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Johnrobertson

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  1. Like
    Johnrobertson reacted to Fader in Valero Texas Open   
    Taking a look at this today but based on his form at the WGC Matchplay, I have to put up Corey Conners. Looked in fine nick and was very unlucky to lose that match with Burns who then went and won the event to show that form.
    Equally how is Hatton a favourite here with that Matchplay form
    1.5pts e/w C.Conners to win Valero 25/1 bet365 (5 places, 1/4th)
  2. Like
    Johnrobertson got a reaction from Fader in Valero Texas Open   
    Dylan Frittelli 160/1 bet365 ew 10 places 1/7 odds - This price looks big considering he was 100/1 last year, in 3 attempts at the course he has always made the cut and came 8th last year. Recent form includes a couple of top 30s. 
  3. Like
    Johnrobertson reacted to The Equaliser in BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - March 2023   
    Fascinating.  I think that if I were @JohnrobertsonI would sit tight and not play tomorrow at least.  We all know that @Alastaircan successfully pick a 3/1 + priced winner when need be but this of course carries an increased risk of not being successful. The most winners is indeed a great part of the comp IMO
  4. Like
    Johnrobertson reacted to MCLARKE in BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - March 2023   
    Most winners
    @Johnrobertsonpicks the short priced winner to get past the £10 mark but may still need to play with @Alastairhaving a mathematical chance of catching him. Some of the others could still win if the top 2 make a mess of it !

  5. Like
    Johnrobertson reacted to MCLARKE in BEST ODDS GUARANTEED   
    I don't want to rush this as it is a big change so I will leave the rules as they are for the April competition.
    We can then consider all the options and perhaps, as was suggested, have a vote to decide which one we go with.
     
     
  6. Like
    Johnrobertson reacted to harry_rag in BEST ODDS GUARANTEED   
    I think that might have been based on a misunderstanding of what was being proposed, I’m not sure anyone was suggesting not allowing posting the night before prior to that post. I think there are 3 options on the table in most people’s thoughts.
    Move to SP only (post when you like) Just scrap bog, otherwise as you are (early prices can still be taken) Retain bog but only for prices taken from a certain time on the day of racing I favour 2 with 1 the clear next best. Option 3 just complicates things for the guy running the competition, having to differentiate between selections that do and don’t qualify for bog.
  7. Like
    Johnrobertson got a reaction from fd1972uk in Valero Texas Open   
    Dylan Frittelli 160/1 bet365 ew 10 places 1/7 odds - This price looks big considering he was 100/1 last year, in 3 attempts at the course he has always made the cut and came 8th last year. Recent form includes a couple of top 30s. 
  8. Like
    Johnrobertson got a reaction from MinellaWorksop in Valero Texas Open   
    Dylan Frittelli 160/1 bet365 ew 10 places 1/7 odds - This price looks big considering he was 100/1 last year, in 3 attempts at the course he has always made the cut and came 8th last year. Recent form includes a couple of top 30s. 
  9. Like
    Johnrobertson got a reaction from Budgie 65 in BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - March 2023   
    Thanks @The Equaliser but I think the king of the short price ones @Alastair could still do it, I am sure he has a nice little secret short price system, his past results are impressive and @Wanderluststill very much in there with a lovely profit/strike rate this month.
  10. Like
    Johnrobertson got a reaction from MCLARKE in BEST ODDS GUARANTEED   
    Your right, its not very clear, kind of hidden away but no surprise.
  11. Like
    Johnrobertson reacted to fd1972uk in Corales Puntacana Championship   
    Should place hopefully we'll done again.
  12. Like
    Johnrobertson reacted to fd1972uk in Jonsson Workwear Open   
    Well.done
  13. Thanks
    Johnrobertson got a reaction from fd1972uk in Jonsson Workwear Open   
    Starts tomorrow, going for some of the fancied ones:-
    Nick Bachem 66/1 bet365 ew 8 places 1/5 - Been playing well recently, drives the ball very nicely.
    Thriston Lawrence 25/1 bet365 ew 8 places 1/5 - 8th last year, in solid form 19-2-9-8-13
    Wilco Nienaber 25/1 bet365 ew 8 places 1/5 - 10th last year in good recent form.
  14. Like
    Johnrobertson reacted to MinellaWorksop in Corales Puntacana Championship   
    Fingers crossed ? for @Johnrobertson with Eckroat in contention to cap off what has already been a superb tipping display in the golf this weekend.
  15. Like
    Johnrobertson reacted to MinellaWorksop in Jonsson Workwear Open   
    Take a bow JR. Superb tipping finding the winner Nick Bachem at 66/1. Excellent work.
  16. Like
    Johnrobertson reacted to Torque in WGC Matchplay   
    In the outrights the value once again looks like being away from the top of the market. Scheffler looks very strong and is a deserved favourite, but some of the prices further back look wrong to me and so that's where I'll be backing a few players on the exchanges.
    3pts Schauffele to win WGC Matchplay @ 12.27
    4pts Homa to win WGC Matchplay @ 14.23
    3pts Putnam to win WGC Matchplay @ 37.26
    2pts Kuchar to win WGC Matchplay @ 35.30
    4pts Spaun to win WGC Matchplay @ 39.22
    4pts Poston to win WGC Matchplay @ 49.02
  17. Like
    Johnrobertson reacted to The Equaliser in BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - March 2023   
    I didn't see the race but it sounds unbelievable; but that's racing for you these days
    I believe that @gbettle's method was as follows:
    The system is:

