Torrential rain...High winds arriving overnight ...storm adonis or whatever ... I think it'll be a washout ...maybe even called off ....60 mile hour winds etc ....jeez ...just saw on news
If right will go to heavy again ...I'm not feeling confident for sure 😕
Oh wow .....I wished and it came true !!.....well done all those who backed him above too .....I'm amazed ...thought he had no chance from draw and 36.0!!... that's +330.00 ....unicorn win...I'm blown away
300 good gold mile
Awwaal 8.8 9/1 93 94
Johan 8.6 36.0 70 70 89
Blue for you 8.5 11/1 94 83 97
Tough race and ground makes it more complicated .....Rhoscolyn did me a favour the other day but I'm hoping this is too quick for him ...I'll die if he wins,again !! ...... this is only race I like today so let's go for it ...10pt wins top 3 and hope johan bursts back to form cmon me beauty !!😜
Unbelievable......due to go up 17lbs and loses to donkeys ....May as well shoot it now . Will never have a better chance to win.....shoukda walked that ..jeez
I've found something .....do people agree on this being accurate ??
Class a ....aintree ascot chelt hayd kemp newb sand
B ......chep donc ling newc weth winc
C....ayr hunt newtabb strat warw worc
D Carl catt Exeter leic markras Towc utt
E bang cart fake folk font here hex Kelso ludl muss Perth plump sedge South taunt
Doesn't seem too bad 🤔 have I missed anything lol 😆
Good to see Icare Allen highly rated for the Galway hurdle by Chris as think it should outrun its odds looks a fair e/w shout from the Mullins yard who have 4 of the 16 runners! i also think dual winner of this Tudor City is overpriced at 16/1 although 11 year old now.
5.05 Galway1pt e/w !CARE ALLEN 25/1 bog 5places
5,05 Galway1pt e/w TUDOR CITY 16/1 bog 5places
4pts invested
Perfect example of ratings and class working hand in hand ...hopefully will throw up a few more winners in the future .....put the non runner stake on Rhoscolyn so returns 99.12 +79.12 ...that covers recent losses and a nice chunk profit .....onwards and upwards
Marbaan 4 00 Gwd/ 1/40th of a pt win 22/1
Ancient Rome 2 50 Gwd/ 1/40th of a pt ew 38/1 - WON
Royal Dress 5 05 Gwd/ 1/40th of a pt ew 16/1 - Placed
Salt Lake City 6 40 Galy/ 1/40th of a pt ew 16/1
A La Noche 2 15 Gwd/ 1/40th of a pt ew 15/1
Cloud King 2 15 Gwd/ 1/40th of a pt ew 70/1
Minnetonka 5 35 Gwd/ 1/40th of a pt ew 22/1
Day two of Glorious Goodwood and the ITV team are giving us the first four races from the picturesque Sussex course. The official ground is good to soft (soft in places) with a wet forecast, so once again it’s horses that like to get their hooves in that we are looking for. Here are my thoughts on how to beat the bookies today.
Goodwood 13:50
We kick off the day with the 1M 4F class 2 Coral Handicap for three year olds only, with a dozen having declared.
Amleto, trained by William Haggas has been installed the favourite in his first handicap. He was last seen twelve weeks ago when running away with a Chester maiden on soft ground from a horse that won on Monday and is stepping up to a mile and a half today. A mark of 89 looks reasonable and he should be thereabouts.
Sir Michael Stoute runs Fox Journey, owned by King Power who’s won handicaps at Newmarket and Newbury from four starts this season. A 5lb rise for his win at the latter track twelve days ago will not help and he has yet to prove he handles soft ground.
John & Thady Gosden saddle a pair of runners in handicap debutant Tony Montana (yet to encounter easy ground) and Inquiring Minds, who bombed out last time and is another one who has yet to encounter cut in the ground.
The Johnston stable have won three of the last nine runnings of this race and Charlie Johnstone saddles four in an attempt to better that record. The one of the quartet who we know handles soft ground well is the Joe Fanning ridden Struth. A soft ground winner at Chester in May he’s run consistently well since including when third in an Ascot handicap. He can form part of the staking plan.
Dual purpose trainer Alan King saddles Westerton, who is another who can play a hand in the finish. Stepping up in trip here he has form on all types of ground and maybe most importantly has the assistance of Ryan Moore.
In an open race I’ll play Struth each way and Amleto win only.
STRUTH 1 point each way 7/1 bet365 1/5th 1234
AMLETO 1 point win 7/2 bet365
Goodwood 14:25
A tough looking renewal of the Group 3 Whispering Angel Oak Tree Stakes with a bumper turnout of sixteen for three year old and upwards fillies and mares. The draw will be important here with seven of the last 8 winners drawn 6 or lower.
Irish challenger Jumbly, trained by Joseph O’Brien is arguably the best horse in the field and this represents a drop in grade for him although stall 12 is not ideal and Ryan Moore will have to have a plan from out that wide which he might well have but at the price I don’t really want to pay to find out.
Saedd Bin Suroor’s White Moonlight comes here in top form having won his last two starts at Musselburgh and Chelmsford in listed company and this represents a step up in grade. He’s not run on soft ground but was a winner as a juvenile on good to soft so maybe he will handle the likely underfoot conditions. A stall of seven looks favourable as well.
John Quinn trains Breege who is drawn low in stall three and holds a definite chance on ground hopefully that she will handle. She was runner up in the Group 2 Prestige Stakes as a two year old over course and distance and also got the silver medal in the Sandringham Handicap at Royal Ascot when chasing home Coppice. She drops a furlong here and in a tough contest is a tentative each way selection.
