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Pirate53 reacted to corky in Monthly Naps - Friday July 7th
get the fire brigade.jimmys on fire
ps, im goin to ayr on sun if you can get me some like that lol
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Pirate53 reacted to BillyHills in PL Winners Alright
No pressure then?
My selections are purely down to a ratings method I use which without giving too much away does bias towards class more than anything. The Nap is a selection that is well ahead of the other runners in certain criteria and still represents a bit of value when the market is formed at around 6pm the day before.
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Pirate53 reacted to Xtc12 in PL Winners Alright
I think for the time being I will stick with the Naps as it is only one bet a day. A bank of 496 will cover me for having no winners in any month. Probably two accounts should cover me even though the highest bet will be 31 Pts. If a bookmaker cannot take a bet of £31 he should not be a bookie. . As BH says :
the stakes are not that high really. Doing the naps using the last day as a stop-loss is the way to go.
The thing about placing the bets manually is that you would need to get over the fear of losing and trust the system (probably easier said than done when we had a loss of 408 pts in a day).
These losses can come at any time and the danger is when you start a system, will we come in at one of these rare loss days, which would also be a disaster for the confidence.
I will continue to log the stats for each day here and will start a new thread for the Naps, back dated to the 25th June.
My profit depends on you BH, keep them coming.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from Xtc12 in PL Winners Alright
I find this really interesting. Only problems I can see is that a) placing the bets manually would be impossible as your psyche wouldn't allow you to! and b) you'd have no bookie accounts left after a couple of months.
The only way (imo) that this can work is if its automated on Betfair. Any Excel buffs out there that can write a trigger spreadsheet for Gruss?
The other thing is bank size. If a set of circumstances can happen in theory, then one day it surely will. With that in mind I think a bank of 3000 pts would be required. Having said that, I'd give it a go.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in Following the mon(k)ey.
Yesterdays Result: 17 Bets, 5 wins (inc 1 DH), + £19.40, + 9.7pts.
Todays Sels:
Kempton
18.10
Whitecrest
1
23.00
Bath
20.00
Harry Beau
1
15.00
Bath
20.00
Aware
1
9.00
Bath
21.00
Platos Code
1
7.00
Bath
20.30
Sublime
1
9.00
Thirsk
17.30
Little Miss Lola
1
26.00
Thirsk
15.30
King Robert
1
9.00
Bath
20.30
Born To Please
1
15.00
Worcester
17.20
Get Home now
1
7.00
Worcester
14.50
Midnight Monty
1
5.00
Thirsk
15.30
Englishman
1
10.00
Bath
18.30
Sfumato
1
6.50
Bath
19.30
Ivegotthepower
1
4.50
Bath
21.00
Holyroman Princess
1
21.00
Kempton
20.40
Nuzha
1
7.50
Kempton
19.40
Marmajuke Bay
1
12.00
Thirsk
16.30
Mutahaady
1
11.00
Worcester
15.20
Pure Affection
1
7.00
Bath
20.00
X Rated
1
7.00
Thirsk
16.30
Thomas Cranmer
1
17.00
Worcester
15.50
Doubly Clever
1
8.50
Kempton
21.10
Tailors Row
1
9.00
Worcester
14.20
Norse Light
1
10.00
Perth
17.10
Bingo D'Olivate
1
34.00
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Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in Following the mon(k)ey.
Sunday Result: 23 Bets, 3 wins, + £15.60, + 7.8 pts. Thank you Mighty Whitey in the last!!
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Pirate53 reacted to BillyHills in PL Winners Alright
Answering the second part of your query first; The stake are not that high really and I reckon you would get the bets on with Betfair, minus a bit of commission. Its not like some loss recovery systems where your putting 4 figures on.
I tend to agree with you about actually being brave enough to keep going during a long losing run. I personally would find this difficult hence why most of my staking plans have a stop loss. Maybe this could be implemented? I'm sure some punters would have no problem in splitting the emotion side from their punting lives.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in PL Winners Alright
I find this really interesting. Only problems I can see is that a) placing the bets manually would be impossible as your psyche wouldn't allow you to! and b) you'd have no bookie accounts left after a couple of months.
The only way (imo) that this can work is if its automated on Betfair. Any Excel buffs out there that can write a trigger spreadsheet for Gruss?
