four-leaf

Treble with all 3 above selections at bet365 paying 13.74, quite decent payout and hopefully it will be correct as it would be great to get one more big price in this week.

Men's = http://www.wimbledon.com/en_GB/scores/draws/2018_MS_draw.pdf
Women's = http://www.wimbledon.com/en_GB/scores/draws/2018_LS_draw.pdf

Damir Dzumhur to beat Jiri Vesely at 2.00 with bet365
I think Damir has been pretty good this week. He deserves to be in the Antalya final. He also owns a 3-0 record over Jiri having beaten him in 3 sets every time on indoor hard twice and clay once. Last time they met was in Sofia 2016.
Caroline Wozniacki to beat Angelique Kerber at 1.80 with bet365
Caroline looks better then Angelique now and has been all of this season. It's an even head to head between them with Angelique leading 8-6 but I think it's time for some payback from Caroline now. Angelique didn't look so good yesterday against Daria Kasatkina and I think Caroline looked mutch better against Ash Barty, Caroline was totally clinical in that match. Of course this is a toss up but I think it's correct to have Caroline as a small favourite as she's looking better.
Mischa Zverev (in 3 sets) to beat Mikhail Kukushkin at 4.00 with bet365
I think Mischa has a great chance of winning his first title of his career this week, if he only passes this match he'll be massive favourite in the final. I think Mischa is the better grass player of these two but Mikhail played well against Kyle Edmund and deserves some credit for that. He's gonna make it tough for Mischa here with his playing style but in the end I think Mischa wins. It's an even record between them with Mischa having beaten Mikhail last two times in Wimbledon in 5 sets last season and this season in 3 sets in Indian Wells. Mikhail won in 2 in Zagreb indoors 2010 and on clay 2013 in Furth challenger in 3 and Mischa also won 2013 in Aptos challenger on hard in 3. So only one 2 set match between them and it was Mikhail who won that one. So taking their record into account I think this ends with a favourite who wins in 3.
 

Guillermo Garcia-Lopez (+3) to beat Gael Monfils at 1.87 with Marathonbet
Nikoloz Basilashvili (+2.5) to beat Jiri Vesely at 1.83 with Pinnacle
I agree with pretty much everything that's already been said about GGL, Monfils has been a joke so far in this season and should be opposed in situations like these. Meanwhile, Vesely also looks somewhat overrated to me at the moment. Nikoloz hasn't done much wrong recently, while Vesely got lucky to be drawn against the not-so-motivated Verdasco in the previous round.

Adrian Mannarino @ 1.71 with Marathon (vs. Sousa)
I really don't understand the pricing here. Mannarino surely massive value and favourite. He's a losing finalist here from last year and is actually decentish on grass, whereas Sousa has no pedigree and beat Basic in the last round who is similar. I think fairly decent stakes on this one.   Sousa saved 15/18 break point opportunities against Basic and won about 60% on service versus 72% of points by Mannarino against Berankis (who's in reasonably good form in the last few months).   Guillermo Garcia-Lopez @ 2.75 with William Hill (vs. Monfils)
Monfils spent a month off after the French and stuttered his way to an unimpressive victory over Kavcic. Only 65% of points on first serve and 31% on second serve. On the other hand GGL was 77% on 1st and 68% on SS (so more than Monfils on his first).

Garcia-Lopez is on good form and I would price him at 2.2-2.3, even if we account for Monfils turning up which he might do. This is especially true given the 4-3 H2H in favour of Monfils - this is not a case of a strong favourite scoring another regular victory. 

I'm even playing GGL in straights @ 4.75 on WH as stats from Monfils today were pretty mediocre.  EDIT: better odds on Marathon now @ 2.76. 

Guillermo Garcia-Lopez to beat Robin Haase at 2.20 with bet365
No reason to have GG-Lopez as underdog here, he performs well nowadays again and has a better grass court record than Robin historically with 26 wins and 29 losses. He reached the Eastbourne final 8 years ago beating some good players along the way and no shame in losing to fast court specialist Michael Llodra in that final. He's beaten Robin 5 years ago in 3 sets in Auckland and this is again a very winable match-up for him.

