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Pirate53

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  1. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to corky in Monthly Naps - Friday July 7th   
    get the fire brigade.jimmys on fire
    ps, im goin to ayr on sun if you can get me some like that lol
  2. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to BillyHills in PL Winners Alright   
    No pressure then?
    My selections are purely down to a ratings method I use which without giving too much away does bias towards class more than anything. The Nap is a selection that is well ahead of the other runners in certain criteria and still represents a bit of value when the market is formed at around 6pm the day before.

  3. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to Xtc12 in PL Winners Alright   
    I think for the time being I will stick with the Naps as it is only one bet a day. A bank of 496 will cover me for having no winners in any month. Probably two accounts should cover me even though the highest bet will be 31 Pts. If a bookmaker cannot take a bet of £31 he should not be a bookie. . As BH says :
    the stakes are not that high really. Doing the naps using the last day as a stop-loss is the way to go.
    The thing about placing the bets manually is that you would need to get over the fear of losing and trust the system (probably easier said than done when we had a loss of 408 pts in a day).
    These losses can come at any time and the danger is when you start a system, will we come in at one of these rare loss days, which would also be a disaster for the confidence. 
    I will continue to log the stats for each day here and will start a new thread for the Naps, back dated to the 25th June.
    My profit depends on you BH, keep them coming. 
     
     
  4. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from Xtc12 in PL Winners Alright   
    I find this really interesting. Only problems I can see is that a) placing the bets manually would be impossible as your psyche wouldn't allow you to! and b) you'd have no bookie accounts left after a couple of months.
    The only way (imo) that this can work is if its automated on Betfair. Any Excel buffs out there that can write a trigger spreadsheet for Gruss?
    The other thing is bank size. If a set of circumstances can happen in theory, then one day it surely will. With that in mind I think a bank of 3000 pts would be required. Having said that, I'd give it a go.
  5. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in Following the mon(k)ey.   
    Yesterdays Result: 17 Bets, 5 wins (inc 1 DH), + £19.40, + 9.7pts.
    Todays Sels:
    Kempton