The other thing is bank size. If a set of circumstances can happen in theory, then one day it surely will. With that in mind I think a bank of 3000 pts would be required. Having said that, I'd give it a go.
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Pirate53 reacted to Xtc12 in PL Winners Alright
Day 5
Staking Plan 3, 2, 1, 4, 5, 5, 6, 7, 8, for a total outlay of 41 Pts
We had 2 winners
Welcome Ben 5 Pts @ 6\4 returned 12.50
Spice Girl 8 Pts @ 9\2 returned 44
Total Returns for the day 56.50 for a day 5 profit of 15.50 Pts.
Total Profit for month: 98.61 Pts
Total Profit: 184.49 Pts
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Pirate53 reacted to Tipsterix in Monthly Naps - Tuesday July 4th
18:10 Chepstow: FORTUNE'S PEARL @ 9.00 William Hill
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Pirate53 got a reaction from Tipsterix in Monthly Naps - Tuesday July 4th
Hamilton 15.00 Starplex 1pt win @ 11/1 Bet365
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Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in Monthly Naps - Tuesday July 4th
Hamilton 15.00 Starplex 1pt win @ 11/1 Bet365
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Pirate53 got a reaction from Jimmy2shoes in Monthly Naps - Tuesday July 4th
Hamilton 15.00 Starplex 1pt win @ 11/1 Bet365
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Pirate53 got a reaction from corky in Monthly Naps - Tuesday July 4th
Hamilton 15.00 Starplex 1pt win @ 11/1 Bet365
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Pirate53 reacted to corky in KO Cup Qualifying - Sat July 8th (Deadline 2pm)
glad to have made it as i was 3oth with 4 days to go
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Pirate53 reacted to Xtc12 in PL Winners Alright
Day 1
Staking Plan 3, 2, 1, 4, for a total outlay of 10 Pts
We had 1 winner:
US Navy Flag 4 Pts @ 13\2 returned 30
Total Returns for the day 30 for a day 1 profit of 20 Pts.
Total Profit for month: 20 Pts
Total Profit: 105.88
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Pirate53 reacted to Trotter in Monthly Naps - Saturday July 1st
Chester 2.20 - Reflektor - win at 15/2 bog bet365
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Pirate53 reacted to BillyHills in Make a living on Punters Lounge
Cracking day for the ratings today
4 winners at Salisbury (inc 7/1) , 2 at Carlisle (8/1& 12/1) and 2 at Worcester so far.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in Following the mon(k)ey.
Todays Sels:
Wolverhampton
17.45
Einstein
1
23.00
Windsor
18.20
Tesko Fella
1
21.00
Wolverhampton
14.45
Lawless Louie
1
6.50
Chepstow
17.00
Top Me Up
1
6.00
Southwell
21.10
Dun Scath
1
12.00
Windsor
20.50
Bombay Dream
1
8.50
Windsor
20.20
Wefait
1
15.00
Wolverhampton
16.15
Viola Park
1
5.00
Wolverhampton
17.45
Hernando Torres
1
9.00
Southwell
20.10
Owners Day
1
15.00
Wolverhampton
15.15
Midnight Blue
1
17.00
Chepstow
14.00
Pinnata
1
29.00
Wolverhampton
15.15
Arty But Poor
1
19.00
Windsor
20.50
Mercers
1
7.50
Windsor
20.20
Ingleby Mackenzie
1
26.00
Southwell
20.10
Clemency
1
13.00
Windsor
19.50
Lightening Dance
1
5.00
17 bets, 4 wins, +£62.88, +31.45pts.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in Following the mon(k)ey.
When I looked at Royal Ascot selections, most were false arbs, i.e. only an arb because one bookie (usually Betbright!) had pushed the price out. Hard to weed these out but they shouldn't count because no money is pressuring the price.
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Pirate53 got a reaction from Tipsterix in Monthly Naps Comp - Sunday June 18th
Salisbury 14.45 Edged Out 1pt win @ 11/1 Betfred
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Pirate53 reacted to Snoopdog in Following the mon(k)ey.
My old dad (northern shop and greyhound bookie) used to say: "Even when you make a mistake, they still have to win."
If I'd backed at 33/1, I wouldn't be able to resist laying back (at least stake recovery) at 4/1.
Good luck with it.