four-leaf
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Posts posted by four-leaf
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15 hours ago, neilovan said:
Was watching the end of the Noskova v Osorio match. Just awful tie break from Noskova, against somebody that she should beat 8 times in 10. Her volleying is just pathetic. Missed 4 times in the breaker and they were all sitters.
I did not have a bet on her, but odds around 1.28 for the Noskova win are a joke. It's the 2nd lousy match she has played in a couple of weeks. Losing in Aussie open qualifiers was the 1st.
So inconsistent and unfocused against bog average opponents. Basically untouchable below odds of 7 to 10.
Why did you not have a bet against her then? I thought Osorio had a great chance to reach the semifinals around wednesday after Noskova had won her match.
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It's hard to build a ranking on hard indoors capacity but Alycia Parks is a speldid indoor hardcourt player and it's no fluke she's beaten Karo Pliskova in Prag on indoor hardcourt and won two 125k hard indoor events.
- amity and CzechPunter
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Jimmy White to beat Jack Lisowski at 7.00 with Unibet
I'm gonna enjoy watching whirlwind Jimmy tonight.
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Unlikely to see Perry win from 4-3 down now, Robbo clears up
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After realizing Choinski will most likely lose being down 5-2 first set I will have to cash-out and increase my stake a bit and place another acca Brancaccio 1.82 combined with Serban 2.50 at 4.55.
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@CzechPunter did you see Parks tweener?
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I'm gonna go with this tonight...
Jan Choinski to beat Alexandre Muller at 2.30
Nuria Brancaccio to beat Elvina Kalieva at 1.82
and...
Georgiana Raluca Serban to beat Laura Pigossi at 2.50
Treble with Unibet total odds: 10.46
Jan Choinski has become underrated with his great form last months.
Nuria Brancaccio has started this year with 2 straight clay finals in South America and winning the first one, she seems to be following in her brothers footsteps who recently won his first Challenger.
I never liked Pigossi, she's been pretty bad as a 125k/WTA player and Serban is just the type of player who can cause imense problems for her. Also Serban won their only meeting so far in 3 sets not to long ago although on hardcourt in Dubai. Still I rate Serbans chances a bit higher than her odds says.
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But there's one thing about Iga, she will most likely leave everything on the court. She won't go out without a fight like she did in Wimbledon when faceing Cornet. Aryna Sabalenka is also dangerous on the other half and I wouldn't count out Rybakina.
- amity and CzechPunter
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4 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Well, she has a potentially tricky draw in the first round, she dropped a set against Niemeier the last time out, and that was when her own form wasn't in any doubt. She should get better as she progresses as always, though, so the start is important. She definitely has what it takes to win the entire thing, but I wouldn't necessarily trust her. I have an inkling that one of the big hitters might win this time around.
Yes I belive that's true. I have a looming feeling that Iga goes out somewhere around quarterfinals. She potentially can face Coco in the QF and Pegula in semi.
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Let's talk about Iga, her chances, what is her weakness, what's up with her ballflight and will her return game suffer down under?
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What about WTA draw?
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33 minutes ago, Foo_Fighter said:
Brenda Fruhvirtova is getting 5.5 games against a girl she lost to in November. We all love Brenda, but my God... Natalija Stevanovic is a dangerous opponent, I don't think it'll be an easy match for Brenda.
I have already pictured myself Brenda crying as she loses since she is a sensitive young girl. I don't want to see that but I really don't want to waste my money on her in this situation.
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4 minutes ago, Foo_Fighter said:
I hope you win but Iga struggles to control her ball flight with these lighter balls.
At least there is something you can deal with. Alcaraz struggled with more than ball flight since winning USO so I'm pretty happy with him withdrawing. Leaving me with only Iga is something I don't have a problem with and it's a relief since I know Alcaraz had gone out early had he participated.
- CzechPunter and Foo_Fighter
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Alcaraz withdraws from Aussie O and I'm happy because it means only Iga Schwiontek to win AO is valid from now on and I got the odds 7.00 on that to happen which is now down to 2.60 so pretty happy about Alcaraz withdrawing.
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Chun Hsin Tseng to beat (-1.5 sets) Facundo Bagnis at 3.45 with Unibet
Here's the big bet I've been looking for. Tseng is on his best surface facing a claycourter with bad form and from what I saw of Bagnis in november on hardcourt he was utterly unimpressive and I don't see what makes Tseng the underdog at 2.02 and I'll try the straight sets for Tseng.
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Josh Rock to win and hit most 180s at 2.40 with Unibet
I'll have some this myself @Fader as well as Josh straight up.
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@Fader what do you got for the last one?
Edit: Sorry saw now you're on Rock to win so I'll go with Rock straight.
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1 hour ago, Fader said:
has a chance but De Sousa can hit a shedload of 180s when he turns up. That's why the price is nice.
Well he turned up for 25% of the match but it wasn't enough so I'm pretty happy now. The Price was right.
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Has anyone thought of Price to win, most 180s and highest checkout?
I've got it at 4.30 with Unibet
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Best singles ranking on november 20 2023 (Sinner, Jannik - Rune, Holger - Shapovalov, Denis)
Holger Rune 2.60 with Unibet
I'm rating Holger as the one with the highest capacity and most talent. Let's hope he doesn't get injured. Jannik seriously needs to get a big breakthrough asap and Denis is not the one I rate as a top 10 player in the future. Feels pretty safe to go with Holger here.
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3 hours ago, Fader said:
I've not seen any of him but despite Brecel winning the last two h2h I'd have to go with Allen all day tonight. He is really playing some great stuff right now
Brecel has played some badass snooker this week I understand now, beating Trump 5-1 in QF and only in the qualies he was taken close.
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Has anyone seen Brecel play this week? Is Allen the man to beat this tournament?
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I've taken a break from tennis this week. Had enough of the season after Angers. Zhang probably will go and win Limoges.
Tennis Tips - January 30 - February 5
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Around 3.00 for Osorio to beat Noskova was a gift because it's just like @CzechPunter says that Noskova is becoming priced around 1.20 against decent opponents now as if she'd be superior in some kind of way.