    18.10

    Whitecrest

      1

    23.00

    Bath

    20.00

    Harry Beau

      1

    15.00

    Bath

    20.00

    Aware

      1

    9.00

    Bath

    21.00

    Platos Code

      1

    7.00

    Bath

    20.30

    Sublime

      1

    9.00

    Thirsk

    17.30

    Little Miss Lola

      1

    26.00

    Thirsk

    15.30

    King Robert

      1

    9.00

    Bath

    20.30

    Born To Please

      1

    15.00

    Worcester

    17.20

    Get Home now

      1

    7.00

    Worcester

    14.50

    Midnight Monty

      1

    5.00

    Thirsk

    15.30

    Englishman

      1

    10.00

    Bath

    18.30

    Sfumato

      1

    6.50

    Bath

    19.30

    Ivegotthepower

      1

    4.50

    Bath

    21.00

    Holyroman Princess

      1

    21.00

    Kempton

    20.40

    Nuzha

      1

    7.50

    Kempton

    19.40

    Marmajuke Bay

      1

    12.00

    Thirsk

    16.30

    Mutahaady

      1

    11.00

    Worcester

    15.20

    Pure Affection

      1

    7.00

    Bath

    20.00

    X Rated

      1

    7.00

    Thirsk

    16.30

    Thomas Cranmer

      1

    17.00

    Worcester

    15.50

    Doubly Clever

      1

    8.50

    Kempton

    21.10

    Tailors Row

      1

    9.00

    Worcester

    14.20

    Norse Light

      1

    10.00

    Perth

    17.10

    Bingo D'Olivate

      1

    34.00

  6. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in Following the mon(k)ey.   
    Sunday Result: 23 Bets, 3 wins, + £15.60, + 7.8 pts. Thank you Mighty Whitey in the last!!
  7. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to BillyHills in PL Winners Alright   
    Answering the second part of your query first; The stake are not that high really and I reckon you would get the bets on with Betfair, minus a bit of commission. Its not like some loss recovery systems where your putting 4 figures on.
    I tend to agree with you about actually being brave enough to keep going during a long losing run. I personally would find this difficult hence why most of my staking plans have a stop loss. Maybe this could be implemented? I'm sure some punters would have no problem in splitting the emotion side from their punting lives.
  8. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in PL Winners Alright   
    I find this really interesting. Only problems I can see is that a) placing the bets manually would be impossible as your psyche wouldn't allow you to! and b) you'd have no bookie accounts left after a couple of months.
    The only way (imo) that this can work is if its automated on Betfair. Any Excel buffs out there that can write a trigger spreadsheet for Gruss?
    The other thing is bank size. If a set of circumstances can happen in theory, then one day it surely will. With that in mind I think a bank of 3000 pts would be required. Having said that, I'd give it a go.
  9. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to Xtc12 in PL Winners Alright   
    Day 5
    Staking Plan  3, 2, 1, 4,  5, 5, 6, 7, 8,  for a total outlay of 41 Pts
    We had 2 winners
    Welcome Ben  5  Pts @ 6\4 returned 12.50
    Spice Girl  8 Pts @ 9\2 returned 44
    Total Returns for the day 56.50 for a day 5 profit of 15.50 Pts.
    Total Profit for month: 98.61 Pts
    Total Profit: 184.49 Pts
  10. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to Tipsterix in Monthly Naps - Tuesday July 4th   
    18:10 Chepstow: FORTUNE'S PEARL @ 9.00 William Hill
  11. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from Tipsterix in Monthly Naps - Tuesday July 4th   
    Hamilton 15.00 Starplex 1pt win @ 11/1 Bet365
  12. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in Monthly Naps - Tuesday July 4th   
    Hamilton 15.00 Starplex 1pt win @ 11/1 Bet365
  13. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from Jimmy2shoes in Monthly Naps - Tuesday July 4th   
    Hamilton 15.00 Starplex 1pt win @ 11/1 Bet365
  14. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to corky in Monthly Naps - Tuesday July 4th   
    great priced winner, good stuff
  15. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from corky in Monthly Naps - Tuesday July 4th   
    Hamilton 15.00 Starplex 1pt win @ 11/1 Bet365
  16. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to corky in KO Cup Qualifying - Sat July 8th (Deadline 2pm)   
    glad to have made it as i was 3oth with 4 days to go
  17. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to BillyHills in Little Nuggets in August   
    Good start!
     
  18. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to Striker in Racing Chat - Sunday July 2nd   
    Won
  19. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to Xtc12 in PL Winners Alright   
    Day 1
    Staking Plan  3, 2, 1, 4,  for a total outlay of 10 Pts
    We had 1 winner:
    US Navy Flag   4  Pts @ 13\2 returned 30
    Total Returns for the day 30 for a day 1 profit of 20 Pts.
    Total Profit for month: 20 Pts
    Total Profit: 105.88
  20. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to Trotter in Monthly Naps - Saturday July 1st   
    Chester 2.20 - Reflektor - win at 15/2 bog bet365
  21. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to BillyHills in Make a living on Punters Lounge   
    Cracking day for the ratings today
    4 winners at Salisbury (inc 7/1) , 2 at Carlisle (8/1& 12/1) and 2 at Worcester so far.

     
  22. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in Following the mon(k)ey.   
    Todays Sels:
    Wolverhampton
    17.45
    Einstein
      1
    23.00
    Windsor
    18.20
    Tesko Fella
      1
    21.00
    Wolverhampton
    14.45
    Lawless Louie
      1
    6.50
    Chepstow
    17.00
    Top Me Up
      1
    6.00
    Southwell
    21.10
    Dun Scath
      1
    12.00
    Windsor
    20.50
    Bombay Dream
      1
    8.50
    Windsor
    20.20
    Wefait
      1
    15.00
    Wolverhampton
    16.15
    Viola Park
      1
    5.00
    Wolverhampton
    17.45
    Hernando Torres
      1
    9.00
    Southwell
    20.10
    Owners Day
      1
    15.00
    Wolverhampton
    15.15
    Midnight Blue
      1
    17.00
    Chepstow
    14.00
    Pinnata
      1
    29.00
    Wolverhampton
    15.15
    Arty But Poor
      1
    19.00
    Windsor
    20.50
    Mercers
      1
    7.50
    Windsor
    20.20
    Ingleby Mackenzie
      1
    26.00
    Southwell
    20.10
    Clemency
      1
    13.00
    Windsor
    19.50
    Lightening Dance
      1
    5.00
    17 bets, 4 wins, +£62.88, +31.45pts.
  23. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from BillyHills in Following the mon(k)ey.   
    When I looked at Royal Ascot selections, most were false arbs, i.e. only an arb because one bookie (usually Betbright!) had pushed the price out. Hard to weed these out but they shouldn't count because no money is pressuring the price.
  24. Like
    Pirate53 got a reaction from Tipsterix in Monthly Naps Comp - Sunday June 18th   
    Salisbury 14.45 Edged Out 1pt win @ 11/1 Betfred
  25. Like
    Pirate53 reacted to Snoopdog in Following the mon(k)ey.   
    My old dad (northern shop and greyhound bookie) used to say: "Even when you make a mistake, they still have to win."
    If I'd backed at 33/1, I wouldn't be able to resist laying back (at least stake recovery) at 4/1.
    Good luck with it.
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