Jelena Ostapenko to (-1.5 sets) to beat Mihaela Buzarnescu at 3.00 with bet365
It's always a risk you can get swept off the court when facing big hitting players like Serena Williams, Jelena Ostapenko, Petra Kvitova, Naomi Osaka or Ash Barty. Two of those have already swept Mihaela off the court and Serena and Ash Barty could do the same if they would face Mihaela and I think Jelena will do so tomorrow. The problem is Mihaelas lack of power that sooner or later makes her forced to commit errors. Mihaela is not good at taking control against big hitters on grass, the quickest of surfaces since her game suits better on clay or hardcourt. She can easily get under too mutch pressure that eventually leads to her demise. She's doing well no question about that but I just think this match can be to hot to handle for her just as it was when she faced Naomi Osaka. I just don't understand why Jelena is at 1.90 when Naomi Osaka was 1.40 to beat her. Jelena as a player was similar to Naomi and Petra last time I checked. Why has Mihaela managed to beat Elina Svitolina twice? Because Elina doesn't have the power required to hit through Mihaela consistently and when she lacks precision it doesn't work out well for her. Jelena has the power and the precision to hit through Mihaela and she breezed through her opener and could do the same here. Also I think Mihaela could be tired or a bit fatigued after reaching semis in Birmingham and needs to rest ahead of next week so no reason for her to go out and play her heart out tomorrow.
Edit: Mihaela beat Jelena 6-1 6-3 in Doha this season but there's every chance that it could be the opposite outcome this time.

Even more reason for Jelena to go out and play better this time. Mihaela played 2 three set matches in Bigmingham and had enough left in the tank to beat Elina Svitolina in 2 and she stopped in the semi when Petra the champion was at the other side of the net. Now she's been on court for 282 minutes since monday and I would be impressed if she has enough left in the tank to win in 3 sets again tomorrow which is what may be required unless she beats Jelena in 2 again which I doubt she will.

Damir Dzumhur @ 1.96 with Marathon (vs. Copil)
I like this one - Dzumhur has few matches on grass however has actually had some decent wins historically (Kudla and Istomin who were both better than Copil). Also worth pointing out that Dzumhur has generally been in good form and is at a career high ranking of 29. 

It's good news that he's playing another warm-up match on grass, he pushed Dimitrov very close at Queens and he'll take heart from this. Copil has had a win against Sugita this grass season however losses against Millman, in particular, cast doubt over his form against someone inside the top 30. Willing to give this a go!

Two wins and a loss - I'll take that even though I'm disappointed over how slowly Majchrzak started the match. By the end of the second set he was taking Kokkinakis to deuce on return regularly. 
Well done to others who made good calls!

Marta Kostyuk to beat Lauren Davis at 1.80 with bet365
I'm giving Marta a good chance of qualifying for SW19. Her junior record in Roehampton reads semifinal at NIke Junior international last season and it often comes as no surprise that a player that's gone far in Nike Junior international goes far in the Roehampton SW19 qualifiers. Especially the season after. Anastasia Potapova is one example who won Nike junior international 2016 qualified for SW19 in 2017. Marta qualified and got somewhere in Aussie open this season after she won the junior tournament at the same event in 2017. I believe in Marta here over this out of form american.

Christian Harrison to beat Dennis Novikov at 2.20 with bet365
Pick of the day for me from Roehampton. Christian is cruising nowadays and finally showing the talent at his disposal and he will likely have a good shot at winning this. Dennis who is not at any greater form has only won 3 matches since he won Morelos challenger at the end of february. Christian has also beaten Dennis before not to long ago this season in straight sets in Indian wells challenger just the week after he won in Morelos. Perhaps that would be because of fatigue/lack of fitness being unable to cope with 2 weeks of tennis but after that he lost the next three matches he played even against Gastao Elias on hardcourt. And none of the players he beat in Morelos were ranked top 200. He's played 3 matches on grass before SW19 qualies in Roehampton and lost all of them even against out of form Lukas Lacko. I don't think Dennis has the level of tennis currently to beat Christian who is on his way to something greater then top 200. Christian to win this feels like an easy pick and should be so this price on Christian is likely a gift.

Things aren't too bad on the whole with Halep winning. Osaka is a lock, Thiem is almost a lock, Pouille and Garcia are looking good, Vekic can go either way, Moutet, Ymer, and Wu are likely to lose (Wu isn't even playing anywhere).
Edit: Forgot to add that Bencic is probably going to lose as well. In any case, with Halep in, it's hard to see not getting a profit from that set of bets, everything would have to go wrong basically. Ymer is a strange case, he's won a lot of matches in Challenger quallies, but no wins after that and that's where the points are unfortunately.

Christian Harrison to beat Dennis Novikov at 2.20 with bet365
Pick of the day for me from Roehampton. Christian is cruising nowadays and finally showing the talent at his disposal and he will likely have a good shot at winning this. Dennis who is not at any greater form has only won 3 matches since he won Morelos challenger at the end of february. Christian has also beaten Dennis before not to long ago this season in straight sets in Indian wells challenger just the week after he won in Morelos. Perhaps that would be because of fatigue/lack of fitness being unable to cope with 2 weeks of tennis but after that he lost the next three matches he played even against Gastao Elias on hardcourt. And none of the players he beat in Morelos were ranked top 200. He's played 3 matches on grass before SW19 qualies in Roehampton and lost all of them even against out of form Lukas Lacko. I don't think Dennis has the level of tennis currently to beat Christian who is on his way to something greater then top 200. Christian to win this feels like an easy pick and should be so this price on Christian is likely a gift.

