richard-westwood

3.00 leopard Paddy power chase 
Ontheropes  8.7 33/1 
Fakir dalene.  8.6 20/1 
Amirite.    8.4 12/1 
These three are a bit clear of rest so with limited race interests due to field sizes I'll try 3pt Ew all 3 ....and forecasts all 3 

Adding ..iwilldoit ...Ew to my team ...on account of riders claim 5pts Ew 7/1 

I'm actually dressing as Santa and delivering prezzies to the oldies then cooking a nice 3 course meal for them going home then doing it all again ...yay  ....I'm actually really looking forward to it .....I'm hoping doing good deeds gets me brownie points with the racing gods ...haha ...well that's the plan .....merry Xmas and as tiny Tim famously said ...and god bless everyone 🙏🤩🤩

3.00 leopard Paddy power chase 
Ontheropes  8.7 33/1 
Fakir dalene.  8.6 20/1 
Amirite.    8.4 12/1 
These three are a bit clear of rest so with limited race interests due to field sizes I'll try 3pt Ew all 3 ....and forecasts all 3 

3.00 leopard Paddy power chase 
Ontheropes  8.7 33/1 
Fakir dalene.  8.6 20/1 
Amirite.    8.4 12/1 
These three are a bit clear of rest so with limited race interests due to field sizes I'll try 3pt Ew all 3 ....and forecasts all 3 

Chepstow 1.05 Only four have declared for this 2M 3 1/2F class 2 handicap chase with the Sam Thomas trained Good Risk At All a warm favourite now dropping back to a trip that suits him better having possibly failed to stay over three miles at Cheltenham last time. He should run well but at the prices the consistent top weight First Flow may be the value play. He finished a 4L runner up to Boothill at Ascot last time out, form which has been boosted several times since and Kim Bailey’s eleven year old will appreciate any more rain that falls at the Welsh track.   FIRST FLOW 1 point win @ 9/4 William Hill   Kempton 1.20 A nine runner introductory juvenile hurdle which features the well touted Nicky Henderson trained Sir Gino who is already a top priced 12/1 for the Triumph Hurdle at Cheltenham next March. He impressed when winning a listed race on his racecourse debut for his French trainer at Auteuil last April and has subsequently been bought privately by the Donnelly’s and put into training over here with Nicky Henderson. He’s had a wind operation since but the opposition today hardly looks that exacting and he can make a winning British debut at a meeting where his trainer does so well at.   SIR GINO, NICKLE BACK (1.55 Kempton) & BURDETT ROAD (2.10 Chepstow) 2 points win treble 8/15, 4/5 & 4/9 Bet Victor   Chepstow 1.40 A class 2 2M 7F 131 yard handicap hurdle is up next with a field of eight where I feel there is an excellent each way bet to get stuck into. Many of these can be crabbed for one reason or another but the one who appeals is the Tim Vaughan trained Bells Of Peterboro. He showed up nicely in two handicap chases on his first two starts this season over fences but was disappointing when reverting to hurdles last time but its best to forgive him that run now in a first time visor as he has such a great record in this very race and it may well be that he has been trained for this race. He ran out a very easy 22L winner of this race two years off of a handicap mark 3lb higher than todays ‘s as well as finishing a creditable third in this contest a year ago. He’s well worth chancing under Alan Johns who knows him so well.   BELLS OF PETERBORO 1 point each way @ 17/2 William Hill 1/5th 123   Kempton 1.55 A small field of just four line up for the Grade 2 Wayward Lad Novices’ Chase run over two miles. The one to beat is the Sarah Humphrey trained Nickle Back who followed up two emphatic chase victories at Warwick and Stratford from the front by running a highly creditable 6 1/2L second to the smart Hermes Allen in a Grade 2 Novices’ Chase at Newbury at the beginning of the month. He’s an exuberant front runner who will more than likely set out in front and hopefully run the race out of his three rivals, the best of which may well be Master Chewy.   Chepstow 2.10 The 2M grade 2 Coral Finale Juvenile Hurdle has only attracted six runners with a very warm favourite in James Owen’s unbeaten juvenile hurdler Burdett Road. He has to shoulder a 5lb penalty for his impressive wins at Huntingdon and in grade 2 company at Cheltenham under today’s rider Harry Cobden. He should win this the with utmost of ease all be it at prohibitive odds.   Kempton 2.30 The 2M Desert Orchid Chase has Grade 2 status and for the first time this year is a limited handicap which has attracted six runners. Harry Fry’s Boothill arrives in top form chasing a hat trick of two mile handicap chase wins following a brace of wins at Ascot this season. He may have been a bit fortunate to oblige last time as Saint Segal was a length ahead when tumbling at the last. Only 3lb higher in the weights now he appeals as the one to beat although Joe Tizzard’s Elixir De Nutz, who is also chasing a hat trick, and Nube Negra, who will appreciate the drying ground look dangers.   BOOTHILL 1 point win @ 2/1 BetVictor   Chepstow 2.50 The 2023 renewal of the 3M 6 1/F Coral Welsh Grand National has attracted a maximum field of twenty dye in the wool stayers. Many have claims including the top weight Iwilldoit who won the race two years ago off of bottom weight but is now 13lb higher in the weights. The trial winner Nassalam is another with a shout although he has to prove his stamina. The race looks wide open and I’ll take a rank outsider to run well at a massive price with extra places. David Pipe’s Only The Bold looked a stayer going places last year when bolting up at Bangor and Hereford but has flopped three times since, twice this year back over hurdles so its impossible to be too confident about his chances but if he can get himself back to the form he showed last year he can give his trainer David Pipe his first win in a race that his father Martin did so well in.   ONLY THE BOLD 1 point each way @ 33/1 William Hill 1/5th 123456   Kempton 3.09 A valuable 3M class 2 Handicap Chase is up next with eight going to post. The form horse is arguably the top weight Tea Clipper who should go well here following two decent efforts in 3M handicap chases this winter when runner up at Chepstow and Ascot. He is only a pound higher than his latest run and there appears little depth to this contest. The bottom weight Strictlyadancer looks interesting but his trainer Christian Williams is badly out of sorts at present and can’t be fancied until he’s shows some improvement in his form.   TEA CLIPPER 1 point win @ 9/4 bet365    

