw Lays Arsenal match $3.65 Palermo $3.95 Udinese $3.40 Dortmund $4.60 Mainz $3.60 Hannover 96 $3.75 Espanyol $3.75 Barcelona $14.00 Real Madrid $6.80 Real Sociedad $14 As Barcelona play Real Sociedad I will double my stake in this match. lol players :gimme Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 11, 2010 Author Share Posted December 11, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II Hoping Im not putting the moccas on myself by looking for 10 from 10 today to give a 50% yield overall... lol players :gimme Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II Still hoping for 10/10 :hope:hope:hope :gimme Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II Still hoping for 10/10 :hope:hope:hope :gimme 9/9...hope theres a result tomorrow :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II 10/10 OUT 20 IN 31.4 Yield 57% Cheers all...hope someone won a quid...:nana :gimme Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 15, 2010 Author Share Posted December 15, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II Greetings and salutations sports fans - This weekends matches and the prices taken for the draw lays are as follows: Arsenal match $5.80 Dortmund $4.00 Hannover 96 $3.70 Mainz $3.50 Palermo $3.40 Udinese $3.50 Sociedad $3.55 Real Madrid $8.20 Barcelona $6.80 Espanyol Barcelona $6.80 As Barcelona playEspanyol Barcelona, we back the draw twice. lol players Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 19, 2010 Author Share Posted December 19, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II 6/6 atm...so far, so good:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 19, 2010 Author Share Posted December 19, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II (yield +60%) 8/9... Palermo let us down with a 1/1 draw... OUT 29 IN 46 ... YIELD +60% OVERALL 26/29 HAPPY XMAS EVERYONE Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II (yield +60%) OUT 29 IN 46 ... YIELD +60% OVERALL 26/29 HAPPY XMAS EVERYONE Excellent performance, Mr Magoo..... and a very Merry Christmas to you, too :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 20, 2010 Author Share Posted December 20, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II Good to hear from you mate. I didnt quite get to that bread queue !! :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lardonio Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II yield + 60% SR 26/29 A simple but nice idea with a very good start, will be interesting to follow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II yield + 60% SR 26/29 A simple but nice idea with a very good start' date=' will be interesting to follow.[/quote'] Gday mate...yep, nice and simple. The good thing is, I can bin any team that starts drawing their games and substitute another team. In some respects, I suppose its not really a system, just an idea... Cheers...:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 24, 2010 Author Share Posted December 24, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II yield + 60% SR 26/29 Well hello there sports fans and welcome to the magic of magoo. Two matches to bet on soon...they are: Arsenal/Chelsea lay the draw at $3.40 Arsenal/Wigan lay the draw at $4.70 Cheers to all and dont let the rain/wind/snow dampen your spirits for the festive season...drive and arrive safely... lol from magoo :hope:hope:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 26, 2010 Author Share Posted December 26, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II yield + 60% SR 26/29 Due to a little inactivity at the moment, I have decided to include two teams from the Belgium Jupiter League, albeit on a temporary basis. Therefore add the following lay draws: Genk/Saint Truiden laid @ $6.40 (Postponed) Gent/Club Brugge laid @ $3.90 WON Dont forget Arsenal have two matches coming up, plus another next weekend. I will probably maintain the Belgium League matches until the other leagues resume Cheers all :hope:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 27, 2010 Author Share Posted December 27, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II yield + 60% SR 27/30 Gday folks One winning lay in Belgium last nite and the other game postponed. Next lay is the Arsenal/Chelsea game...probably a bit of a risk, but Im on... Cheers players :ok:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 27, 2010 Author Share Posted December 27, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II yield + 61% SR 28/31 Good win by Arsenal...should follow it up by beating Wigan next start... Cheers all til then :clap:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 28, 2010 Author Share Posted December 28, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II yield + 