    from all UK & Eire races, find the favourites;
    compare them with the RP Naps table, found here
    take any favourite that has either 0 or 1 tip from the RP Naps Table - we now have a set of candidates for my daily trixie
    filter that set of candidates by 0 or 1 tip only, and then take the lowest 3. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Hope this helps

     
     
  18. Sad
    Johnrobertson got a reaction from MCLARKE in BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - March 2023   
    Lovely thanks for that @The Equaliser Some interesting ideas, will have a look for @gbettle formula. 
    Did you see the short price one I tipped Telhimlisten race ? Looked like the jockey jumped off when well clear after the last, never seen anything like it. ?
  19. Like
    Johnrobertson reacted to The Equaliser in BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - March 2023   
    Looks like you are still in with a good chance as all your main challengers lost today.  The only bummer is that you dropped a point.  
    It is quite easy to select horses that are at very short odds and have an excellent chance of winning ?.  All you have to do is check through the races with short-priced favourites and make a note of all the horses that are at least 10 points clear of all other rivals in the RPR ratings.  Obviously, one would exclude any race with some un-raced so-called wonder horse that is supposed to win by a country mile.  I checked today and found that in the 2.15 Sed Forcing Bull 1/3 was rated 125 v 99 RPR won by 12 lengths and in the 4.45 Lud Tightenrourbelts 30/100 126 v 112 RPR won by 18 lengths.
    Further, @gbettle had a formula that he published here for short-priced horses in accumulators which seemed to work quite well.  I'll try and find it for you if you are interested. 
    I hope that @gbettleis OK as I haven't seen him make any posts for a while.
    I hope this helps
  20. Like
    Johnrobertson reacted to fd1972uk in Jonsson Workwear Open   
    Used up some small free bets, win only on
    Otaguei
    g coetzee
    Nienaber
    Larlwrence
    Luiten.
     
  21. Like
    Johnrobertson got a reaction from fd1972uk in Corales Puntacana Championship   
    Just the one here:-
    Austin Eckroat 75/1 bet365 ew 1/5 8 places - A young improving player with some nice course form including 12th on debut in 2020. 
  22. Like
    Johnrobertson got a reaction from Gary66 in BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - March 2023   
    Thanks @The Equaliser but I think the king of the short price ones @Alastair could still do it, I am sure he has a nice little secret short price system, his past results are impressive and @Wanderluststill very much in there with a lovely profit/strike rate this month.
  23. Like
    Johnrobertson got a reaction from The Equaliser in BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - March 2023   
    Thanks @The Equaliser but I think the king of the short price ones @Alastair could still do it, I am sure he has a nice little secret short price system, his past results are impressive and @Wanderluststill very much in there with a lovely profit/strike rate this month.
  24. Like
    Johnrobertson reacted to Alastair in BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - March 2023   
    Just to confirm I don't have a short price system. In the real world I don't back horses at prices shorter than 6/4 .
  25. Like
    Johnrobertson reacted to The Equaliser in BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - March 2023   
    My monies on @Johnrobertsonhanging in there with shrewdly chosen odds on shots
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