3.00 leopard Paddy power chase 
Ontheropes  8.7 33/1 
Fakir dalene.  8.6 20/1 
Amirite.    8.4 12/1 
These three are a bit clear of rest so with limited race interests due to field sizes I'll try 3pt Ew all 3 ....and forecasts all 3 

Blade Runner 40/1 Bet 365 - 14:50 Chepstow - 6 places - each way
James Du Berlais 33/1 Bet 365 - 15:00 Leopardstown - 6 places - each way
Each way double

3.oo Leop- 1pt e/w DOIL KER 40/1 6places- In poor form but 2nd in this year just beaten less weight this time around and 40/1 6 places will do for me.
From welsh nation thread....
1pt e/w WAYFINDER 25/1 6places
1pt e/w DIDERO VALLIS 66/1 6places
4pts invested
 
Total 6pts invested

Cracking result for Billy Big Ball Cock, The rest of us also rans but credit where credit is due @roger2256 and @kroni finished in profit.
This is what we like to see a good result for one of us, so top marks @BBBC
 
 

Chambard                                          2 50Chp/                 1/40th of a pt ew    16/1
Wayfinder                                          2 50 Chp/          { had 1/40th of a pt ew 100/1  posted on NH horses to follow postings weeks ago }
Mister Fogpatches                          3 00 Lep/                  1/40th of a pt ew     80/1
Regal Steel                                        3 00 LP/                    1/40th of a pt ew     44/1
Emmpressive Lady                          3 40 Km/                  1/40th of a pt ew     20/1
Not Available                                    3 25 Ch/                   1/40th of a pt ew     18/1
 

3.00 leopard Paddy power chase 
Ontheropes  8.7 33/1 
Fakir dalene.  8.6 20/1 
Amirite.    8.4 12/1 
These three are a bit clear of rest so with limited race interests due to field sizes I'll try 3pt Ew all 3 ....and forecasts all 3 

