richard-westwood

The Gurkha 
 
 

Well the one i wanted couldnt win but at least clawed a decrnt bit back on kimbrella ....fight another day 

Time for a good old fashioned gamble .....ante post bets gone down the pan ...always the risk ....55 pts returned today so il keep my stake money and try a double up with the profits for a big payout 
Gigaset international  
Mutawathea    99.28
Withersea  99,21
Suzie conniseur  99.19
At this stage it looks an easy choice to double up .....I was looking for a horse that got good form at the distance ..,speed ....and is nicely weighted ....muthawathea ticks all three .....I'm going to have to take a chance on the draw ....ideally I'd want a rail draw either side but at 14/1 bet365 are being very very generous so I'll risk 20 pts ew and go for a jackpot payout ....c'mon me beauty ..boooom
Muthawathea 20 pts ew 14/1 bet365

Time for a good old fashioned gamble .....ante post bets gone down the pan ...always the risk ....55 pts returned today so il keep my stake money and try a double up with the profits for a big payout 
Gigaset international  
Mutawathea    99.28
Withersea  99,21
Suzie conniseur  99.19
At this stage it looks an easy choice to double up .....I was looking for a horse that got good form at the distance ..,speed ....and is nicely weighted ....muthawathea ticks all three .....I'm going to have to take a chance on the draw ....ideally I'd want a rail draw either side but at 14/1 bet365 are being very very generous so I'll risk 20 pts ew and go for a jackpot payout ....c'mon me beauty ..boooom
Muthawathea 20 pts ew 14/1 bet365

Nice one Billy ...well done ...

Three bells wins ...nice price 55 pts returned 

Three bells wins ...nice price 55 pts returned 

....And i had 3 winners, Not that anybody cares, 

Ground caught a lot of them out tonight richard, all it's done is piss down mate
And they call this Summer, in Scotland that just means warmer rain
 

Sovereign bounty wins ...nice 

Well done again Richard, you're on a roll my friend 

430 bev
Tanawar   98.71
Sovereign bounty 98.70
Qaafaal  98.65
Very difficult race and not too much confidence but qaafal has been installed favourite at 7/2 but the other two are 5 and 6/1 so rate value bets against this fav ...small stakes in a difficult race
Tanawar  2 pts win 5/1 wh
Sovereign bounty 2 pts win 6/1 bv

Great stuff richard 

Keep your head down and ride the rough patches ....Royal duchess wins ..boom .....130 pts returned ...Fab run 

Keep your head down and ride the rough patches ....Royal duchess wins ..boom .....130 pts returned ...Fab run 

430 Ayr
Royal duchess   98.77
Gold flash   98,74
Avenueofstars 98,73
Tricky little race ..only nine runners and five of them have good chances but royal duchess has some decent form at this distance and claimer could be a distinct advantage today ....Gold flash is 5/1 ..,avenue 8/1....Royal duchess is priced 20/1..so far to big for such a small race ....layoff a disadvantage 60 days but still good value 
Royal duchess 5 pts ew 20/1 bet365 

345newm
Dancing star   98.87
Show stealer  98.86
Flying pursuit 98.84
Very tricky race with Lots of improving types ....top two look evenly matched and 8/1 is a decent price on each ....ordinarily I'd just stick with those two but flying pursuit iis no forlorn hope and at 37.0 he's ridiculously overpriced so I'll keep him too 
Dancing star 3 pts win 8/1 will h
Show stealer 3 pts win 8/1 will h
Flying pursuit 2 pts win 37.0 betfair 

Britannia stakes 
Fighting temeraire 98.99
Zodiakos  98.96
Couple of value bets here in a wide open race ....fighting temeraire has been running well in defeat so 12/1 looks fair value and zoduakos could be anythin and shiwed a lot if promise on recent run so 40/1 looks ovetpriced 
Fighting temeraire 5 pts ew 12/1 wh
Zodiakos 5 pts ew 40/1 bet365 

Britannia stakes 
Fighting temeraire 98.99
Zodiakos  98.96
Couple of value bets here in a wide open race ....fighting temeraire has been running well in defeat so 12/1 looks fair value and zoduakos could be anythin and shiwed a lot if promise on recent run so 40/1 looks ovetpriced 
Fighting temeraire 5 pts ew 12/1 wh
Zodiakos 5 pts ew 40/1 bet365 

Final ratings for this race ...
Judicial  99,53
Kimbrella   99.52
Lexington Abby   99.49
Brando  99.47
Kimbrella looks to have just scraped in so can't ignore now after last week's unlucky near miss but this is a classy race judicial looks the perfect horse for this race and has better form than kimbrella but also Lexington Abby is within fighting range too and is no slouch in big races so at 16/1 is looking the value bet ew in the race but as the ew on kimbrella is poor I'll take wins on limb and Lexington to strengthen the team
Kimbrella 5 pts win 6/1 bet365
Lexington abby 5 pts win 16/1 bet365 

Fairy 235
Blairmayne  98.86
Pillar 98.85 
Mo wonder  98.82
China eyes  98,81
Interesting big hcap ....China eyes looks nicely treated but 254 day layoff a big negative so looked over ...likewise no wonder who has decent form but poor jockey so I'm overlooking which leaves the top two who ran against each other last time in which blairmayne won easily ....top rated could be ahead of the hcapper based on that but pillar is no forlorn hope ....gets a 5lb pull and drop in distance will suit so 11/1 price tag makes him the value bet of the race but I'll go tag team to be safe 
Blairmayne  4 Pts win 7/2bet365
Pillar 2 pts win 11/1 betfred 

Thought I'd got it .....fab run by architecture ...great run by fab...nice ew price though 

Off art 2nd at 6/1 !,.....unlucky ....
 

Diomed Stakes 
Verdict:
It’s a fair renewal and it’s difficult to get away from the chances of last years winner Arod. To be honest this doesn’t look any harder and showed his well being with a decent 4th at Ascot recently. I’m sure he will have come on for that and the only slight worry would be if the ground deteriorated further. Custom Cut needs to start showing his form from last year to get involved and the main danger may be Decorated Knight who won at Goodwood last time out and was just behind Arod at Ascot.
Selection:  Arod @ 3/1 Paddy Power
 
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I came out with 4 on my list: Syrian Pearl, Upstaging, Jaywalker and Pixellian but have left the two you have done based on running style, draw and because I think Upstaging is a quirky bugger (for all that he is young enough to prove that wrong). Either way the front of the market is full of over rated horses in my opinion so plenty of value left in the market! GL.