Wildgarden

hmmm  i think the weather may have done for her its going to be heavy id say / think my other one will handle it better
but let the gods decide as they say  🙂

Another killer of a race ....
Coral sprint trophy 
Apollo one 9.0 15.0 
Bielsa.  8.8 
Mr wagyu.  8.7 
Kings Lynn. 8.6 
Magical spirit.  8.4 
Wobwobwob.  8.3 
Another crazy open race .....in these types of sprints I think you really need to be near a rail so you don't lose any ground wandering about in the centre because every single yard counts.....so 
Appolo one is drawn 22 
Mr wagyu. 5 
Bielsa.  9 
Magical spirit  12 
Kings Lynn. 18 
So for the case of trying to narrow the race to best bets I'm going to omit the centrally drawn bielsa and magical spirit and go for 
Appolo one 
Mr wagyu  
Kings Lynn 
I really like appolo one and I think he deserves a big race ... .my ratings have downgraded Mr wagyu in recent times and now he's top 3 ...I think he wants a fast run 6f on soft .   And he gets that tomorrow ....player ..  .very interesting race ....again good luck if you play another toughie 
Apollo one 5pts 15.0 
Kings Lynn 5pts 30.0 
Mr wagyu. 5pts 29.0

Taken me over an hour to rate this ...jeez 😁...so hard 
Cesarewitch 
lot of joy.  8.8  40.0 (6/1 place)
Zoffee. 8.6 25/1 already backed 5pt Ew 
Wordsworth. 8.5 44.0 place 6/1 
Emiyn. 8.2 90.0 place 10/1 
very very difficult race as you'd expect with ground conditions and 34 runners .....some silly prices on Betfair so I'll try 3pt wins ..3pt places on all except zoffee who I've already backed .....but jeez good luck to everyone who plays because this is mega hard 😭

2 x placed  - light ale and egg & chips   😀

Wen moon heavily backed in last finishes off a fab day .... +147.50 😁

And yes ....I did back the forecast today whoop 😀......35 .00 for the win ....33.05 for the forecast 😀

York 315 
Lambert. 8.0 12/1 
Nellie leylax.  7.7 8/1 
5pt Ew both 

Not To Real Bad                                                  5 15 Cra/                         1/40th of a pt win    12/1           -- N/R
Pretty Boy Floyd                                                  5 15 Cra/                         1/40th of a pt win    12/1
Be Proud                                                              3 55 Ayr/                          1/40th of a pt ew     22/1

730 chelm 
Q twenty boy.  8.0 3.7 
Time patrol. 7.8 3.7 
2 qualifiers ....short prices ...but I'll try 4pts both and 1pt forecasts .........
 

2 out of 3 ....and last one lost in a photo so that's not too shabby ....+27.00 

240 York 
Lordship.  8.4 8.8 
Urban outlook. 8.4 5/1 
The goat.  8.4  11/1 
3 way tie ...very unusual .....I'll try 4pts all 3 and forecasts 

Old Rowley cup 
Alkasib.  8.4 5/1 
Struth. 8.2 20/1 
Humanity.  7.8 + ??
Hard to know how humanity will fair on turf given his best run is on aw ....some can ..some can't ....so I'd rather go Ew on top 2 and hope struth springs a surprise 
5pt Ew top 2 

This begins an experiment today and we'll see how it pans out over the next couple months ....my friends have always hassled me to concentrate on the all weather. ... .the consistency of going ....the consistency of track i.e no undulations etc all help to strengthen ratings .....they've always been convinced my greatest ever win will come from the all weather ......so we've sat down and come up with a rock solid plan .......bottom 6 draws in 6f races .....because there's a 1/3 more probability that the winner will come from there ....that all compounds to improve the overall likeliness of picking the winner if the ratings hold of course ......of course it's not infallible ...horses can win from stall 9 etc if they are good enough on day ....but it's time to see whether a huge win is feasibly possible using these settings .......I mean you only have to double up a fiver ...4x ( 4 race winnings) to get about a grand ... 5 races ...5000 to 10000.....so you can see ...."if " there is a bias and if I can exploit that using the ratings then the possibility of predicting 3 4 5 races in row becomes much more likely .....so initially I'm going to keep testing the locks to see how it performs .....if it performs well overall then at some point I'll just go all out for the big win .....a by product of this is if it works the chances of forecasts should increase proportionally too so it's going to be an interesting test period and I'm going to cover forecasts as a given during testing 
Today we have 3 races to look at 
630 chelm 
Only 2 qualifiers (others poor ratings) 
Waiting game 8.0  4.2 
Hiatus.  7.5  14/1 
So I'll try 6pt top rated 2pts hiatus ...2x 1pt forecasts 