I've rated this 
Chambard.  9.2 12/1 class 105 
Big breakaway. 8.9 class 67 
Complete unknown 8.7 class 90
I will do it    8.5 class 46 
Super survivor. 8.2 class 43 
Very difficult race as you'd imagine ......usually you'd favour the lower weights but this year the lower weights look quite poor so I have a strong feeling this will go to one of the listed above ....iwilldoit has a lot of weight but claimer will help and gets the distance so I can see it making the frame .....
Super survivor is well backed but doesn't look that good to me ... .looks very poor value and I'll overlook 
Complete unknown looked a decent horse over middle distances but when stepped up he weakened badly so a further step up again doesn't really look good .....opposed as a result 
Chambard is a horse on upgrade ....form looks strong .....class rating is strong ....average class rating for race is 70 so a class rating if 100 is well in .....looks a very strong Ew bet overall at decent odds 
Big breakaway is a very capable horse on a good day ....gets the distance but has lost his way recently .......is the type to bounce back suddenly but there's a risk if can .....possible Ew play 
Initially I'm going to back chambard Ew at 12/1 5pts Ew as I think that looks excellent value  and make a decision on other two nearer the time 
Chambard 5ptsew 12/1 wil hill
 

3.00 leopard Paddy power chase 
Ontheropes  8.7 33/1 
Fakir dalene.  8.6 20/1 
Amirite.    8.4 12/1 
These three are a bit clear of rest so with limited race interests due to field sizes I'll try 3pt Ew all 3 ....and forecasts all 3 

3.00 leopard Paddy power chase 
Ontheropes  8.7 33/1 
Fakir dalene.  8.6 20/1 
Amirite.    8.4 12/1 
These three are a bit clear of rest so with limited race interests due to field sizes I'll try 3pt Ew all 3 ....and forecasts all 3 

Adding ..iwilldoit ...Ew to my team ...on account of riders claim 5pts Ew 7/1 

1pt e/w WAYFINDER 25/1 6places
1pt e/w DIDERO VALLIS 66/1 6places
4pts invested

I sort of agree with you about didero valis many times i have fancied this horse and just as many times it has failed to deliver for me, 66/1 is a good price i would suggest 33/1 represents its true chance (if i was a bookie) Although this does not look the strongest renewals so ew may be a shrewd bet.

What a good fellow you are Richard.
2024 is yours for the taking!!!
Hopefully starting early doors with the Welsh national.
Best wishes to all. 🎅 

I'm actually dressing as Santa and delivering prezzies to the oldies then cooking a nice 3 course meal for them going home then doing it all again ...yay  ....I'm actually really looking forward to it .....I'm hoping doing good deeds gets me brownie points with the racing gods ...haha ...well that's the plan .....merry Xmas and as tiny Tim famously said ...and god bless everyone 🙏🤩🤩

I'm actually dressing as Santa and delivering prezzies to the oldies then cooking a nice 3 course meal for them going home then doing it all again ...yay  ....I'm actually really looking forward to it .....I'm hoping doing good deeds gets me brownie points with the racing gods ...haha ...well that's the plan .....merry Xmas and as tiny Tim famously said ...and god bless everyone 🙏🤩🤩

Happy christmas to all members

Merry xmas Lads
I fancy Big Breakaway but put off   by the price  as low as 9/1 anti post for a horse that has pulled up in  his last 2 runs and only won one chase race i was hoping  at least 16's  with at  least 5 p with bog ! so its a wait and see for me but ran a cracker in this race last year off  1lb  higher if he can  leave current form behind has a hell of a chance in this imo.  I agree with  my Irish neighbour that Waynefinder  has a very decent chance and  should go well at a decent price (currently 25's) but i also like another one  at massive price  i have had a button e/w on  anti  post  but intend to have a few more on when bog and extra places kicks in.  Didero Vallis from the inform V Williams stable the yard cat could win if they saddled it up  that's  how  hot the stable is at present imho this horse is a ridiculous price  66/1 nice weight ran a nice race in the Cheltenham cross country in November disappointed back there in December but i really like its chances especially if it comes up very soft.
That would be my three against the field.
i will leave you with my favourite xmas song of all time.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fSVCMZ37QZ8
 

Dave Allen ....one of the greatest stand up comedians ever.

I'm actually dressing as Santa and delivering prezzies to the oldies then cooking a nice 3 course meal for them going home then doing it all again ...yay  ....I'm actually really looking forward to it .....I'm hoping doing good deeds gets me brownie points with the racing gods ...haha ...well that's the plan .....merry Xmas and as tiny Tim famously said ...and god bless everyone 🙏🤩🤩