She’s one of nine three year old fillies in this race with Irish trainer Kieran Cotter’s Matilda Picotte, who finished an 8L third in the 1000 Guineas, an interesting contender but has the widest draw of all in 16 so is overlooked for that reason alone. The highest rated in the field is the Roger Varian trained Olivia Maralda who ran fifth in the Jersey Stakes last time when giving plenty to do by Kevin Stott. She can run well here but was pulled out on her stable debut due to soft ground and the only other time she encountered softish ground was in the 1000 Guineas when 3 1/2L behind Matilda Picotte.
A minefield of a race with draw and ground so important but I’ll chance Breege under Jason Hart each way with additional places.
BREEGE 1 point each way @ 7/1 bet365 1/5th 1234
Goodwood 15:00
Just the eight runners line up for the Jaeger-Lecoultre Molecomb Stakes, a Group 3 contest for two year olds run over the minimum trip of 5F.
The only runner in the race who has shown any form on soft ground is Hugo Palmer’s Hackman who won a Chester maiden in May on soft ground but was 6L behind favourite Kylian last time.
Kylian looks the one to beat having improved to win a brace of races at Newcastle by (4L) and a listed contest at Sandown (by 6L from Hackman). He looks a smart performer but was pulled out on his debut at Newmarket in May due to soft ground and at the price I’ll leave him be.
Royal Ascot winner Big Evs stepped up on his debut run to win the listed Windsor Castle Stakes by a comfortable 3L in June and has to be considered although once again, as with all of these, both his runs came on good to firm ground. With him and Kylian taking a big chunk out of the market here with no evidence that they will handle ease in the ground it’s worth looking for an alternative.
Both Purosangue and Barnwell Boy flopped last time so maybe the Richard Hannon trained Baheer is the value each way play (hoping all eight run obviously). Well backed on his debut at Newbury when finishing runner up to Zulu Chief, he stepped forward 18 days later when taking a novice stakes at the same track again over 6F by 2 1/2L from Aljezur. He drops to the minimum trip today and with the Hannon two year olds amongst the winners in the last week he looks the value especially with the words used by Hannon after his win at Newbury where he stated that “there have been times when he’s worked at home and I thought he could be the best two-year-old we’ve trained but he came here and showed nothing like it first time. He’s always been a hooligan but he’s got a frightening amount of talent and that didn’t surprise me at all”. High praise indeed.
BAHEER 1 point each way @ 11/1 BetVictor 1/5th 123
Goodwood 15:35
The feature race of the day (and meeting) is the 1M Qatar Sussex Stakes with £1,000,000 guaranteed. A small but select field of six go to post with the very warm favourite being the Aiden O’Brien trained Paddington. He’s been a revelation this season starting off winning a Naas handicap on heavy ground and progressing through the ranks to score in listed company at The Curragh followed by the Irish 2000 Guineas, St James Palace Stakes and Coral -Eclipse when stepped up in distance. He’s dropping back to a mile here which wont be an issue and as he acts on any ground will be very hard to beat.
Roger Varian’s Charyn was 4L behind him at Ascot and it’ll be a major shock were he to turn the tables whilst Richard Hannon’s Chindit and French challenger Facteur Cheval have 10lb and 12lb respectively to find with Paddington.
If there is to be one to turn the favourite over then its maybe John & Thady Gosden’s smart filly Inspiral who made a pleasing re-appearance when coming from some way back to finish second (beaten a neck) by Triple Time in the Group 1 Queen Anne Stakes. That was a fine effort and she can push Paddington all the way but with Ryan Moore in the saddle this can go to Paddington who will be at prohibitive odds and is one for the daily acca bet.
All odds quoted were available at time of writing.
520 good
Rhoscolyn 8.8 81 80 36 5.6 betf
Darkness 8.6 67 68 58 10.5 betfair
Classic 8.4 62 44 44
My idea of the winner is Rhoscolyn ....his class fig dropped lto but that was heavy ground so we'll say that was a blip ...other than that he looks,a class above these....danger looks darkness who has performed well in this class previously and conditions look suitable ....let's trust ratings and go for it
*edit ...I don't think he'd want ground heavy .....go sft maybe soft woukd be OK....
Rhoscolyn 13.04 win
Darkness 6.96 win
20pt outlay 56.00 profit any winner 🏆
Flash Bulb - 3 10 Ayr 1/40th of a pt ew 66/1 - U/P
Jordon Electrics - 3 45 Ayr 1/40th of a pt ew 33/1 - U/P
Earn Your Stripes - 4 20 Ayr 1/40th of a pt ew 22/1 - 4th
four winners
Condesa, steel wave and Born famous long long odds on won a distance wager at 6/4 ( won by 17 lengths).
Hong Kong hall dead heated for 1st at Sha Tin.
in the pub all afternoon with some old mates { will obviously get messy so ordered stretcher for about 8'clk }
will have 10quid ew on Dutch Admiral 2 15 Str/ 40/1 and Byzantine Empire 4 00 Str/ 22/1
to see if i can cover the lunch bill 😃
The only draw biases I stick to are low 5, 5.5f & 6f on dirt at Tampa Bay & Will Rodgers Downs , Gulfsteam used to fit this stat as well before they fitted a tapeta course , best advice is to watch & take note , good luck .
Wildgarden got a reaction from The Brigadier in Racing Chat - Friday August 4th