mrclubbie
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Posts posted by mrclubbie
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I think Nice played 2 more matches right ?
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I am really nuts to bet on Boro to win...
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Middlesbrough vs Burnley - Middlesbrough 1x2
If they can't win the worst away team in league, they deserve to go down...
West Brom vs Southampton - Under 2.5
I noted that the games at Hawthorns between these 2 teams have not seen over 2.5 since 1980. Their encounters overall have been quite under-ish as well
Everton vs Leicester - Everton 1x2
Just a simple win for Everton. Home form cannot be ignored.
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Not a good weekend for me
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Interesting fact - Hoffenheim has never won at home against Leverkusen
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Based on EPL table and statistics:
Everton vs Hull: Over 2.5 - Everton average slightly more than 2 goals per home match, while it is the opposite for Hull (more than 2 goals conceded per away match)
Sunderland vs Burnley: Sunderland 1x2 - A great opportunity for Sunderland to grab 3 points against the league's worst away team ?
Bournemouth vs Swansea: Over 2.5 - Statistically, Swansea averaging 1 goal scored and 2 goals conceded per away match. Besides, recent meetings have contributed plenty of goals
Middlesbrough vs Man Utd: Under 2.5 - No reason, just seeing both sides not much goals for their home and away matches respectively
Anyway Ibrahimovic is suspended is it ?
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Based on EPL table:
Liverpool vs Burnley: Liverpool HT - I don't think Burnley can stop Liverpool and the latter has a strong home form
Bournemouth vs West Ham: Bournemouth 1x2 - Winless in 9 matches, should win somewhere before the consecutive meetings with Liverpool/Chelsea/Spurs
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Based on EPL table statistics:
Leicester vs Hull City: Over 2 or Over 2.25 -- Should have minimum 2 goals here, judging by how many away goals Hull have been conceding (average 2 goals). Also my guess is that players are happy that Ranieri is gone?
Swansea vs Burnley: Swansea HT 1x2 -- I see no light to Burnley's away form, and they lost 10 of their last 12 away 1st half
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As for this week, nothing much from me.
But I am just looking at whether Tottenham will go over 2.5/2.75 or not.
Tottenham-Stoke past 8 encounters produced a total of 25 goals.
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Burnley will be playing 4 straight EPL away matches (Hull, Swansea, Liverpool, Sunderland) - Ever wonder if they will throw away 12 points in a row ?
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So finally Leicester sacked their manager Ranieri, not too sure how will that stop the rot at the club actually. Who will be bold enough to take over the ruins...
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1 hour ago, KikoCy said:
I am in two minds about this.
I see this game going U2.5 but Burnley double chance might have some value.
Will Chelsea become complacent with their points lead?
That is also a possibility as well. Any main/major injuries/suspensions for both sides ?
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Burnley vs Chelsea
Burnley's home form has been solid, 9W 1D 3L and 21 scored 11 conceded. Of course, Chelsea's away form is need not further mentioning.
Goal-line has been relatively tight as well for Burnley's recent matches, the last time they won and lost by more than 1 goal was in Dec16 (3/12/16 Stoke 2-0 Burnley and 31/12/16 Burnley 4-1 Sunderland). And out of their 13 EPL home matches this season, the 3 losses they had were of 1-goal margin.
Chelsea has been in a good form, top of the league with a 9-point cushion. Away form has been great, with only 2D (Swansea, Liverpool) and 2L (Arsenal, Tottenham).
Statistically, both sides not met often in recent years (only 6 times since 21st century). Reverse fixture for this season, Chelsea won 3-0 against Burnley at Stamford Bridge.
I am somewhat optimistic that Burnley will continue to perform well on Turf Moof. After all, it appears that their home form is their only chance to stay afloat in the EPL due to their horrendous away form.
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Toulouse vs Angers SCO
On paper, Toulouse is still a stronger team overall as compared to Angers SCO.
For Angers SCO, they have played 30 Ligue 1 away matches since their promotion, and their record stands at 9W 4D 17L.
As a comparison, both sides have been performing badly in their last 15 Ligue 1 matches starting from October 2016:
Toulouse - 3W 3D 9L, 11 scored and 21 conceded
Angers - 3W 5D 7L, 12 scored and 20 conceded
I am surprised to see that Toulouse -0.5 is being offered despite both sides performing nearly equally bad. Not sure is it because of the position difference in the league table, or is it because of Angers poor away form. Nevertheless, I will pick Toulouse to win.
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No draws yet this week
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Looking at Watford and West Brom to win, as well as a comfortable margin for Spurs
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busy with chinese new year
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I am performing badly
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Crystal Palace again
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Liverpool played poorly, responded too slow when they were 2 goals down
2-3 to Swansea. They deserve the win.
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Since Palace's return to top flight in 2013-14 season, they have not manage a win at Selhurst Park against Everton. They have not won at home against Everton since 1994, though of course many of the seasons both teams were in different leagues.
Strange enough, Palace is unbeaten with their visits to Goodison Park since returning to top flight.
Last EPL win for Palace was on 3/12/16 against Southampton. Subsequently it is DLLDLLL
Urgency from Big Sam as the sliding continues and especially with Hull City just 1 place below them in terms of goal difference only.
Everton has been doing good, stable. Their last 7 stats - LWLWDWW
I am surprised that Everton is only offering -0.25 hdp. Looking at their stats, I thought it should be -0.5 or even a -0.75. Not to forget the list of injuries/doubtful/not available from the Palace side...And Benteke is out as well I believe
Against all odds -- Crystal Palace 1x2
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Preston North End vs Brighton
Brighton have not lost in their last 18 league matches, they are the hot favourites for this match
But the odds seems otherwise. Hmm...
Easter Fixtures > Apr 15th - 17th
in Premier League Predictions
Posted
Everton -1.5 -- Burnley's away form is still the main reason why I back against them
Man Utd 1x2 -- Having faith in Mourinho to beat his previous club. One thing I am wary is whether will this become yet another stalemate. Anyway, Man Utd not won Chelsea since 2012, not won at home against Chelsea since 2011
Middlesbrough under 3 -- Boro looks fated to go back to Football League, Arsenal also not doing very well either. May be a tight scoreline after all.