8.00 kemp 
Nogos dream. 8.0 4/1 
Dark side thunder  7.8 11/2 
Time to have a bit of fun and attempt some rolling doubles .....if any winner I'll roll over to next rated race to see if can get a decent win on the board 😀
5pt wins both 

Interesting reading Sam, perhaps you could expand on the subject of free energy.
Hopefully you will soon transform winners into profits. If I could offer you some advice it would be.
1. Take advantage of bookmakers offers, thousands can be made before you get shut down.
2. Take the early prices of BOG bookmakers.
3. If you bet at the off take BSP not ISP.
Good luck !

730 wolv 
Tallulah myla. 8.0
Cinque Verde. 7.9 
Cluedo.  7.5 
Weird one ....I have cinque Verde within 1lb of the fav .....yes the fav might progress but he's 5/2 and cinque is 10/1!!......I'll try 5pt Ew and hope the 8 go to post 

2nd.      Returns. £54.

Five winners  today and more to come at keenland hopefully. A hat trick at Wolverhampton. 
Madame Ambassador 10/1
Kaaress 6/1
sunday sovereign 9/1
james macCauley had this former 95 rated winner in England cosily smuggled into this race but DRAW DATA unearthed him.
change sings
pick that one out!!!!
chifa
32 (THIRTY TWO) winners in one week.
( in Keeneland Master of the seas was turned over in a headbobber to lose by a nose in a photo while newcomer was well beaten in second seconditis was the order across the pond as in Italian was turned over by a third string stablemate .)

Madam  Ambassador                                        1 30 New/        1/40th of a pt ew     33/1           -    Won    
Ropey Guest                                                       3 35 Asc/           1/40th of a pt ew    44/1
Designer                                                               1 50 Asc/          1/40th of a pt ew    12/1
Happy Romance                                                 3 00 Asc/           1/40th of a pt ew    16/1
Commander Crouch                                           2 05 Asc/          1/40th of a pt ew    36/1            -   2nd
Love Billy Boy                                                       2 45 Red/          1/40th of a pt ew   36/1
Vultan                                                                    2 20 Cra/           1/40th of a pt ew   38/1
Bosh                                                                       7 30 Wol/           1/40th of a pt win  12/1
 
 
 
 
P/L   + 171.95 pts

Both placed ......unlucky in big race ..2nd 

Stats for the Howden handicap
Last ran 7 - 15 days ago 5 from 49, LSP 17, remainder 3 from 84, loss - 51
Forecast fav / 2nd fav 1 from 18
Finished 5th to 8th last time 4 from 33, LSP 13
This leaves BLESS HIM 14/1 and ORBAAN 16/1, 5 places

Franny from the clouds on Madam 😃  ok dog&duck time  beer curry cat house  on franny' and madams efforts
+ a fine run by commander crouch also   + bosh still to run 😄

430 red 
Shaladar  8.4 10/1 
Ron o   8.2 10/1 
Hirtzadar  7.8 
5pt Ew ....top 2 

Oceanline runs at ascot today for David Pipe and as such is a stable switcher with a twist.
Hes already run for Pipe over fences but this is his first flat run and is fit from hurdling and on a winning mark.
Dundalk the starting point of the supply line of Irish gambles on uk racetracks in particular the all weather is on today. The races crammed with runners and reserves who all take a hand in the outcome mean there is always scope there for a touch to be landed outside of the clutches of our overround fiddling bookies. It is not all plain sailing of course but there is always a “weigh in” ably assisted by some shrewd trainers…..
The mighty Rohaan is also in action and as a four times  course winner has to be respected as his trainers only runner today. Neil callan gets the gig fresh from sun power bolting up the other night under everyone’s unsuspecting eyes. I don’t buy that the cusp of the flat season is a tough time for punters. Opportunities  abound if you keep an open mind. Tons of tricks are being turned by trainers some horses are coming into their own and some are going off the boil.  Oh and there’s a horse returning to fontwell fresh from the flat and whose last three visits have been winners. The next winner is close to hand.

Metal wins ....rule 4 20 or 30p but still a few quid 😀