Collins D. R. - Suarez Navarro C.
a great chance for Suarez Navarro to kick start some grass form against Collins who's serve was rubbish against wild card Katie Swan who'm she just managed to scrape past.
Lajovic D. - Basilashvili N.
I must confess Lajovic is my favourite ATP player right now (Kyle a close second) capable, imo, of beating anyone right now. I was pleased he decided to take a months rest and thought he might struggle a bit against Horansky. No need to worry as he cruised thru'. Should win this.
Lajovic and Suarez Navarro Double @ 2.65 with Betfair

Kuznetsova @2,65 (Pinnacle)
Mertens isn't playing well on grass. On the other hand you have Kuznetsova who has the experience and has decent results on grass. Odds are really too high here for Svetlana I think. This is a bet against Mertens who I don't trust at this surface.

Matteo Berrettini to beat (-1.5 sets) David Ferrer at 2.87 with bet365
Come on, David is finished, grass is not a surface he does well on nowadays and he hasn't played a grassmatch yet this season. Honesly I'll be surprised if Matteo doesn't win this in straight sets. Tune up events and David Ferrer doesn't matchup well these days except in Auckland this season where David won some matches. Matteo is a nextgen player on the rise and played well in RG and already has two qualifying matches in Eastbourne under his belt. I expect an easy italian win here.

Osaka N. - Buzarnescu M.
You probably all know by now I'm Buzarnescu's biggest fan, she's as tough as old boots and not easy to beat.
I know she's struggled in her two matches so far but that will help her in today's match not hinder her.
I'm not really one for stats but one stat I do like is a right handed player's record against a left hander and in this case Osaka's record in the last 12 months is Won 1 & Lost 3
Buzarnescu to win @ 3.25 with BetVictor
Good luck all 

Naomi Osaka to beat (-1.5 sets) Mihaela Buzarnescu at 2.00 with bet365
No-brainer here, Mihaela isn't exactly the best grass player outthere and Naomi should break Mihaela a few times. The romanian 30 year old has done well this season but Naomi is a bit to good on this particular quick surface that suits her very well and should easily outpower Mihaela. After seeing Mihaela drop two sets to Irina Falconi and Veronica Cepede Royg I think it's time for Naomi to shine.

Katie Boulter to beat (+5.5) Ashleigh Barty at 2.20 with bet365
Best price I've found on this bet compared to 2.17 at Pinnacle and 2.00 at Paddypower. Katie has a good serve, great movement on the grass and she can create some difficulties for Ash. I think Ash wins this in straight sets but it's gonna take some effort to break Katie. More effort than it took to break down her last chinese opponent. I hope this bet is as good as it looks.

Naomi Osaka to beat (-1.5 sets) Mihaela Buzarnescu at 2.00 with bet365
No-brainer here, Mihaela isn't exactly the best grass player outthere and Naomi should break Mihaela a few times. The romanian 30 year old has done well this season but Naomi is a bit to good on this particular quick surface that suits her very well and should easily outpower Mihaela. After seeing Mihaela drop two sets to Irina Falconi and Veronica Cepede Royg I think it's time for Naomi to shine.

Double for me with Alex De Minaur and RG final over 3.5 sets.

Alex De Minaur to beat Jeremy Chardy at 1.83 with bet365
Best possible bet for me here is Alex to beat Jeremy. Saw Alex against Matt Ebden yesterday and it was'nt a bad effort by Matt but he just got completely outplayed by 19 year old Alex. Jeremy could take this with his experience which probably has carried him through to the final this week because he hasn't played better than Alex. Grass is a surface that suits the aussie and he's won all matches pretty nicely in straight sets all week with only one tie-break so I'll take him to win this. Alex should be the winner here to celebrate his emergence into the top 100. So Alex all the way for me here.

D.Thiem/R.Nadal - Over 3.5 sets at 1.86 with Unibet
I wasn't originally planning to have any bets on the finals, but, with Halep delivering the best possible result today and with Unibet offering very decent odds, I'm going to go for this one. Thiem appears to be the only player that can seriously trouble Nadal with his heavy shots, good serves, and excellent fitness, so I fancy him to do some damage tomorrow. I honestly think that Nadal is a bit overrated right now, as he hasn't really been tested by anyone. Only Diego raised to the occasion and took a set, while the likes of Del Potro and Gasquet just didn't even show up. I realize that Thiem has zero experience with GS finals, but I don't believe that matters too much in respect to this bet, as he's battle-tested against Nadal enough, with the H2H standing at 6-3 (all on clay!).

It's good to see both Seb Korda and Cori Gauff in the RG junior semis, both playing today and I think both will reach the junior final.