61% SR 28/31 Gday Punters Current status: OUT 31 IN 50 SR 28/31 +61% The following matches are coming up soon... I have taken the following prices for the draw lays: EPL Wigan/Arsenal $4.50 Belgium Saint Truiden/Cercle Brugge KSV $3.55 Zulte-Waregem/KAA Gent $3.75 I will post the EPL and Spanish Primera matches at the end of the week. Cheers all :gimme Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 29, 2010 Author Share Posted December 29, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II yield + 61% SR 28/31 Ive decided to keep the Belgium matches until the Bundesliga recommences on 15th January, 2011. Would like to hear if any of you guys are actually following this idea... (Betting or making your own selections) Cheers all :dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 29, 2010 Author Share Posted December 29, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II yield + 61% SR 28/31 Current status: OUT 32 IN 47.5 SR 28/32 +50% Aaah well folks, the football gods were not smiling on us today at Wigan. Wigan drew this match 2/2 with the help of an early penalty, and then... Arsenal leading 2/1 with ten minutes left Arsenal gave them an own goal... final result 2/2...as they say in the classics...shit happens...:wall:wall:wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 31, 2010 Author Share Posted December 31, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II yield + 50% SR 28/32 Buenos dias amigos...unlucky again with KAAGent leading 2/1 into injury time only to concede a goal right at the death... will do the stats later....:@ Adios Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 31, 2010 Author Share Posted December 31, 2010 Re: Magoos Magic Part II yield + 50% SR 28/32 OUT 33 IN 46.75 +41% SR 28/33 Hello folks and a Happy New Year to everyone (excepting teams who draw with their opponents when my money is on the line) The weekend lays are as follows: EPL Arsenal/Birmingham $4.10 Spanish Primera League Barcelona/Levante $18.50 Valencia/Espanyol Barcelona $4.20 Getafe/Real Madrid $5.90 Zaragoza/Real Sociedad $3.50 Good luck everyone...bout time the Football Gods smiled on us Cheers all:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted January 2, 2011 Author Share Posted January 2, 2011 Re: Magoos Magic Part II yield + 41% SR 28/33 Off to a good start for 2011 with Arsenal winning easily. Hoping for a clean sweep in Spain... Adios amigos :dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted January 2, 2011 Share Posted January 2, 2011 Re: Magoos Magic Part II yield + 41% SR 28/33 Good luck with your remaining selections Mr. M. I think you may be calculating your yield incorrectly. For laying systems, the yield is "profit/liability".... I make your yield around 9% (taking into account Bfair commission). Still a good return.... hope it continues :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted January 2, 2011 Author Share Posted January 2, 2011 Re: Magoos Magic Part II yield + 41% SR 28/33 Good luck with your remaining selections Mr. M. I think you may be calculating your yield incorrectly. For laying systems, the yield is "profit/liability".... I make your yield around 9% (taking into account Bfair commission). Still a good return.... hope it continues :hope With all my bets intermingled in my betting history Ill have to re-calculate.. Stay tuned.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted January 2, 2011 Author Share Posted January 2, 2011 Re: Magoos Magic Part II yield + 41% SR 28/33 Firstly, let me apologise sincerely to anyone following this thread if I have calculated profit erroneously. I know there are a lot of punters out there that follow various threads and place their faith in the authors experience, knowledge, etc. Let me explain how I arrive at my yield percentage. The prices show in this thread are not really prices, they are dividends, which include the stake for every lay. Therefore 1 unit should be deducted in each case - eg if Zaragoza/Real Sociedad finishes in a draw today, the loss is $2.50 per unit not $3.50 as quoted in the thread. Therefore I have had 28 successful lays returning 28 units profit, less 15.45 units (Chelsea, Stoke, Palermo, Arsenal and AKK Gent) for losing lays, equals 14.55. With 33 units outlayed in total, this is a 44% yield. If its only 9%, its hardly worth bothering about....:sad:sad:sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted January 3, 2011 Author Share Posted January 3, 2011 Re: Magoos Magic Part II yield + 41% SR 28/33 3 from 3 this weekend giving 31/36 overall. Valencia scored in the 90th minute to win 2/1. Phew...just got there... Cheers all :dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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